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The well-known replicator equation in evolutionary game theory describes how population-level behaviors change over time when individuals make decisions using simple imitation learning rules. In this paper, we study evolutionary dynamics…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-18 Rory Gavin , Ming Cao , Keith Paarporn

In recent years, nonlinear dynamic system identification using artificial neural networks has garnered attention due to its broad potential applications across science and engineering. However, purely data-driven approaches often struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Fabian J. Roth , Dominik K. Klein , Maximilian Kannapinn , Jan Peters , Oliver Weeger

The dynamical systems of planet-belt interaction are studied by the fixed-point analysis and the bifurcation of solutions on the parameter space is discussed. For most cases, our analytical and numerical results show that the locations of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Ing-Guey Jiang , Li-Chin Yeh

The paper extends Bayesian networks (BNs) by a mechanism for dynamic changes to the probability distributions represented by BNs. One application scenario is the process of knowledge acquisition of an observer interacting with a system. In…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Benjamin Cabrera , Tobias Heindel , Reiko Heckel , Barbara König

In~[1],authors considered a general finite horizon model of dynamic game of asymmetric information, where N players have types evolving as independent Markovian process, where each player observes its own type perfectly and actions of all…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Deepanshu Vasal

We formulate and analyze a general class of stochastic dynamic games with asymmetric information arising in dynamic systems. In such games, multiple strategic agents control the system dynamics and have different information about the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-26 Yi Ouyang , Hamidreza Tavafoghi , Demosthenis Teneketzis

The Naming Game is a model of non-equilibrium dynamics for the self-organized emergence of a linguistic convention or a communication system in a population of agents with pairwise local interactions. We present an extensive study of its…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Luca Dall'Asta , Andrea Baronchelli , Alain Barrat , Vittorio Loreto

We study a special case of the problem of statistical learning without the i.i.d. assumption. Specifically, we suppose a learning method is presented with a sequence of data points, and required to make a prediction (e.g., a classification)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Steve Hanneke , Liu Yang

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

We present a universal approach to the investigation of the dynamics in generalized models. In these models the processes that are taken into account are not restricted to specific functional forms. Therefore a single generalized models can…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thilo Gross , Ulrike Feudel

The traditional statistical inference is static, in the sense that the estimate of the quantity of interest does not affect the future evolution of the quantity. In some sequential estimation problems however, the future values of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Aolin Xu , Peng Guan

We introduce a homogeneous pair approximation to the Naming Game (NG) model by deriving a six-dimensional ODE for the two-word Naming Game. Our ODE reveals the change in dynamical behavior of the Naming Game as a function of the average…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-04-30 Weituo Zhang , Chjan Lim , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

This paper describes and discusses Bayesian Neural Network (BNN). The paper showcases a few different applications of them for classification and regression problems. BNNs are comprised of a Probabilistic Model and a Neural Network. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Vikram Mullachery , Aniruddh Khera , Amir Husain

We introduce a probabilistic robustness measure for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), defined as the probability that, given a test point, there exists a point within a bounded set such that the BNN prediction differs between the two. Such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Luca Cardelli , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Laurenti , Nicola Paoletti , Andrea Patane , Matthew Wicker

Empirically, many strategic settings are characterized by stable outcomes in which players' decisions are publicly observed, yet no player takes the opportunity to deviate. To analyze such situations in the presence of incomplete…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-12 Paul S. Koh

In this work, we introduce a generalized framework for multiscale state-space modeling that incorporates nested nonlinear dynamics, with a specific focus on Bayesian learning under switching regimes. Our framework captures the complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Nayely Vélez-Cruz , Manfred D. Laubichler

Neural networks acquire structured representations at specific moments during training, yet identifying these transitions typically relies on retrospective, label-dependent metrics. We introduce a bifurcation theory of representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Fuming Yang

We propose an iterative method to safely learn the unmodeled dynamics of a nonlinear system using Bayesian Gaussian process (GP) models with polynomial kernel functions. The method maintains safety by ensuring that the system state stays…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-03 Alex Devonport , He Yin , Murat Arcak

We introduce a dynamic generative model, Bayesian allocation model (BAM), which establishes explicit connections between nonnegative tensor factorization (NTF), graphical models of discrete probability distributions and their Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-12 Ali Taylan Cemgil , Mehmet Burak Kurutmaz , Sinan Yildirim , Melih Barsbey , Umut Simsekli

For a continuous map on the unit interval or circle, we define the bifurcation set to be the collection of those interval holes whose surviving set is sensitive to arbitrarily small changes of their position. By assuming a global…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Gabriel Fuhrmann , Maik Gröger , Alejandro Passeggi