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How to accurately quantify the uncertainty of stochastic dynamical responses affected by uncertain loads and structural parameters is an important issue in structural safety and reliability analysis. In this paper, the conditional…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Feng Wu , Yuelin Zhao , Li Zhu

The discipline of process mining deals with analyzing execution data of operational processes, extracting models from event data, checking the conformance between event data and normative models, and enhancing all aspects of processes.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-04-11 Marco Pegoraro , Merih Seran Uysal , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

Data-driven model identification strategies can be used to obtain phenomenological models that capture the temporal evolution of observable data. While it is usually straightforward to obtain such a model from time series data, for instance…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Mohamed Akrout , Dan Wilson

For underwater vehicles, robotic applications have the added difficulty of operating in highly unstructured and dynamic environments. Environmental effects impact not only the dynamics and controls of the robot but also the perception and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Jingyu Song , Onur Bagoren , Katherine A. Skinner

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

Deep neural network controllers for autonomous driving have recently benefited from significant performance improvements, and have begun deployment in the real world. Prior to their widespread adoption, safety guarantees are needed on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Rhiannon Michelmore , Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Yarin Gal , Marta Kwiatkowska

We present a general framework for uncertainty quantification that is a mosaic of interconnected models. We define global first and second order structural and correlative sensitivity analyses for random counting measures acting on risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz

We consider kinetic vehicular traffic flow models of BGK type. Considering different spatial and temporal scales, those models allow to derive a hierarchy of traffic models including a hydrodynamic description. In this paper, the kinetic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Michael Herty , Elisa Iacomini

Energy infrastructure planning under uncertainty has become increasingly complex as electrification, interdependence between energy carriers, decarbonization, and extreme weather events reshape long-term investment decisions. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Rahman Khorramfar , Aron Brenner , Lara Booth , Ana Rivera , Ruaridh Macdonald , Priya Donti , Saurabh Amin

Model uncertainty has been one prominent issue both in the theory of risk measures and in practice such as financial risk management and regulation. Motivated by this observation, in this paper, we take a new perspective to describe the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

The chaotic nature of ocean motion is a major challenge that hinders the discovery of spatio-temporal current routes that govern the transport of material. Certain material, such as oil spills, pose significant environmental threats and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Guillermo Garcia-Sanchez , Ana M. Mancho , Antonio G. Ramos , Josep Coca , Stephen Wiggins

Based on existing ideas in the field of imprecise probabilities, we present a new approach for assessing the reliability of the individual predictions of a generative probabilistic classifier. We call this approach robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Adrián Detavernier , Jasper De Bock

The paper presents a construction of a quantitative measure of variability for parameter estimates in the data fitting problem under interval uncertainty. It shows the degree of variability and ambiguity of the estimate, and the need for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Sergey P. Shary

This paper presents a novel numerical method for the hybrid reliability analysis by using the uncertainty theory. Aleatory uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty are considered simultaneously in this method. Epistemic uncertainty is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-09-18 Lei Zhang

This paper presents the uncertainty related to position and momentum localization of a quantum state in terms of entropic uncertainty relations. We slightly improve the inequality given in [Phys. Rev. A 74, 052101 (2006)] and introduce a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-10-19 Łukasz Rudnicki

Graphical models have demonstrated their exceptional capabilities across numerous applications. However, their performance, confidence, and trustworthiness are often limited by the inherent randomness in data generation and the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Chao Chen , Chenghua Guo , Rui Xu , Jiujiu Chen , Xiangwen Liao , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie , Hui Xiong , Philip Yu

The estimation of uncertainties associated with predictions from quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models can accelerate the drug discovery process by identifying promising experiments and allowing an efficient allocation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Emma Svensson , Susanne Winiwarter , Lewis Mervin , Adam Arany , Ola Engkvist

This paper explores the problem of uncertainty quantification in the behavioral setting for data-driven control. Building on classical ideas from robust control, the problem is regarded as that of selecting a metric which is best suited to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-07 Alberto Padoan , Jeremy Coulson , Henk J. van Waarde , John Lygeros , Florian Dörfler

One of the crucial steps in scientific studies is to specify dependent relationships among factors in a system of interest. Given little knowledge of a system, can we characterize the underlying dependent relationships through observation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-12-24 Shohei Hidaka