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Two methods are proposed for high-dimensional shape-constrained regression and classification. These methods reshape pre-trained prediction rules to satisfy shape constraints like monotonicity and convexity. The first method can be applied…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-17 Matt Bonakdarpour , Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Rina Foygel Barber , John Lafferty

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) or stochastic approximation has been widely used in model training and stochastic optimization. While there is a huge literature on analyzing its convergence, inference on the obtained solutions from SGD…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Henry Lam , Zitong Wang

System reliability assessment(SRA) is a challenging task due to the limited experimental data and the complex nature of the system structures. Despite a long history dating back to \cite{buehler1957confidence}, exact methods have only been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 Junpeng Gong , Xu He , Zhaohui Li

This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt

In this paper, we address the problem of conducting statistical inference in settings involving large-scale data that may be high-dimensional and contaminated by outliers. The high volume and dimensionality of the data require distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-30 Emadaldin Mozafari-Majd , Visa Koivunen

In this paper we consider the problem of bootstrapping a class of spatial regression models when the sampling sites are generated by a (possibly nonuniform) stochastic design and are irregularly spaced. It is shown that the natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. N. Lahiri , Jun Zhu

We investigate the validity of two resampling techniques when carrying out inference on the underlying unknown copula using a recently proposed class of smooth, possibly data-adaptive nonparametric estimators that contains empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Ivan Kojadinovic , Bingqing Yi

Analysis of stochastic models of networks is quite important in light of the huge influx of network data in social, information and bio sciences, but a proper statistical analysis of features of different stochastic models of networks is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-18 Sharmodeep Bhattacharyya , Peter J. Bickel

We propose a new randomized optimization method for high-dimensional problems which can be seen as a generalization of coordinate descent to random subspaces. We show that an adaptive sampling strategy for the random subspace significantly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Jonathan Lacotte , Mert Pilanci , Marco Pavone

Mixture models are a popular tool in model-based clustering. Such a model is often fitted by a procedure that maximizes the likelihood, such as the EM algorithm. At convergence, the maximum likelihood parameter estimates are typically…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-23 Adrian O'Hagan , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Luca Scrucca , Isobel Claire Gormley

Recently, Tibshirani et al. (2016) proposed a method for making inferences about parameters defined by model selection, in a typical regression setting with normally distributed errors. Here, we study the large sample properties of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-10 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Alessandro Rinaldo , Robert Tibshirani , Larry Wasserman

Residual bootstrap is a classical method for statistical inference in regression settings. With massive data sets becoming increasingly common, there is a demand for computationally efficient alternatives to residual bootstrap. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Indrila Ganguly , Srijan Sengupta , Sujit Ghosh

Unsupervised neural networks, such as restricted Boltzmann machines (RBMs) and deep belief networks (DBNs), are powerful tools for feature selection and pattern recognition tasks. We demonstrate that overfitting occurs in such models just…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-20 Baiyang Wang , Diego Klabjan

A significant hurdle for analyzing large sample data is the lack of effective statistical computing and inference methods. An emerging powerful approach for analyzing large sample data is subsampling, by which one takes a random subsample…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-24 Rong Zhu , Ping Ma , Michael W. Mahoney , Bin Yu

This paper studies parametric bootstrap methods for network data, with the goal of quantifying the uncertainty of network statistics of interest. While existing network resampling methods primarily focus on count statistics under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Zhixuan Shao , Can M. Le

Deep, overparameterized regression models are notorious for their tendency to overfit. This problem is exacerbated in heteroskedastic models, which predict both mean and residual noise for each data point. At one extreme, these models fit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

In recent years, bootstrap methods have drawn attention for their ability to approximate the laws of "max statistics" in high-dimensional problems. A leading example of such a statistic is the coordinate-wise maximum of a sample average of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Miles E. Lopes , Zhenhua Lin , Hans-Georg Mueller

From benign overfitting in overparameterized models to rich power-law scalings in performance, simple ridge regression displays surprising behaviors sometimes thought to be limited to deep neural networks. This balance of phenomenological…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Alexander Atanasov , Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker