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Multitemporal hyperspectral unmixing (MTHU) aims to model variable endmembers and dynamical abundances, which emphasizes the critical temporal information. However, existing methods have limitations in modeling temporal dependency, thus…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Ruiying Li , Bin Pan , Qiaoying Qu , Xia Xu , Zhenwei Shi

W-transforms are introduced as uniformity-preserving univariate transformations on the unit interval induced by distribution functions and piecewise strictly monotone functions, and their properties are investigated. When applied…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Marius Hofert , Zhiyuan Pang

We investigate multivariate regular variation in the context of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general vector spaces and in random coefficient linear models. In the first part, we show that the regular variation of the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Piotr Dyszewski , Tamara Mika

Periodicity is a common feature of time series. For finite-dimensional data, periodic autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models have been extensively studied. In functional time series analysis, AR models have been extended to incorporate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Sebastian Kühnert , Juhyun Park

In this article we review existing literature on dynamic copulas and then propose an n-copula which varies in time and space. Our approach makes use of stochastic differential equations, and gives rise to a dynamic copula which is able to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Glenis Crane

Zero inflation is a common nuisance while monitoring disease progression over time. This article proposes a new observation driven model for zero inflated and over-dispersed count time series. The counts given the past history of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Vurukonda Sathish , Siuli Mukhopadhyay , Rashmi Tiwari

A common theme underlying many problems in statistics and economics involves the determination of a systematic method of selecting a joint distribution consistent with a specified list of categorical marginals, some of which have an ordinal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-08 Christopher P. Chambers , Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Ruodu Wang

The method of cointegration in regression analysis is based on an assumption of stationary increments. Stationary increments with fixed time lag are called integration I(d). A class of regression models where cointegration works was…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

We introduce a reversible Markovian coagulation-fragmentation process on the set of partitions of $\{1,\ldots,L\}$ into disjoint intervals. Each interval can either split or merge with one of its two neighbors. The invariant measure can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Cedric Bernardin , Fabio Lucio Toninelli

High-dimensional time series has diverse applications in econometrics and finance. Recent models for capturing temporal dependence have employed a bilinear representation for matrix time series, or the Tucker-decomposition based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Debika Ghosh , Samrat Roy , Nilanjana Chakraborty

In this paper we present an application of the use of autocopulas for modelling financial time series showing serial dependencies that are not necessarily linear. The approach presented here is semi-parametric in that it is characterized by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-20 Antony Ware , Ilnaz Asadzadeh

Modelling physical data with linear discrete time series, namely Fractionally Integrated Autoregressive Moving Average (ARFIMA), is a technique which achieved attention in recent years. However, these models are used mainly as a statistical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-20 Jakub Ślęzak , Aleksander Weron

We introduce a novel forecasting model for crop yields that explicitly accounts for spatio-temporal dependence and the influence of extreme weather and climatic events. Our approach combines Bayesian Structural Time Series for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Marie Michaelides , Mélina Mailhot , Yongkun Li

A time series is a sequence of observations taken sequentially in time. The autoregressive integrated moving average is a class of the model more used for times series data. However, this class of model has two critical limitations. It fits…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-14 Renato Rodrigues Silva

The class of index-mixed copulas is introduced and its properties are investigated. Index-mixed copulas are constructed from given base copulas and a random index vector, and show a rather remarkable degree of analytical tractability. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-10 Klaus Herrmann , Marius Hofert , Nahid Sadr

Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) are a popular extension to mean regression models where each parameter of an arbitrary distribution is modelled through covariates. While such models have been developed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein

Spreading processes on top of active dynamics provide a novel theoretical framework for capturing emerging collective behavior in living systems. I consider run-and-tumble dynamics coupled with coagulation/decoagulation reactions that lead…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-29 Matteo Paoluzzi

This paper proposes a simple yet effective convolutional module for long-term time series forecasting. The proposed block, inspired by the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, consists of two convolutional components:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Myung Jin Kim , YeongHyeon Park , Il Dong Yun

In this paper, we consider statistical estimation of time-inhomogeneous aggregate Markov models. Unaggregated models, which corresponds to Markov chains, are commonly used in multi-state life insurance to model the biometric states of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt
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