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The concept of intrinsic credibility has been recently introduced to check the credibility of "out of the blue" findings without any prior support. A significant result is deemed intrinsically credible if it is in conflict with a sceptical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Leonhard Held

The analytic characterization of the high-dimensional behavior of optimization for Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) with Gaussian data has been a central focus in statistics and probability in recent years. While convex cases, such as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Matteo Vilucchio , Yatin Dandi , Matéo Pirio Rossignol , Cedric Gerbelot , Florent Krzakala

P-values are a mainstay in statistics but are often misinterpreted. We propose a new interpretation of p-value as a meaningful plausibility, where this is to be interpreted formally within the inferential model framework. We show that, for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

This paper develops an improved surrogate data test to show experimental evidence, for all the simple vowels of US English, for both male and female speakers, that Gaussian linear prediction analysis, a ubiquitous technique in current…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-23 Max Little , Patrick E. McSharry , Irene M. Moroz , Stephen J. Roberts

We consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem. Unlike many papers on the topic, we do not require sparsity of the regression coefficients; instead, our main structural assumption is a decay of eigenvalues of the covariance matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Igor Silin , Jianqing Fan

Consider the {$\ell_{\alpha}$} regularized linear regression, also termed Bridge regression. For $\alpha\in (0,1)$, Bridge regression enjoys several statistical properties of interest such as sparsity and near-unbiasedness of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Jorge Loría , Anindya Bhadra

This work proposes a machine-learning framework for constructing statistical models of errors incurred by approximate solutions to parameterized systems of nonlinear equations. These approximate solutions may arise from early termination of…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Brian A. Freno , Kevin T. Carlberg

We consider learning methods based on the regularization of a convex empirical risk by a squared Hilbertian norm, a setting that includes linear predictors and non-linear predictors through positive-definite kernels. In order to go beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

This paper tackles the problem of robust covariance matrix estimation when the data is incomplete. Classical statistical estimation methodologies are usually built upon the Gaussian assumption, whereas existing robust estimation ones assume…

Confirmation bias, the tendency to interpret information in a way that aligns with one's preconceptions, can profoundly impact scientific research, leading to conclusions that reflect the researcher's hypotheses even when the observational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-09 Amnon Balanov , Tamir Bendory , Wasim Huleihel

In this paper, we develop invariance-based procedures for testing and inference in high-dimensional regression models. These procedures, also known as randomization tests, provide several important advantages. First, for the global null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis

Homogeneity, low rank, and sparsity are three widely adopted assumptions in multi-response regression models to address the curse of dimensionality and improve estimation accuracy. However, there is limited literature that examines these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Ruipeng Dong , Ganggang Xu , Yongtao Guan

The practical implementation of Bayesian inference requires numerical approximation when closed-form expressions are not available. What types of accuracy (convergence) of the numerical approximations guarantee robustness and what types do…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-21 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel

This paper presents a Bayesian approach to multiple-output quantile regression. The unconditional model is proven to be consistent and asymptotically correct frequentist confidence intervals can be obtained. The prior for the unconditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-11 Michael Guggisberg

Regression is the workhorse of statistics, and is often faced with real data that contain outliers. When these are casewise outliers, that is, cases that are entirely wrong or belong to a different population, the issue can be remedied by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw

Finite sample properties of random covariance-type matrices have been the subject of much research. In this paper we focus on the "lower tail" of such a matrix, and prove that it is subgaussian under a simple fourth moment assumption on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

The sparse linear regression problem is difficult to handle with usual sparse optimization models when both predictors and measurements are either quantized or represented in low-precision, due to non-convexity. In this paper, we provide a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Vito Cerone , Sophie M. Fosson , Diego Regruto

Bayesian statistics has gained popularity in psychological research due to its intuitive uncertainty quantification and convenient information-updating rules. In many applications, however, prior distributions are introduced merely as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yang Liu , Jonathan P. Williams , Jan Hannig

In this paper, we study the trace regression when a matrix of parameters B* is estimated via the convex relaxation of a rank-regularized regression or via regularized non-convex optimization. It is known that these estimators satisfy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Nima Hamidi , Mohsen Bayati

Bayesian inference requires specification of a single, precise prior distribution, whereas frequentist inference only accommodates a vacuous prior. Since virtually every real-world application falls somewhere in between these two extremes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ryan Martin