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We consider the problem of evaluating designs for a two-arm randomized experiment with an incidence (binary) outcome under a nonparametric general response model. Our two main results are that the priori pair matching design of Greevy et…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Adam Kapelner , Abba M. Krieger , David Azriel

We consider the performance of the difference-in-means estimator in a two-arm randomized experiment under common experimental endpoints such as continuous (regression), incidence, proportion and survival. We examine performance under both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 David Azriel , Abba M. Krieger , Adam Kapelner

We consider the asymptotic power performance under local alternatives of the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test. Our setting is non-traditional: we investigate randomized experiments that assign subjects via Fisher's blocking design. We show that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 David Azriel , Adam Kapelner , Abba M. Krieger

This paper considers the optimal adaptive allocation of measurement effort for identifying the best among a finite set of options or designs. An experimenter sequentially chooses designs to measure and observes noisy signals of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Daniel Russo

In randomized controlled trials (RCTs), treatment is often assigned by stratified randomization. I show that among all stratified randomization schemes which treat all units with probability one half, a certain matched-pair design achieves…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-17 Yuehao Bai

Pairwise comparison data arises in many domains, including tournament rankings, web search, and preference elicitation. Given noisy comparisons of a fixed subset of pairs of items, we study the problem of estimating the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-20 Ashwin Pananjady , Cheng Mao , Vidya Muthukumar , Martin J. Wainwright , Thomas A. Courtade

We investigate high-dimensional sparse regression when both the noise and the design matrix exhibit heavy-tailed behavior. Standard algorithms typically fail in this regime, as heavy-tailed covariates distort the empirical risk geometry. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Kaiyuan Zhou , Xiaoyu Zhang , Wenyang Zhang , Di Wang

Causal analyses for observational studies are often complicated by covariate imbalances among treatment groups, and matching methodologies alleviate this complication by finding subsets of treatment groups that exhibit covariate balance. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Zach Branson

We introduce a new analysis of an adaptive mixture method that combines outputs of two constituent filters running in parallel to model an unknown desired signal. This adaptive mixture is shown to achieve the mean square error (MSE)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-03-20 Mehmet A. Donmez , Sait Tunc , Suleyman S. Kozat

Matching mechanisms play a central role in operations management across diverse fields including education, healthcare, and online platforms. However, experimentally comparing a new matching algorithm against a status quo presents some…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chonghuan Wang

In experimental design, we are given a large collection of vectors, each with a hidden response value that we assume derives from an underlying linear model, and we wish to pick a small subset of the vectors such that querying the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Michał Dereziński , Kenneth L. Clarkson , Michael W. Mahoney , Manfred K. Warmuth

Audio signal processing algorithms are frequently assessed through subjective listening tests in which participants directly score degraded signals on a unidimensional numerical scale. However, this approach is susceptible to…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Jack Webb , Lorenzo Picinali

A basic feature of many field experiments is that investigators are only able to randomize clusters of individuals--such as households, communities, firms, medical practices, schools or classrooms--even when the individual is the unit of…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-21 Kosuke Imai , Gary King , Clayton Nall

This paper presents new results on linear transceiver designs in a multiple-input-multiple-output (MIMO) link. By considering the minimal total mean-square error (MSE) criterion, we prove that the robust optimal linear transceiver design…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-04 Hongying Tang , Wen Chen , Jun Li

Sparse coding refers to the pursuit of the sparsest representation of a signal in a typically overcomplete dictionary. From a Bayesian perspective, sparse coding provides a Maximum a Posteriori (MAP) estimate of the unknown vector under a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-04 Dror Simon , Jeremias Sulam , Yaniv Romano , Yue M. Lu , Michael Elad

Numerous publications have now addressed the principles of designing, analyzing, and reporting the results of, stepped-wedge cluster randomized trials. In contrast, there is little research available pertaining to the design and analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Michael Grayling , Adrian Mander , James Wason

A number of applications (e.g., AI bot tournaments, sports, peer grading, crowdsourcing) use pairwise comparison data and the Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model to evaluate a given collection of items (e.g., bots, teams, students, search…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Jingyan Wang , Nihar B. Shah , R. Ravi

Separating signal from noise is central to experiments. Applying well-established statistical methods effectively to LLM evals requires consideration of their unique noise characteristics. We clearly define and measure three types of noise:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Sida Wang

This work proposes a statistical model for crossover trials with multiple skewed responses measured in each period. A 3 $\times$ 3 crossover trial data where different drug doses were administered to subjects with a history of seasonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Savita Pareek , Kalyan Das , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

When recovering an unknown signal from noisy measurements, the computational difficulty of performing optimal Bayesian MMSE (minimum mean squared error) inference often necessitates the use of maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference, a special…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-23 Madhu Advani , Surya Ganguli
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