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Predictions of global climate models typically operate on coarse spatial scales due to the large computational costs of climate simulations. This has led to a considerable interest in methods for statistical downscaling, a similar process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , Paula Harder , David Rolnick

We introduce the state-of-the-art deep learning Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM) as a method to infer the volume or number density of giant molecular clouds (GMCs) from projected mass surface density maps. We adopt…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2023-06-28 Duo Xu , Jonathan C. Tan , Chia-Jung Hsu , Ye Zhu

A comprehensive geoscientific downscaling model strategy is presented outlining an approach that has evolved over the last 20 years, together with an explanation for its development, its technical aspects, and evaluation scheme. This effort…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-11-25 Rasmus E. Benestad

Although many long-range imaging systems are designed to support extended vision applications, a natural obstacle to their operation is degradation due to atmospheric turbulence. Atmospheric turbulence causes significant degradation to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Nithin Gopalakrishnan Nair , Kangfu Mei , Vishal M. Patel

Machine learning (ML) offers a computationally efficient approach for generating large ensembles of high-resolution climate projections, but deterministic ML methods often smooth fine-scale structures and underestimate extremes. While…

Diffusion models offer stable training and state-of-the-art performance for deep generative modeling tasks. Here, we consider their use in the context of multivariate subsurface modeling and probabilistic inversion. We first demonstrate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Roberto Miele , Niklas Linde

Human activities accelerate consumption of fossil fuels and produce greenhouse gases, resulting in urgent issues today: global warming and the climate change. These indirectly cause severe natural disasters, plenty of lives suffering and…

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Earth System Models (ESMs) are the state of the art for projecting the effects of climate change. However, longstanding uncertainties in their ability to simulate regional and local precipitation extremes and related processes inhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-20 Evan Kodra , Singdhansu Chatterjee , Stone Chen , Auroop R. Ganguly

Understanding how droughts may change in the future is essential for anticipating and mitigating their adverse impacts. However, robust climate projections require large amounts of high-resolution climate simulations, particularly for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-29 Hamish Lewis , Neelesh Rampal , Peter B. Gibson , Luke J. Harrington , Chiara M. Holgate , Anna Ukkola , Nicola M. Maher

Downscaling (DS) of meteorological variables involves obtaining high-resolution states from low-resolution meteorological fields and is an important task in weather forecasting. Previous methods based on deep learning treat downscaling as a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Zili Liu , Hao Chen , Lei Bai , Wenyuan Li , Keyan Chen , Zhengyi Wang , Wanli Ouyang , Zhengxia Zou , Zhenwei Shi

One of the fundamental problems in machine learning is the estimation of a probability distribution from data. Many techniques have been proposed to study the structure of data, most often building around the assumption that observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-22 Oren Rippel , Ryan Prescott Adams

The demand for high-resolution information on climate change is critical for accurate projections and decision-making. Presently, this need is addressed through high-resolution climate models or downscaling. High-resolution models are…

Statistical downscaling of global climate models (GCMs) allows researchers to study local climate change effects decades into the future. A wide range of statistical models have been applied to downscaling GCMs but recent advances in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-15 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Auroop R Ganguly

Uncertainty quantification is crucial to decision-making. A prominent example is probabilistic forecasting in numerical weather prediction. The dominant approach to representing uncertainty in weather forecasting is to generate an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Lizao Li , Rob Carver , Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Fei Sha , John Anderson

Remote sensing change detection is crucial for understanding the dynamics of our planet's surface, facilitating the monitoring of environmental changes, evaluating human impact, predicting future trends, and supporting decision-making. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Wele Gedara Chaminda Bandara , Nithin Gopalakrishnan Nair , Vishal M. Patel

Downscaling is a landmark task in climate science and meteorology in which the goal is to use coarse scale, spatio-temporal data to infer values at finer scales. Statistical downscaling aims to approximate this task using statistical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-12 Brian Groenke , Luke Madaus , Claire Monteleoni

We introduce the optimized dynamic mode decomposition algorithm for constructing an adaptive and computationally efficient reduced order model and forecasting tool for global atmospheric chemistry dynamics. By exploiting a low-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Meghana Velegar , Christoph Keller , J. Nathan Kutz

Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPM) are powerful state-of-the-art methods used to generate synthetic data from high-dimensional data distributions and are widely used for image, audio, and video generation as well as many more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-25 Iskander Azangulov , George Deligiannidis , Judith Rousseau

Extreme floods pose escalating risks in a changing climate, yet forecasting remains challenging due to peak flow underestimation and high uncertainty. We introduce DRUM, a diffusion-based probabilistic deep learning approach that advances…