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Motivated by the dynamics of resonant neurons we consider a differentiable, non-Markovian random process $x(t)$ and particularly the time after which it will reach a certain level $x_b$. The probability density of this first passage time is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 T. Verechtchaguina , I. M. Sokolov , L. Schimansky-Geier

We propose a model for anomalous transport in inhomogeneous environments, such as fractured rocks, in which particles move only along pre-existing self-similar curves (cracks). The stochastic Loewner equation is used to efficiently generate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-13 A. Zoia , Y. Kantor , M. Kardar

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

First passage under restart has recently emerged as a conceptual framework to study various stochastic processes under restart mechanism. Emanating from the canonical diffusion problem by Evans and Majumdar, restart has been shown to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-01 Ofek Lauber Bonomo , Arnab Pal

Making use of a Rice-like series expansion, for a class of stationary Gaussian processes the asymptotic behavior of the first passage time probability density function through certain time-varying boundaries, including periodic boundaries,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 E. Di Nardo , A. G. Nobile , E. Pirozzi , L. M. Ricciardi

The first passage is a generic concept for quantifying when a random quantity such as the position of a diffusing molecule or the value of a stock crosses a preset threshold (target) for the first time. The last decade saw an enlightening…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-26 Aljaz Godec , Ralf Metzler

Many events in biology are triggered when a diffusing searcher finds a target, which is called a first passage time (FPT). The overwhelming majority of FPT studies have analyzed the time it takes a single searcher to find a target. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Sean D Lawley

In order to approximate the exit time of a one-dimensional diffusion process, we propose an algorithm based on a random walk. Such an algorithm was already introduced in both the Brownian context and in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck context. Here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

We present a novel computational method of first-passage times between a starting site and a target site of regular bounded lattices. We derive accurate expressions for all the moments of this first-passage time, validated by numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 S Condamin , O. Benichou , M. Moreau

We study the time until first occurrence, the first-passage time, of rare density fluctuations in diffusive systems. We approach the problem using a model consisting of many independent random walkers on a lattice. The existence of spatial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-05-16 David P. Sanders , Hernán Larralde

Recently a general growth curve including the well known growth equations, such as Malthus, logistic, Bertallanfy, Gompertz, has been studied. We now propose two stochastic formulations of this growth equation. They are obtained starting…

In this paper, we establish a relationship between the asymptotic form of conditional boundary crossing probabilities and first passage time densities for diffusion processes. Namely, we show that, under broad assumptions, the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-18 Konstantin A. Borovkov , Andrew N. Downes

We derive the asymptotic first passage time (FPT) distribution for space-dependent variable-order time-fractional diffusion, where the fractional exponent $\alpha(x)$ varies with position. For any sufficiently smooth $\alpha(x)$ on a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-16 Wancheng Li , Daniel S. Han

We propose a new approximation for the distribution of the time of the first crossing of a high level $u$ by random process $\homV{s}-cs$, where $\homV{s}$, $s>0$, is compound renewal process and $c>0$. It significantly outperforms the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Vsevolod K. Malinovskii

A power-law distance-dependent biased random walk model with a tuning parameter ($\sigma$) is introduced in which finite mean first passage times are realizable if $\sigma$ is less than a critical value $\sigma_c$. We perform numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-23 Christin Puthur , Prabha Chuphal , Snigdha Thakur , Auditya Sharma

In this paper, we develop a Monte Carlo based algorithm for estimating the FPT density of a time-homogeneous SDE through a time-dependent frontier. We consider Brownian bridges as well as localized Daniels curve approximations to obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-02 Imene Allab , Francois Watier

We study the first passage times of discrete-time branching random walks in ${\mathbb R}^d$ where $d\geq 1$. Here, the genealogy of the particles follows a supercritical Galton-Watson process. We provide asymptotics of the first passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Jose Blanchet , Wei Cai , Shaswat Mohanty , Zhenyuan Zhang

This paper introduces a new way to define a genome rearrangement distance, using the concept of mean first passage time from probability theory. Crucially, this distance estimate provides a genuine metric on genome space. We develop the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-06 Andrew Francis , Henry Wynn

We propose a unifying theoretical framework for the analysis of first-passage time distributions in two important classes of stochastic processes in which the diffusivity of a particle evolves randomly in time. In the first class of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-05 D. S. Grebenkov

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi