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Autoregressive and recurrent networks have achieved remarkable progress across various fields, from weather forecasting to molecular generation and Large Language Models. Despite their strong predictive capabilities, these models lack a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Dario Coscia , Max Welling , Nicola Demo , Gianluigi Rozza

The growing interest in Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) stems from their ability to model complex dynamics and deliver superior performance. However, TGNNs encounter fundamental challenges in capturing long-term dependencies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Hongjiang Chen , Pengfei Jiao , Ming Du , Xuan Guo , Zhidong Zhao , Di Jin , Xiao Liu

This study investigates the vulnerability of time series classification models to adversarial attacks, with a focus on how these models process local versus global information under such conditions. By leveraging the Normalized Auto…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Zhengyang Li , Wenhao Liang , Chang Dong , Weitong Chen , Dong Huang

Multivariate functional data arise in a wide range of applications. One fundamental task is to understand the causal relationships among these functional objects of interest, which has not yet been fully explored. In this article, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Fangting Zhou , Kejun He , Kunbo Wang , Yanxun Xu , Yang Ni

Learning temporal patterns from multivariate longitudinal data is challenging especially in cases when data is sporadic, as often seen in, e.g., healthcare applications where the data can suffer from irregularity and asynchronicity as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Mostafa Mehdipour Ghazi , Lauge Sørensen , Sébastien Ourselin , Mads Nielsen

This paper studies linear reconstruction of partially observed functional data which are recorded on a discrete grid. We propose a novel estimation approach based on approximate factor models with increasing rank taking into account…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Maximilian Ofner , Siegfried Hörmann

We analyze a varying-coefficient dynamic spatial autoregressive model with spatial fixed effects. One salient feature of the model is the incorporation of multiple spatial weight matrices through their linear combinations with varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Zetai Cen , Yudong Chen , Clifford Lam

Spatially misaligned data, where the response and covariates are observed at different spatial locations, commonly arise in many environmental studies. Much of the statistical literature on handling spatially misaligned data has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Z. Y. Tho , F. K. C. Hui , A. H. Welsh , T. Zou

Time series forecasting (TSF) faces challenges in modeling complex intra-channel temporal dependencies and inter-channel correlations. Although recent research has highlighted the efficiency of linear architectures in capturing global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Gawon Lee , Hanbyeol Park , Minseop Kim , Dohee Kim , Hyerim Bae

In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

Efficient machine translation models are commercially important as they can increase inference speeds, and reduce costs and carbon emissions. Recently, there has been much interest in non-autoregressive (NAR) models, which promise faster…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Jindřich Helcl , Barry Haddow , Alexandra Birch

We propose a function-on-function linear regression model for time-dependent curve data that is consistently estimated by imposing factor structures on the regressors. An integral operator based on cross-covariances identifies two…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-08 Sven Otto , Luis Winter

The functional autoregressive model is a Markov model taylored for data of functional nature. It revealed fruitful when attempting to model samples of dependent random curves and has been widely studied along the past few years. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Mas

In many Industry 4.0 data analytics applications, quality characteristic data acquired from manufacturing processes are better modeled as functions, often referred to as profiles. In practice, there are situations where a scalar quality…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Murat Kulahci , Antonio Lepore , Biagio Palumbo , Gianluca Sposito

Along with the widespread adoption of high-dimensional data, traditional statistical methods face significant challenges in handling problems with high correlation of variables, heavy-tailed distribution, and coexistence of sparse and dense…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Xiaoyang Wei , Yanlin Tang , Xu Guo , Meiling Hao , Yanmei Shi

We introduce a new approach to functional causal modeling from observational data, called Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNN). CGNN leverages the power of neural networks to learn a generative model of the joint distribution of the…

Reconstructing noise-driven nonlinear networks from time series of output variables is a challenging problem, which turns to be very difficult when nonlinearity of dynamics, strong noise impacts and low measurement frequencies jointly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-20 Rundong Shi , Gang Hu , Shihong Wang

This paper proposes implicit CF-NADE, a neural autoregressive model for collaborative filtering tasks using implicit feedback ( e.g. click, watch, browse behaviors). We first convert a users implicit feedback into a like vector and a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-09-14 Yin Zheng , Cailiang Liu , Bangsheng Tang , Hanning Zhou

In this study, we present a novel constraint-based algorithm for causal structure learning specifically designed for nonlinear autoregressive time series. Our algorithm significantly reduces computational complexity compared to existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Mohammad Fesanghary , Achintya Gopal

We consider a time series model involving a fractional stochastic component, whose integration order can lie in the stationary/invertible or nonstationary regions and be unknown, and an additive deterministic component consisting of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 P. M. Robinson