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This paper introduces a new approach for continual planning and model learning in relational, non-stationary stochastic environments. Such capabilities are essential for the deployment of sequential decision-making systems in the uncertain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Rushang Karia , Pulkit Verma , Alberto Speranzon , Siddharth Srivastava

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li

Many decision making systems deployed in the real world are not static - a phenomenon known as model adaptation takes place over time. The need for transparency and interpretability of AI-based decision models is widely accepted and thus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 André Artelt , Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Robert Feldhans , Barbara Hammer

Dormancy is a widespread adaptive strategy that enables populations to persist in fluctuating environments, yet how its benefits depend on the temporal structure of environmental variability remains unclear. We examine how dormancy…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-08 Jorge Hidalgo , Lorenzo Fant , Rafael Rubio de Casas , Miguel A. Muñoz

A fundamental (and largely open) challenge in sequential decision-making is dealing with non-stationary environments, where exogenous environmental conditions change over time. Such problems are traditionally modeled as non-stationary…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Baiting Luo , Yunuo Zhang , Abhishek Dubey , Ayan Mukhopadhyay

A perfectly rational decision-maker chooses the best action with the highest utility gain from a set of possible actions. The optimality principles that describe such decision processes do not take into account the computational costs of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-12-25 Jordi Grau-Moya , Daniel A. Braun

In this paper we revisit a class of optimal transport problems associated to non-autonomous linear control systems. Building on properties of the cost functions on $\mathbb{R}^{d}\times\mathbb{R}^{d}$ derived from suitable variational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Amit Einav , Yue Jiang , Alpár R. Mészáros

This paper considers time-inconsistent problems when control and stopping strategies are required to be made simultaneously (called stopping control problems by us). We first formulate the timeinconsistent stopping control problems under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Zongxia Liang , Fengyi Yuan

In the classical stochastic resetting problem, a particle, moving according to some stochastic dynamics, undergoes random interruptions that bring it to a selected domain, and then, the process recommences. Hitherto, the resetting mechanism…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-08 Carlos A. Plata , Deepak Gupta , Sandro Azaele

We investigate the impact of Knightian uncertainty on the optimal timing policy of an ambiguity averse decision maker in the case where the underlying factor dynamics follow a multidimensional Brownian motion and the exercise payoff depends…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Luis H. R. Alvarez E. , Sören Christensen

Firms increasingly rely on dynamic pricing to respond to evolving customer demand, yet in many applications they observe only the revenue generated by a single posted price in each period. At the same time, market conditions may shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Xiangyu Yang , Feng Xu , Jian-Qiang Hu , Jiaqiao Hu

We study long-range interacting systems driven by external stochastic forces that act collectively on all the particles constituting the system. Such a scenario is frequently encountered in the context of plasmas, self-gravitating systems,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-03 Cesare Nardini , Shamik Gupta , Stefano Ruffo , Thierry Dauxois , Freddy Bouchet

Environmental variations can significantly influence how populations compete for resources, and hence shape their evolution. Here, we study population dynamics subject to a fluctuating environment modeled by a varying carrying capacity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-14 Ami Taitelbaum , Robert West , Mauro Mobilia , Michael Assaf

Given two distinct subsets $A,B$ in the state space of some dynamical system, Transition Path Theory (TPT) was successfully used to describe the statistical behavior of transitions from $A$ to $B$ in the ergodic limit of the stationary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Luzie Helfmann , Enric Ribera Borrell , Christof Schütte , Péter Koltai

Stationarity is a very general, qualitative assumption, that can be assessed on the basis of application specifics. It is thus a rather attractive assumption to base statistical analysis on, especially for problems for which less general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Daniil Ryabko

In many scientific fields, such as economics and neuroscience, we are often faced with nonstationary time series, and concerned with both finding causal relations and forecasting the values of variables of interest, both of which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-01 Biwei Huang , Kun Zhang , Mingming Gong , Clark Glymour

We consider a population of agents competing for finite resources using strategies based on two channels of signals. The model is applicable to financial markets, ecosystems and computer networks. We find that the dynamics of the system is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 K. H. Lee , K. Y. Michael Wong

In this manuscript, we investigate a fractional stochastic neutral differential equation with time delay, which includes both deterministic and stochastic components. Our primary objective is to rigorously prove the existence of a unique…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Javad A. Asadzade , Nazim I. Mahmudov

In this paper we introduce the class of stationary prediction strategies and construct a prediction algorithm that asymptotically performs as well as the best continuous stationary strategy. We make mild compactness assumptions but no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

We study optimal transport for stationary stochastic processes taking values in finite spaces. In order to reflect the stationarity of the underlying processes, we restrict attention to stationary couplings, also known as joinings. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Kevin O'Connor , Kevin McGoff , Andrew B Nobel