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This paper analyzes a method to approximate the first passage time probability density function which turns to be particularly useful if only sample data are available. The method relies on a Laguerre-Gamma polynomial approximation and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Elvira Di Nardo , Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Tommaso Martini

The first passage time problem is considered for stochastic logistic growth model with constant harvesting and multiplicative environmental noise. Explicit expressions for the moments and cumulants of both upcrossing and downcrossing FPTs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Simone Catanzaro , Elvira Di Nardo

The paper focuses on an approximation of the first passage time probability density function of a Feller stochastic process by using cumulants and a Laguerre-Gamma polynomial approximation. The feasibility of the method relies on closed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Elvira Di Nardo , Giuseppe D'Onofrio

We consider the boundary crossing problem for time-homogeneous diffusions and general curvilinear boundaries. Bounds are derived for the approximation error of the one-sided (upper) boundary crossing probability when replacing the original…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-28 A. N. Downes , K. Borovkov

We propose a general method to obtain approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes. We rely on the general properties of birth-death processes, Keilson's theorem and the concept of Riemann sum to obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

We propose a method for estimating first passage time densities of one-dimensional diffusions via Monte Carlo simulation. Our approach involves a representation of the first passage time density as expectation of a functional of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-10 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Constantinos Kardaras

We propose an approach to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the convergence rate for this approximation scheme. There results are based on the explicit expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

We present an analytical approximation scheme for the first passage time distribution on a finite interval of a random walker on a random forcing energy landscape. The approximation scheme captures the behavior of the distribution over all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-23 Michael Sheinman , Olivier Bénichou , Raphaël Voituriez , Yariv Kafri

The main result of this paper is a semi-analytic approximation for the chord distribution functions of three-dimensional models of microstructure derived from Gaussian random fields. In the simplest case the chord functions are equivalent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Anthony Roberts , S. Torquato

Since diffusion processes arise in so many different fields, efficient tech-nics for the simulation of sample paths, like discretization schemes, represent crucial tools in applied probability. Such methods permit to obtain approximations…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-22 Samuel Herrmann , Cristina Zucca

The inverse first-passage time problem determines a boundary such that the first-passage time of a Wiener process to this boundary has a given distribution. An approximation which is based on the starting value of the boundary to a smooth…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Yoann Potiron

We present a novel method for approximating the probability density function (PDF) of the first-passage times in the Ratcliff diffusion decision model (DDM). We implemented this approximation method in $\texttt{C++}$ using the $\texttt{R}$…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-06 Kendal Foster , Henrik Singmann

We introduce a unified framework for solving first passage times of time-homogeneous diffusion processes. According to the killed version potential theory and the perturbation theory, we are able to deduce closed-form solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Angelos Dassios , Luting Li

The general, multidimensional barrier crossing problem for diffusive processes under the action of conservative forces is studied with the goal of developing tractable approximations. Particular attention is given to the effect of different…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-03 James F. Lutsko

We consider the problem of computing first-passage time distributions for reaction processes modelled by master equations. We show that this generally intractable class of problems is equivalent to a sequential Bayesian inference problem…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-11-29 David Schnoerr , Botond Cseke , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

We calculate the first passage time distribution for diffusion through a cylindrical pore with sticky walls. A particle diffusively explores the interior of the pore through a series of binding and unbinding events with the cylinder wall.…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-09-30 Nicholas A. Licata , Stephan W. Grill

We determine the full distribution and moments of the first passage time for a wide class of stochastic search processes in the limit of frequent stochastic resetting. Our results apply to any system whose short-time behavior of the search…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-22 Samantha Linn , Sean D Lawley

Under some weak conditions, the first-passage time of the Brownian motion to a continuous curved boundary is an almost surely finite stopping time. Its probability density function (pdf) is explicitly known only in few particular cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Samuel Herrmann , Etienne Tanré

The Inverse First Passage time problem seeks to determine the boundary corresponding to a given stochastic process and a fixed first passage time distribution. Here, we determine the numerical solution of this problem in the case of a two…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Alessia Civallero , Cristina Zucca

The problem of the time required for a diffusing molecule, within a large bounded domain, to first locate a small target is prevalent in biological modeling. Here we study this problem for a small spherical target. We develop uniform in…

Biological Physics · Physics 2013-08-06 Samuel A. Isaacson , Jay Newby
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