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We obtain the analogue of the classical result by Erd\"os and Kac on the limiting distribution of the maximum of partial sums for exchangeable random variables with zero mean and variance one. We show that, if the conditions of the central…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Patricia Alonso Ruiz , Alexander S. Rakitko

We provide a simple proof for of the central limit theorem for the number of vertices in the giant for super-critical stochastic block model using the breadth-first walk of Konarovskyi, Limic and the author (2024). Our approach follows the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 David Clancy

Approximating the solution of the nonlinear filtering problem with Gaussian mixtures has been a very popular method since the 1970s. However, the vast majority of such approximations are introduced in an ad-hoc manner without theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-28 Dan Crisan , Kai Li

Recent work in dynamic causal inference introduced a class of discrete-time stochastic processes that generalize martingale difference sequences and arrays as follows: the random variates in each sequence have expectation zero given certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Walter Dempsey , Easton Huch

We study conditions under which treatment effect estimators constructed under the no-interference assumption in randomized experiments are asymptotically normal in the presence of interference. We prove that the standard Horvitz-Thompson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Alex Chin

Stochastic dynamical systems consisting of non-invertible continuous maps on an interval are studied. It is proved that if they satisfy the recently introduced so-called $\mu$-injectivity and some mild assumptions, then proximality,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Oppelmayer , Tomasz Szarek

We consider self-loops and multiple edges in the configuration model as the size of the graph tends to infinity. The interest in these random variables is due to the fact that the configuration model, conditioned on being simple, is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Omer Angel , Remco van der Hofstad , Cecilia Holmgren

This paper concerns the large deviations of a system of interacting particles on a random graph. There is no stochasticity, and the only sources of disorder are the random graph connections, and the initial condition. The average number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-08 James MacLaurin

We study the adjacency matrix of the Linial-Meshulam complex model, which is a higher-dimensional generalization of the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph model. Recently, Knowles and Rosenthal proved that the empirical spectral distribution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Shu Kanazawa , Khanh Duy Trinh

We consider the geodesic flow for a rank one non-positive curvature closed manifold. We prove an asymptotic version of the Central Limit Theorem for families of measures constructed from regular closed geodesics converging to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-11 Daniel J. Thompson , Tianyu Wang

We are interested in a fragmentation process. We observe fragments frozen when their sizes are less than $\epsilon$ ($\epsilon$ > 0). Is is known ([BM05]) that the empirical measure of these fragments converges in law, under some…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Sylvain Rubenthaler

We prove quenched versions of (i) a large deviations principle (LDP), (ii) a central limit theorem (CLT), and (iii) a local central limit theorem (LCLT) for non-autonomous dynamical systems. A key advance is the extension of the spectral…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Davor Dragicevic , Gary Froyland , Cecilia Gonzalez-Tokman , Sandro Vaienti

We introduce a response-theoretic framework that recasts parameter calibration of ergodic stochastic differential equations as a fluctuation-dissipation problem. Our central result is that the full Jacobian of any stationary observable with…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-02 Ludovico T. Giorgini , Tobias Bischoff , Andre N. Souza

Recently, Ishiwata, Kawabi and Kotani [2] proved two kinds of central limit theorems for non-symmetric random walks on crystal lattices from the view point of discrete geometric analysis. In the present paper, we obtain yet another kind of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Ryuya Namba

We study the asymptotics of large, moderate and normal deviations for the connected components of the sparse random graph by the method of stochastic processes. We obtain the logarithmic asymptotics of large deviations of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

In this paper we introduce a general framework for proving lower bounds for various Ramsey type problems within random settings. The main idea is to view the problem from an algorithmic perspective: we aim at providing an algorithm that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-08-25 Rajko Nenadov , Yury Person , Nemanja Škorić , Angelika Steger

We study general random dynamical systems of continuous maps on some compact metric space. Assuming a local contraction condition and uniqueness of the stationary measure, we establish probabilistic limit laws such as the central limit…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Katrin Gelfert , Graccyela Salcedo

In nature or societies, the power-law is present ubiquitously, and then it is important to investigate the mathematical characteristics of power-laws in the recent era of big data. In this paper we prove the superposition of non-identical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Masaru Shintani , Ken Umeno

The number of peaks of a random permutation is known to be asymptotically normal. We give a new proof of this and prove a central limit theorem for the distribution of peaks in a fixed conjugacy class of the symmetric group. Our technique…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Jason Fulman , Gene B. Kim , Sangchul Lee

In a recent breakthrough, Kelley and Meka (FOCS 2023) obtained a strong upper bound on the density of sets of integers without nontrivial three-term arithmetic progressions. In this work, we extend their result, establishing similar bounds…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Yuval Filmus , Hamed Hatami , Kaave Hosseini , Esty Kelman