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Soccer has a considerable market share of the global sports industry, and the interest in viewing videos from soccer games continues to grow. In this respect, it is important to provide game summaries and highlights of the main game events.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Cise Midoglu , Steven A. Hicks , Vajira Thambawita , Tomas Kupka , Pål Halvorsen

In-play football forecasting models have struggled to match the accuracy of betting exchange prices, which aggregate information from many market participants. We close this gap by combining two extensions to a Weibull accelerated failure…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-18 Lawrence Clegg , Zixing Song , John Cartlidge

"The chance to win given a certain move" is an easily obtainable quantity from data and often quoted in gaming statistics. It is also the fundamental quantity that reinforcement learning AI bases on. Unfortunately, this conditional…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-16 I-Sheng Yang

Generalization in generative modeling is defined as the ability to learn an underlying distribution from a finite dataset and produce novel samples, with evaluation largely driven by held-out performance and perceived sample quality. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Jerome Garnier-Brun , Luca Biggio , Davide Beltrame , Marc Mézard , Luca Saglietti

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods have become increasingly important in the context of explainable intrusion detection systems (X-IDSs) for improving the interpretability and trustworthiness of X-IDSs. However, existing…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Mohammed Alquliti , Erisa Karafili , BooJoong Kang

Motion prediction in soccer involves capturing complex dynamics from player and ball interactions. We present FootBots, an encoder-decoder transformer-based architecture addressing motion prediction and conditioned motion prediction through…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Guillem Capellera , Luis Ferraz , Antonio Rubio , Antonio Agudo , Francesc Moreno-Noguer

Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution, or a closely related one, have been widely discussed. We here consider a soccer match as an experiment to assess which of two teams is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-09-29 G. K. Skinner , G. H. Freeman

For many applications, an ensemble of base classifiers is an effective solution. The tuning of its parameters(number of classes, amount of data on which each classifier is to be trained on, etc.) requires G, the generalization error of a…

While there have been many proposals on making AI algorithms explainable, few have attempted to evaluate the impact of AI-generated explanations on human performance in conducting human-AI collaborative tasks. To bridge the gap, we propose…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Arijit Ray , Yi Yao , Rakesh Kumar , Ajay Divakaran , Giedrius Burachas

This study proposes a statistically grounded framework for real-time win probability evaluation and player assessment in score-based team sports, based on minute-by-minute cumulative box-score data. We introduce a continuous dominance…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yasutaka Shimizu , Atsushi Yamanobe

Modern applications and progress in deep learning research have created renewed interest for generative models of text and of images. However, even today it is unclear what objective functions one should use to train and evaluate these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Ferenc Huszár

Effective management of recreational fisheries requires accurate forecasting of future harvests and real-time monitoring of ongoing harvests. Traditional methods that rely on historical catch data to predict short-term harvests can be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-03 A. Challen Hyman , Chloe Ramsay , Tiffanie A. Cross , Beverly Sauls , Thomas K. Frazer

We consider differentiable games where the goal is to find a Nash equilibrium. The machine learning community has recently started using variants of the gradient method (GD). Prime examples are extragradient (EG), the optimistic gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Waïss Azizian , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Gauthier Gidel

The use of eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) systems has introduced a set of challenges that need resolution. The XAI robustness, or stability, has been one of the goals of the community from its beginning. Multiple authors have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Miquel Miró-Nicolau , Antoni Jaume-i-Capó , Gabriel Moyà-Alcover

This paper aims to reduce randomness in football by analysing the role of lineups in final scores using machine learning prediction models we have developed. Football clubs invest millions of dollars on lineups and knowing how individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 George Peters , Diogo Pacheco

Score matching is an estimation procedure that has been developed for statistical models whose probability density function is known up to proportionality but whose normalizing constant is intractable, so that maximum likelihood is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Jiazhen Xu , Janice L. Scealy , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

Judging a gymnastics routine is a noisy process, and the performance of judges varies widely. In collaboration with the F\'ed\'eration Internationale de Gymnastique (FIG) and Longines, we are designing and implementing an improved…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-19 Hugues Mercier , Sandro Heiniger

Forecasting sporting events encapsulate a compelling intellectual endeavor, underscored by the substantial financial activity of an estimated $80 billion wagered in global sports betting during 2022, a trend that grows yearly. Motivated by…

Soccer is one of the most popular sport worldwide, with live broadcasts frequently available for major matches. However, extracting detailed, frame-by-frame information on player actions from these videos remains a challenge. Utilizing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Shikun Xu , Yandong Zhu , Gen Li , Changhu Wang

Advances in generative models have led to significant interest in image synthesis, demonstrating the ability to generate high-quality images for a diverse range of text prompts. Despite this progress, most studies ignore the presence of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Nila Masrourisaadat , Nazanin Sedaghatkish , Fatemeh Sarshartehrani , Edward A. Fox