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Matching algorithms are commonly used to predict matches between items in a collection. For example, in 1:1 face verification, a matching algorithm predicts whether two face images depict the same person. Accurately assessing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Pietro Perona

While conformal predictors reap the benefits of rigorous statistical guarantees on their error frequency, the size of their corresponding prediction sets is critical to their practical utility. Unfortunately, there is currently a lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Guneet S. Dhillon , George Deligiannidis , Tom Rainforth

Point estimation of class prevalences in the presence of data set shift has been a popular research topic for more than two decades. Less attention has been paid to the construction of confidence and prediction intervals for estimates of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-23 Dirk Tasche

In data mining, when binary prediction rules are used to predict a binary outcome, many performance measures are used in a vast array of literature for the purposes of evaluation and comparison. Some examples include classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Zheng Yuan , Wenxin Jiang

We consider clinical trials in which an experimental treatment is compared with a control in pre-specified patient subpopulations. In such settings, adaptive enrichment designs allow the enrolled population to be modified at an interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Enyu Li , Nigel Stallard , Ekkehard Glimm , Dominic Magirr , Peter K. Kimani

Consider a linear regression model with independent and identically normally distributed random errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is a specified linear combination of the regression parameters. We prove that the usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri , Hannes Leeb

We consider systems whose lifetime is measured by the time of physical degradation of components, as well as the degree of power each component contributes to the system. The lifetimes of the components of the system are random variables.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Ismihan Bayramoglu

In the analysis of clustered and longitudinal data, which includes a covariate that varies both between and within clusters (e.g. time-varying covariate in longitudinal data), a Hausman pretest is commonly used to decide whether subsequent…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-15 Paul Kabaila , Rheanna Mainzer , Davide Farchione

We consider the classic problem of interval estimation of a proportion $p$ based on binomial sampling. The "exact" Clopper-Pearson confidence interval for $p$ is known to be unnecessarily conservative. We propose coverage-adjustments of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

We propose a frequentist testing procedure that maintains a defined coverage and is optimal in the sense that it gives maximal power to detect deviations from a null hypothesis when the alternative to the null hypothesis is sampled from a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Christian Bartels , Johanna Mielke , Ekkehard Glimm

Battery cycle life prediction using early degradation data has many potential applications throughout the battery product life cycle. For that reason, various data-driven methods have been proposed for point prediction of battery cycle life…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-25 Huang Zhang , Yang Su , Faisal Altaf , Torsten Wik , Sebastien Gros

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

We present a method of constructing statistical intervals that obtain a natural middle ground between Bayesian and frequentist statistical intervals, previously unexplored in literature: To a p% Bayesian credible interval we should assign a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Tim Ritmeester

The Clopper-Pearson confidence interval has ever been documented as an exact approach in some statistics literature. More recently, such approach of interval estimation has been introduced to probabilistic control theory and has been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Confidence interval performance is typically assessed in terms of two criteria: coverage probability and interval width (or margin of error). In this paper, we assess the performance of four common proportion interval estimators: the Wald,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-17 Owen McGrath , Kevin Burke

Smartphones and smartphone apps have undergone an explosive growth in the past decade. However, smartphone battery technology hasn't been able to keep pace with the rapid growth of the capacity and the functionality of smartphones and apps.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-01-15 Huoran Li , Xuanzhe Liu , Qiaozhu Mei

The standard confidence interval for a population proportion covered in the overwhelming majority of introductory and intermediate statistics textbooks surprisingly remains the Wald confidence interval despite having a poor coverage…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Nabil Kahouadji

To understand their data better, astronomers need to use statistical tools that are more advanced than traditional ``freshman lab'' statistics. As an illustration, the problem of combining apparently incompatible measurements of a quantity…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 William H. Press

The $\Lambda_{c}^{+}$ lifetime is measured using 9.0 fb$^{-1}$ of $e^+e^-$ annihilation data collected on or just below the $\Upsilon(4S)$ resonance with the CLEO II.V detector at CESR. Using an unbinned maximum likelihood fit, the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2010-04-08 A. H. Mahmood , CLEO Collaboration

In this paper, we study the classical problem of estimating the proportion of a finite population. First, we consider a fixed sample size method and derive an explicit sample size formula which ensures a mixed criterion of absolute and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-03 Xinjia Chen