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Earth systems may fall into an undesirable system state if 1.5 degrees celsius (C) of warming is exceeded. Carbon release from substantial permafrost stocks vulnerable to near-term warming represents a positive climate feedback that may…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-18 Hannah Back , Riley May , Divya Sree Naidu , Steffen Eikenberry

To assess the impact of potential future climate pledges after the first Global Stocktake, we propose a simple, transparent framework for developing emission and temperature scenarios by country. We show that current pledges with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-29 Kushal Tibrewal , Katsumasa Tanaka , Philippe Ciais , Olivier Boucher

Recent attempts at cooperating on climate change mitigation highlight the limited efficacy of large-scale agreements, when commitment to mitigation is costly and initially rare. Bottom-up approaches using region-specific mitigation…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-09 Vadim A. Karatayev , Vítor V. Vasconcelos , Anne-Sophie Lafuite , Simon A. Levin , Chris T. Bauch , Madhur Anand

Effective climate action depends on dismantling the assumptions and oversimplifications that have become the basis of climate policy. The assumption that greenhouse gases (GHG) are fungible and the use of single-point values in normalizing…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-27 Alyssa R. Pfadt-Trilling , Marie-Odile P. Fortier

Climate change and environmental concerns represent a global crisis accompanied by significant economic challenges. Regular international conferences held to address these issues, such as in the UK (2021) and Egypt (2022), spark debate…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-12 Reza Hafezi , David A. Wood , Firouzeh Rosa Taghikhah

Greenhouse gas (GHG) metrics, that is, conversion factors to evaluate the emissions of non-CO2 climate forcers on a common scale with CO2, serve crucial functions upon the implementation of the Paris Agreement. While different metrics have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-04 Katsumasa Tanaka , Olivier Boucher , Philippe Ciais , Daniel J. A. Johansson , Johannes Morfeldt

Energy technologies emitting differing proportions of methane and carbon dioxide vary in their relative climate impacts over time, due to the different atmospheric lifetimes of the two gases. Standard technology comparisons using the global…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-06 Mandira Roy , Morgan R. Edwards , Jessika E. Trancik

The goal of climate change governance is to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations. This requires the reduction of anthropogenic global net emissions. In the pursuit of such a reduction, knowledge of greenhouse gas sources and sinks is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-11 Sébastien Philippe

Anthropogenic emissions of CO2 must soon approach net-zero to stabilize the global mean temperature. Although several international agreements have advocated for coordinated climate actions, their implementation has remained below…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-26 Saverio Perri , Simon Levin , Lars O. Hedin , Nico Wunderling , Amilcare Porporato

Combined climate mitigation/geoengineering approach has better economic utility, less emission control rate and temperature increase than mitigation alone. If setting the 50% reduction rate and 2^\circC temperature increase as constrains,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-03-30 Wang Liang , Huang Qiu-An

Global rice production systems face two opposing challenges: the need to increase production to accommodate the world's growing population while simultaneously reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Adaptations to drainage regimes are one…

Climate adaptation could yield significant benefits. However, the uncertainty of which future climate scenarios will occur decreases the feasibility of proactively adapting. Climate adaptation projects could be underwritten by benefits paid…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-06 John Nay

Recent analyses indicate that the amount of atmospheric CO2 required to cause dangerous climate change is at most 450 ppm, and likely less than that. Reductions of non-CO2 climate forcings can provide only moderate, albeit important,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-06-27 J. Hansen

A first-order analysis concludes it is feasible to store the carbon needed to meet the Paris targets in structural materials and use less energy and at a lower cost than our use of extractive materials, steel, aluminum, and concrete.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-07 Peter Eisenberger

The mitigation of climate change requires a fundamental transition of the energy system. Affordability, reliability and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions constitute central but often conflicting targets for this energy transition.…

Responses to the global climate crisis often focus on the largest current emitters of greenhouse gases. However, analysis shows that about a third of emissions come from a collection of small emitters, each contributing one- to two-percent…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-15 A. D. J. Haymet

The Paris Agreement, considered a significant milestone in climate negotiations, has faced challenges in effectively addressing climate change due to the unconditional nature of most Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). This has…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-07-27 Jobst Heitzig , Jörg Oechssler , Christoph Pröschel , Niranjana Ragavan , Yat Long Lo

The contribution of anthropogenic and natural greenhouse gases to the atmosphere from the territory of Russia, China, USA and Canada to global climate change under different scenarios of anthropogenic emissions in the 21st century has been…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-24 S. N. Denisov , A. V. Eliseev , I. I. Mokhov

Climate policy has become increasingly politicized in many countries including the US, with some political parties unwilling to pursue strong measures. Therefore, to be successful in mitigation, climate policies must be politically…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-13 Andrea Di Benedetto , Claudia E. Wieners , Anna S. von der Heydt

We propose to explore the sustainability of climate policies based on a novel commitment metric. This metric allows to quantify how future generations' scope of action is affected by short-term climate policy. In an example application, we…

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