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Corresponding to $n$ independent non-negative random variables $X_1,...,X_n$, are values $M_1,...,M_n$, where each $M_i$ is the expected value of the maximum of $n$ independent copies of $X_i$. We obtain an upper bound to the expected value…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-06 Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Aidan Sudbury , Daniel Tokarev

We propose new ways to compare two latent distributions when only ordinal data are available and without imposing parametric assumptions on the underlying continuous distributions. First, we contribute identification results. We show how…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-10 David M. Kaplan , Wei Zhao

Models based on assumptions of multivariate regular variation and hidden regular variation provide ways to describe a broad range of extremal dependence structures when marginal distributions are heavy tailed. Multivariate regular variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Janet E. Heffernan , Sidney I. Resnick

This paper extends classical probabilistic results to the broader class of demimartingales and demisubmartingales. We establish variants of Doob's-type optional sampling theorem under minimal structural conditions on stopping times, relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Milto Hadjikyriakou , B. L. S Prakasa Rao

We study the statistical properties of random numbers under the Martin-L\"of definition of randomness, proving that random numbers obey analogues of Strong Law of Large Numbers, the Law of the Iterated Logarithm, and that they are normal.…

Logic · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Matthew Pancia

We generalize the optimal coupling theorem to multiple random variables: Given a collection of random variables, it is possible to couple all of them so that any two differ with probability comparable to the total-variation distance between…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-10 Omer Angel , Yinon Spinka

This paper deals with order identification for nested models in the i.i.d. framework. We study the asymptotic efficiency of two generalized likelihood ratio tests of the order. They are based on two estimators which are proved to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Antoine Chambaz

Consider a sequence of $n$ independent random variables with a common continuous distribution $F$, and consider the task of choosing an increasing subsequence where the observations are revealed sequentially and where an observation must be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Alessandro Arlotto , Vinh V. Nguyen , J. Michael Steele

For a sequence $\{X_{n}, \, n \geqslant 1 \}$ of nonnegative random variables where $\max[\min(X_{n} - s,t),0]$, $t > s \geqslant 0$, satisfy a moment inequality, sufficient conditions are given under which $\sum_{k=1}^n (X_k - \mathbb{E}…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 João Lita da Silva

We generalize the concept of extremal index of a stationary random sequence to the series scheme of identically distributed random variables with random series sizes tending to infinity in probability. We introduce new extremal indices…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Alexey V. Lebedev

A Peskun ordering between two samplers, implying a dominance of one over the other, is known among the Markov chain Monte Carlo community for being a remarkably strong result. It is however also known for being a result that is notably…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-20 Philippe Gagnon , Florian Maire

This paper investigates a statistical procedure for testing the equality of two independent estimated covariance matrices when the number of potentially dependent data vectors is large and proportional to the size of the vectors, that is,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Rémy Mariétan , Stephan Morgenthaler

The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity and dependence between increments.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Mauro Politi , Nicolas Millot , Anirban Chakraborti

We provide an efficient algorithm to generate random samples from the bounded kth order statistic in a sample of independent, but not necessarily identically distributed, random variables. The bounds can be upper or lower bounds and need…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-13 Tyler Morrison , Sean Pinkney

Let $M_n^{(k)}$ denote the $k$th largest maximum of a sample $(X_1,X_2,...,X_n)$ from parent $X$ with continuous distribution. Assume there exist normalizing constants $a_n>0$, $b_n\in \mathbb{R}$ and a nondegenerate distribution $G$ such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-06 Zuoxiang Peng , Jiaona Li , Saralees Nadarajah

Conditional mutual information is important in the selection and interpretation of graphical models. Its empirical version is well known as a generalised likelihood ratio test and that it may be represented as a difference in entropy. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-20 Joe Whittaker , Florian Martin , Yang Xiang

Algorithms for hyperparameter optimization abound, all of which work well under different and often unverifiable assumptions. Motivated by the general challenge of sequentially choosing which algorithm to use, we study the more specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-12 Robert Nishihara , David Lopez-Paz , Léon Bottou

We numerically study a billiard system with a time-dependent force, and our results suggest the existence of a limitation on possible transitions between steady states in Hamiltonian chaos, in analogy to the limitation on transitions…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Shin-ichi Sasa

This paper examines the biases and performance of several uncertain inference systems: Mycin, a variant of Mycin. and a simplified version of probability using conditional independence assumptions. We present axiomatic arguments for using…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Ben P. Wise

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski