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We describe a computational framework linking Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods for continuum problems depending on random parameters with Equation-Free (EF) methods for performing continuum deterministic numerics by acting directly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yu Zou , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Deep neural networks has been increasingly applied in fault diagnostics, where it uses historical data to capture systems behavior, bypassing the need for high-fidelity physical models. However, despite their competence in prediction tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Arman Mohammadi , Mattias Krysander , Daniel Jung , Erik Frisk

Using a cyclotron based model problem, we demonstrate for the first time the applicability and usefulness of a uncertainty quantification (UQ) approach in order to construct surrogate models for quantities such as emittance, energy spread…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2018-12-13 Andreas Adelmann

In this work, we consider the Biot problem with uncertain poroelastic coefficients. The uncertainty is modelled using a finite set of parameters with prescribed probability distribution. We present the variational formulation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Michele Botti , Daniele A. Di Pietro , Olivier Le Maître , Pierre Sochala

Stochastic expansion-based methods of uncertainty quantification, such as polynomial chaos and separated representations, require basis functions orthogonal with respect to the density of random inputs. Many modern engineering problems…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-06 Brandon A. Jones , Marc Balducci

We present a general framework for uncertainty quantification that is a mosaic of interconnected models. We define global first and second order structural and correlative sensitivity analyses for random counting measures acting on risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz

In this paper, we study the query complexity of Boolean functions in the presence of uncertainty, motivated by parallel computation with an unlimited number of processors where inputs are allowed to be unknown. We allow each query to…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Deepu Benson , Balagopal Komarath , Nikhil Mande , Sai Soumya Nalli , Jayalal Sarma , Karteek Sreenivasaiah

The prediction of thermo-mechanical behaviour of heterogeneous materials such as heat and moisture transport is strongly influenced by the uncertainty in parameters. Such materials occur e.g. in historic buildings, and the durability…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-03-19 A. Kucerova , J. Sykora , B. Rosic , H. G. Matthies

In the study of complex systems, evaluating physical observables often requires sampling representative configurations via Monte Carlo techniques. These methods rely on repeated evaluations of the system's energy and force fields, which can…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-07-02 Dimitrios Tzivrailis , Alberto Rosso , Eiji Kawasaki

We present a novel way of deciding when and where to refine a mesh in probability space in order to facilitate the uncertainty quantification in the presence of discontinuities in random space. A discontinuity in random space makes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Jing Li , Panagiotis Stinis

Control of nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPS) under uncertainty is a meaningful task for many industrial processes. However, both intrinsic uncertainty and high dimensionality of DPS require intensive computations, while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Min Tao , Ioannis Zacharopoulos , Constantinos Theodoropoulos

Most problems in uncertainty quantification, despite its ubiquitousness in scientific computing, applied mathematics and data science, remain formidable on a classical computer. For uncertainties that arise in partial differential equations…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-09-29 Francois Golse , Shi Jin , Nana Liu

Optimization in the latent space of variational autoencoders is a promising approach to generate high-dimensional discrete objects that maximize an expensive black-box property (e.g., drug-likeness in molecular generation, function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Pascal Notin , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Yarin Gal

Recent advancements in equivariant deep models have shown promise in accurately predicting atomic potentials and force fields in molecular dynamics simulations. Using spherical harmonics (SH) and tensor products (TP), these equivariant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Zhao Xu , Haiyang Yu , Montgomery Bohde , Shuiwang Ji

The growing need for uncertainty analysis of complex computational models has led to an expanding use of meta-models across engineering and sciences. The efficiency of meta-modeling techniques relies on their ability to provide…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Katerina Konakli , Bruno Sudret

Multivariate global polynomial approximations - such as polynomial chaos or stochastic collocation methods - are now in widespread use for sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification. The pseudospectral variety of these methods uses…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Paul G. Constantine , Michael S. Eldred , Eric T. Phipps

Fractional calculus provides a rigorous mathematical framework to describe anomalous stochastic processes by generalizing the notion of classical differential equations to their fractional-order counterparts. By introducing the fractional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Ehsan Kharazmi , Mohsen Zayernouri

Computational cardiac modelling is a mature area of biomedical computing, and is currently evolving from a pure research tool to aiding in clinical decision making. Assessing the reliability of computational model predictions is a key…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-10 Rocío Rodríguez-Cantano , Joakim Sundnes , Marie E. Rognes

Uncertainty quantification is a key aspect in many tasks such as model selection/regularization, or quantifying prediction uncertainties to perform active learning or OOD detection. Within credal approaches that consider modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Tuan-Anh Vu , Sébastien Destercke , Frédéric Pichon

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret