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We present a novel Bayesian approach to semiotic dynamics, which is a cognitive analogue of the naming game model restricted to two conventions. The one-shot learning that characterizes the agent dynamics in the basic naming game is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-30 Gionni Marchetti , Marco Patriarca , Els Heinsalu

We propose a learning dynamics to model how strategic agents repeatedly play a continuous game while relying on an information platform to learn an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In each time step, the platform updates a belief estimate…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

The present contribution reviews a set of different versions of the basic naming game model, differing in the underlying topology or in the mechanisms regulating the interactions between agents. We include also a Bayesian naming game model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-24 Gionni Marchetti , Els Heinsalu , Marco Patriarca

Despite the striking successes of deep neural networks trained with gradient-based optimization, these methods differ fundamentally from their biological counterparts. This gap raises key questions about how nature achieves robust,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Mattia Scardecchia

Linear dynamical systems are canonical models for learning-based control of plants with uncertain dynamics. The setting consists of a stochastic differential equation that captures the state evolution of the plant understudy, while the true…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Mohamad Sadegh Shirani Faradonbeh

Bifurcations mark qualitative changes of long-term behavior in dynamical systems and can often signal sudden ("hard") transitions or catastrophic events (divergences). Accurately locating them is critical not just for deeper understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yorgos M. Psarellis , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

We study the recently introduced Bayesian naming game model, in which the one-shot learning of the minimal naming game is replaced by a more realistic learning process defined according to Bayesian inference. The results are compared with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-10 Gionni Marchetti , Marco Patriarca , Els Heinsalu

We extend Probability Bracket Notation (PBN), inspired by the Dirac notation in quantum mechanics, to multivariable probability systems and static Bayesian networks (BNs). By defining probability distributions and conditional expectations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Xing M. Wang

We present an algorithm for model-based reinforcement learning that combines Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with random roll-outs and stochastic optimization for policy learning. The BNNs are trained by minimizing $\alpha$-divergences,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-09 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Static and dynamic equilibria in noisy binary choice (Ising) games on complete and random graphs in the annealed approximation are analysed. Two versions, an Ising game with interaction term defined in accordance with the Ising model in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-27 Andrey Leonidov , Alexey Savvateev , Andrew G. Semenov

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

In this paper, we derive a PAC-Bayes bound on the generalisation gap, in a supervised time-series setting for a special class of discrete-time non-linear dynamical systems. This class includes stable recurrent neural networks (RNN), and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Deividas Eringis , John Leth , Zheng-Hua Tan , Rafal Wisniewski , Mihaly Petreczky

We study learning dynamics induced by strategic agents who repeatedly play a game with an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In this dynamics, a belief estimate of the parameter is repeatedly updated given players' strategies and realized…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

We study learning dynamics induced by strategic agents who repeatedly play a game with an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In each step, an information system estimates a belief distribution of the parameter based on the players'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-20 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

Bayesian Networks (BNs) represent conditional probability relations among a set of random variables (nodes) in the form of a directed acyclic graph (DAG), and have found diverse applications in knowledge discovery. We study the problem of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Simge Kucukyavuz , Ali Shojaie , Hasan Manzour , Linchuan Wei , Hao-Hsiang Wu

We introduce the notion of regularized Bayesian best response (RBBR) learning dynamic in heterogeneous population games. We obtain such a dynamic via perturbation by an arbitrary lower semicontinuous, strongly convex regularizer in Bayesian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Sayan Mukherjee , Souvik Roy

We study a non-linear dynamical system on networks inspired by the pitchfork bifurcation normal form. The system has several interesting interpretations: as an interconnection of several pitchfork systems, a gradient dynamical system and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-19 Karel Devriendt , Renaud Lambiotte

Bayesian networks (BNs) are graphical models that are useful for representing high-dimensional probability distributions. There has been a great deal of interest in recent years in the NP-hard problem of learning the structure of a BN from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-04 D. Jennings , J. N. Corcoran

We consider two social consensus models, the AB-model and the Naming Game restricted to two conventions, which describe a population of interacting agents that can be in either of two equivalent states (A or B) or in a third mixed (AB)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-01-08 Xavier Castelló , Andrea Baronchelli , Vittorio Loreto

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (N-ODEs) are a powerful building block for learning systems, which extend residual networks to a continuous-time dynamical system. We propose a Bayesian version of N-ODEs that enables well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir
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