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Neural dynamical systems with stable attractor structures, such as point attractors and continuous attractors, are hypothesized to underlie meaningful temporal behavior that requires working memory. However, working memory may not support…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-25 Il Memming Park , Ábel Ságodi , Piotr Aleksander Sokół

Long memory in the sense of slowly decaying autocorrelations is a stylized fact in many time series from economics and finance. The fractionally integrated process is the workhorse model for the analysis of these time series. Nevertheless,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Uwe Hassler , Marc-Oliver Pohle

Time series forecasting is an important and forefront task in many real-world applications. However, most of time series forecasting techniques assume that the training data is clean without anomalies. This assumption is unrealistic since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Hao Cheng , Qingsong Wen , Yang Liu , Liang Sun

The performance of transformers for time-series forecasting has improved significantly. Recent architectures learn complex temporal patterns by segmenting a time-series into patches and using the patches as tokens. The patch size controls…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yitian Zhang , Liheng Ma , Soumyasundar Pal , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Neural systems are well known for their ability to learn and store information as memories. Even more impressive is their ability to abstract these memories to create complex internal representations, enabling advanced functions such as the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Lindsay M. Smith , Jason Z. Kim , Zhixin Lu , Dani S. Bassett

Neuroscience is experiencing a data revolution in which many hundreds or thousands of neurons are recorded simultaneously. Currently, there is little consensus on how such data should be analyzed. Here we introduce LFADS (Latent Factor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-24 David Sussillo , Rafal Jozefowicz , L. F. Abbott , Chethan Pandarinath

Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sheng Pan , Ming Jin , Bo Du , Shirui Pan

Time series forecasting (TSF) holds significant importance in modern society, spanning numerous domains. Previous representation learning-based TSF algorithms typically embrace a contrastive learning paradigm featuring segregated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Jiaxin Gao , Yuxiao Hu , Qinglong Cao , Siqi Dai , Yuntian Chen

Asynchronous Time Series is a multivariate time series where all the channels are observed asynchronously-independently, making the time series extremely sparse when aligning them. We often observe this effect in applications with complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Johannes Burchert , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Time series forecasting (TSF) faces challenges in modeling complex intra-channel temporal dependencies and inter-channel correlations. Although recent research has highlighted the efficiency of linear architectures in capturing global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Gawon Lee , Hanbyeol Park , Minseop Kim , Dohee Kim , Hyerim Bae

While anomaly detection in time series has been an active area of research for several years, most recent approaches employ an inadequate evaluation criterion leading to an inflated F1 score. We show that a rudimentary Random Guess method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Keval Doshi , Shatha Abudalou , Yasin Yilmaz

In Chaos, a minor divergence between two initial conditions exhibits exponential amplification over time, leading to far-away outcomes, known as the butterfly effect. Thus, the distant future is full of uncertainty and hard to forecast. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Md Kowsher , Abdul Rafae Khan , Jia Xu

Two recent papers on prediction of chaotic systems, one on multi-view embedding1 , and the second on prediction in projection2 provide empirical evidence to support particular prediction methods for chaotic systems. Multi-view embedding1 is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-14 M. LuValle

Neural collaborative filtering (NCF) and recurrent recommender systems (RRN) have been successful in modeling user-item relational data. However, they are also limited in their assumption of static or sequential modeling of relational data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Xian Wu , Baoxu Shi , Yuxiao Dong , Chao Huang , Nitesh Chawla

Reliable traffic flow prediction is crucial to creating intelligent transportation systems. Many big-data-based prediction approaches have been developed but they do not reflect complicated dynamic interactions between roads considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Won Kyung Lee , Deuk Sin Kwon , So Young Sohn

Multivariate time series forecasting focuses on predicting future values based on historical context. State-of-the-art sequence-to-sequence models rely on neural attention between timesteps, which allows for temporal learning but fails to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Jake Grigsby , Zhe Wang , Nam Nguyen , Yanjun Qi

Learning accurate predictive models of real-world dynamic phenomena (e.g., climate, biological) remains a challenging task. One key issue is that the data generated by both natural and artificial processes often comprise time series that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Abdul Fatir Ansari , Alvin Heng , Andre Lim , Harold Soh

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

Modeling brain dynamics to better understand and control complex behaviors underlying various cognitive brain functions are of interests to engineers, mathematicians, and physicists from the last several decades. With a motivation of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-21 Benjamin Plaster , Gautam Kumar

The nonlinear nature of chaotic systems results in extreme sensitivity to initial conditions and highly intricate dynamical behaviors, posing fundamental challenges for accurately predicting their evolution. To overcome the limitation that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Junwen Ma , Mingyu Ge , Yisen Wang , Yong Zhang , Weicheng Fu