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In the context of uncertainty quantification, computational models are required to be repeatedly evaluated. This task is intractable for costly numerical models. Such a problem turns out to be even more severe for stochastic simulators, the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-29 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Sensitivity analysis (SA) is an important aspect of process automation. It often aims to identify the process inputs that influence the process output's variance significantly. Existing SA approaches typically consider the input-output…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-09 Zhanlin Liu , Ashis G. Banerjee , Youngjun Choe

The fusion of multiple sensor modalities, especially through deep learning architectures, has been an active area of study. However, an under-explored aspect of such work is whether the methods can be robust to degradations across their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-05 Junjiao Tian , Wesley Cheung , Nathan Glaser , Yen-Cheng Liu , Zsolt Kira

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest. One of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-21 Pierre Etoré , Clémentine Prieur , Dang Khoi Pham , Long Li

In the last few decades, uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods have been used widely to ensure the robustness of engineering designs. This chapter aims to detail recent advances in popular uncertainty quantification methods used in…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-08 Dinesh Kumar , Farid Ahmed , Shoaib Usman , Ayodeji Alajo , Syed Alam

Robust optimization is a method for optimization under uncertainties in engineering systems and designs for applications ranging from aeronautics to nuclear. In a robust design process, parameter variability (or uncertainty) is incorporated…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-17 Richa Verma , Dinesh Kumar , Kazuma Kobayashi , Syed Alam

A ubiquitous challenge in design space exploration or uncertainty quantification of complex engineering problems is the minimization of computational cost. A useful tool to ease the burden of solving such systems is model reduction. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-16 Felix Newberry , Jerrad Hampton , Kenneth Jansen , Alireza Doostan

Optimal Bayesian design techniques provide an estimate for the best parameters of an experiment in order to maximize the value of measurements prior to the actual collection of data. In other words, these techniques explore the space of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-11 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for the deployment of image restoration models in safety-critical domains, like autonomous driving and biological imaging. To date, methods for uncertainty visualization have mainly focused on per-pixel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Elias Nehme , Omer Yair , Tomer Michaeli

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in systems describing complex spatiotemporal processes. Our first objective is to identify the embedding of a set of high-dimensional data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-18 Katiana Kontolati , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ketson R. M. dos Santos , Dimitrios G. Giovanis , Michael D. Shields

One of the open problems in the field of forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the ability to form accurate assessments of uncertainty having only incomplete information about the distribution of random inputs. Another challenge is to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Ling Guo , Akil Narayan , Yongle Liu , Tao Zhou

Global sensitivity analysis is a powerful set of ideas and heuristics for understanding the importance and interplay between uncertain parameters in a computational model. Such a model is characterized by a set of input parameters and an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Chun Yui Wong , Pranay Seshadri , Geoffrey T. Parks

Variance-based global sensitivity analysis, in particular Sobol' analysis, is widely used for determining the importance of input variables to a computational model. Sobol' indices can be computed cheaply based on spectral methods like…

Sensitivity analysis (SA) is a procedure for studying how sensitive are the output results of large-scale mathematical models to some uncertainties of the input data. The models are described as a system of partial differential equations.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Ivan Dimov , Rayna Georgieva

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

We have previously reported a Bayesian algorithm for determining the coordinates of points in three-dimensional space from uncertain constraints. This method is useful in the determination of biological molecular structure. It is limited,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Russ B. Altman , Cheng C. Chen , William B. Poland , Jaswinder Pal Singh

In the framework of the estimation of safety margins in nuclear accident analysis, a quantitative assessment of the uncertainties tainting the results of computer simulations is essential. Accurate uncertainty propagation (estimation of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-01 Bertrand Iooss , Amandine Marrel

The consideration of stochastic uncertainty in optimal and predictive control is a well-explored topic. Recently Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCE) have received considerable attention for problems involving stochastically uncertain system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Ruchuan Ou , Learta Januzi , Jonas Schießl , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Lars Grüne , Timm Faulwasser

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

A numerically efficient inverse method for parametric model uncertainty identification using maximum likelihood estimation is presented. The goal is to identify a probability model for a fixed number of model parameters based on a set of…