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Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

The statistical modelling of spatial extremes has recently made major advances. Much of its focus so far has been on the modelling of the magnitudes of extreme events but little attention has been paid on the timing of extremes. To address…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Clément Dombry , Mathieu Ribatet , Stilian Stoev

In this paper we improve some existing results concerning the approximation of the distribution of extremes of a 1-dependent and stationary sequence of random variables. We enlarge the range of applicability and improve the approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Alexandru Amarioarei

In this paper, we investigate temporal clusters of extremes defined as subsequent exceedances of high thresholds in a stationary time series. Two meaningful features of these clusters are the probability distribution of the cluster size and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Marco Oesting , Alexander Schnurr

Statistical inference for extreme values of random events is difficult in practice due to low sample sizes and inaccurate models for the studied rare events. If prior knowledge for extreme values is available, Bayesian statistics can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Tobias Kallehauge

Consider a random sample $X_1 , X_2 , ..., X_n$ drawn independently and identically distributed from some known sampling distribution $P_X$. Let $X_{(1)} \le X_{(2)} \le ... \le X_{(n)}$ represent the order statistics of the sample. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , Cynthia Rush

Acquisition of data is a difficult task in many applications of machine learning, and it is only natural that one hopes and expects the population risk to decrease (better performance) monotonically with increasing data points. It turns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Zakaria Mhammedi

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

We obtain the analogue of the classical result by Erd\"os and Kac on the limiting distribution of the maximum of partial sums for exchangeable random variables with zero mean and variance one. We show that, if the conditions of the central…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Patricia Alonso Ruiz , Alexander S. Rakitko

Continuing the work of [9] who defined the restrictiveness of stochastic orders and calculated the restrictiveness of the usual stochastic order and the likelihood ratio order, we calculate the restrictiveness of the hazard rate order.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Sela Fried

We derive the most probable distribution of resources for a simple society. We find that a probabilistic analysis forbids both too much and too less equity, and selects instead a minimally ordered state. We give the detailed calculations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Daniel O. Badagnani

In this paper, we consider finite mixture models with modified proportional hazard rates. Sufficient conditions for the usual stochastic order and the hazard order are established under chain majorization. We study stochastic comparisons…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Lina Guo

Formalising the confrontation of opinions (models) to observations (data) is the task of Inferential Statistics. Information Theory provides us with a basic functional, the relative entropy (or Kullback-Leibler divergence), an asymmetrical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 François Bavaud

There is a growing body of work on sorting and selection in models other than the unit-cost comparison model. This work is the first treatment of a natural stochastic variant of the problem where the cost of comparing two elements is a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-10-02 Stanislav Angelov , Keshav Kunal , Andrew McGregor

We use the exact finite sample likelihood and statistical decision theory to answer questions of ``why?'' and ``what should you have done?'' using data from randomized experiments and a utility function that prioritizes safety over…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-26 Neil Christy , A. E. Kowalski

We provide a general framework to study stochastic sequences related to individual learning in economics, learning automata in computer sciences, social learning in marketing, and other applications. More precisely, we study the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Carlos Oyarzun , Johannes Ruf

We propose a novel coupling inequality of the min-max type for two random matrices with finite absolute third moments, which generalizes the quantitative versions of the well-known inequalities by Gordon. Previous results have calculated…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Zijun Chen , Yiming Chen , Chengfu Wei

We review with a tutorial scope the information theory foundations of quantum statistical physics. Only a small proportion of the variables that characterize a system at the microscopic scale can be controlled, for both practical and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Balian

We consider extremal eigenvalues of sparse random matrices, a class of random matrices including the adjacency matrices of Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graphs $\mathcal{G}(N,p)$. Recently, it was shown that the leading order fluctuations of extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Jaehun Lee

Strassen's classical martingale coupling theorem states that two real-valued random variables are ordered in the convex (resp.\ increasing convex) stochastic order if and only if they admit a martingale (resp.\ submartingale) coupling. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Lasse Leskelä , Matti Vihola
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