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Bellman formulated a vague principle for optimization over time, which characterizes optimal policies by stating that a decision maker should not regret previous decisions retrospectively. This paper addresses time consistency in stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Alois Pichler , Alexander Shapiro

This paper develops a computational framework based on a car-following model to study traffic instability and lane changes. Building upon Newell's classical first-order car-following model, we show that, both analytically and numerically,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Nicholas Mankowski , Hassan Mushtaq , Hanliang Guo

We combine geometric data analysis and stochastic modeling to describe the collective dynamics of complex systems. As an example we apply this approach to financial data and focus on the non-stationarity of the market correlation structure.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-30 Yuriy Stepanov , Philip Rinn , Thomas Guhr , Joachim Peinke , Rudi Schäfer

In the context of individual-level causal inference, we study the problem of predicting whether someone will respond or not to a treatment based on their features and past examples of features, treatment indicator (e.g., drug/no drug), and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-04 Nathan Kallus

This article proposes a non-autonomous mathematical model with delay for confrontation between two countries, and examines the stability of its equilibrium state. Our criteria for stability take into account the influence of the factor of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Teresa Faria , Anatoliy A. Martynyuk

We investigate different turnpike phenomena of generalized discrete-time stochastic linear-quadratic optimal control problems. Our analysis is based on a novel strict dissipativity notion for such problems, in which a stationary stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Jonas Schießl , Ruchuan Ou , Timm Faulwasser , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Lars Grüne

Population dynamics are often subject to random independent changes in the environment. For the two strategy stochastic replicator dynamic, we assume that stochastic changes in the environment replace the payoffs and variance. This is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-11 Andrew Vlasic

Considering stationary states of continuous-variable systems undergoing an open dynamics, we unveil the connection between properties and symmetries of the latter and the dynamical parameters. In particular, we explore the relation between…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-29 F. Nicacio , M. Paternostro , A. Ferraro

For networked systems, the control law is typically subject to network flaws such as delays and packet dropouts. Hence, the time in between updates of the control law varies unexpectedly. Here, we present a stability theorem for nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-30 Lars Grüne , Jürgen Pannek , Karl Worthmann

This paper studies a central planner's decision making on behalf of a group of members with diverse discount rates. In the context of optimal stopping, we work with an aggregation preference to incorporate all discount rates via an attitude…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Shuoqing Deng , Xiang Yu , Jiacheng Zhang

Given two probability measures on sequential data, we investigate the transport problem with time-inconsistent preferences in a discrete-time setting. Motivating examples are nonlinear objectives, state-dependent costs, and regularized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Bingyan Han

By analogy with the theory of Backward Stochastic Differential Equations, we define Backward Stochastic Difference Equations on spaces related to discrete time, finite state processes. This paper considers these processes as constructions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Robert J. Elliott

Empirical modelling often aims for the simplest model consistent with the data. A new technique is presented which quantifies the consistency of the model dynamics as a function of location in state space. As is well-known, traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

Traditional approaches to the design of multi-agent navigation algorithms consider the environment as a fixed constraint, despite the influence of spatial constraints on agents' performance. Yet hand-designing conducive environment layouts…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-22 Zhan Gao , Amanda Prorok

We prove global existence, uniqueness and $\L1$ stability of solutions to general systems of nonlocal conservation laws modeling multiclass vehicular traffic. Each class follows its own speed law and has specific effects on the other…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello , Claudia Nocita

We study a mathematical model motivated by the support/resistance line method in technical analysis where the underlying stock price transitions between three states of nature in a path-dependent manner. For optimal stopping problems with…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-15 Vicky Henderson , Saul Jacka , Ruiqi Liu , Jun Maeda

We introduce an alternative approach for the analysis and numerical approximation of the optimal feedback control mapping. It consists in looking at a typical optimal control problem in such a way that feasible controls are mappings…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-09 Pablo Pedregal

To better characterize the statistical processes underlying human decision-making, we performed experiments where human participants visualized fluctuations of physical nonequilibrium stationary states, and we analyzed responses in the…

The environment in which a population evolves can have a crucial impact on selection. We study evolutionary dynamics in finite populations of fixed size in a changing environment. The population dynamics are driven by birth and death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-01 Peter Ashcroft , Philipp M Altrock , Tobias Galla

There has been a long-standing and at times fractious debate whether complex and large systems can be stable. In ecology, the so-called `diversity-stability debate' arose because mathematical analyses of ecosystem stability were either…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Paul Kirk , Delphine M. Y. Rolando , Adam L. MacLean , Michael P. H. Stumpf
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