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Confidence calibration of classification models is a technique to estimate the true posterior probability of the predicted class, which is critical for ensuring reliable decision-making in practical applications. Existing confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Jinzong Dong , Zhaohui Jiang , Dong Pan , Haoyang Yu

Conversion rate (CVR) prediction plays an important role in advertising systems. Recently, supervised deep neural network-based models have shown promising performance in CVR prediction. However, they are data hungry and require an enormous…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Wentao Ouyang , Rui Dong , Xiuwu Zhang , Chaofeng Guo , Jinmei Luo , Xiangzheng Liu , Yanlong Du

Ad ranking systems must simultaneously optimize multiple objectives including click-through rate (CTR), conversion rate (CVR), revenue, and user experience metrics. However, production systems face critical challenges: score scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Xikai Yang , Sebastian Sun , Yilin Li , Yue Xing , Ming Wang , Yang Wang

Accurate probabilistic predictions can be characterized by two properties -- calibration and sharpness. However, standard maximum likelihood training yields models that are poorly calibrated and thus inaccurate -- a 90% confidence interval…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Shachi Deshpande

Accurate uncertainty quantification is critical for reliable predictive modeling. Existing methods typically address either aleatoric uncertainty due to measurement noise or epistemic uncertainty resulting from limited data, but not both in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Ilia Azizi , Juraj Bodik , Jakob Heiss , Bin Yu

Post-click conversion, as a strong signal indicating the user preference, is salutary for building recommender systems. However, accurately estimating the post-click conversion rate (CVR) is challenging due to the selection bias, i.e., the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Siyuan Guo , Lixin Zou , Yiding Liu , Wenwen Ye , Suqi Cheng , Shuaiqiang Wang , Hechang Chen , Dawei Yin , Yi Chang

Weakly Supervised Semantic Segmentation (WSSS) with image-level labels aims to achieve pixel-level predictions using Class Activation Maps (CAMs). Recently, Contrastive Language-Image Pre-training (CLIP) has been introduced in WSSS.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Zhiwei Yang , Yucong Meng , Kexue Fu , Feilong Tang , Shuo Wang , Zhijian Song

The growing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) significantly changes typical load curves in smart grids. With the development of fast charging technology, the volatility of EV charging demand is increasing, which requires additional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-05 Kedi Zheng , Hanwei Xu , Zeyang Long , Yi Wang , Qixin Chen

Camera calibration is a crucial technique which significantly influences the performance of many robotic systems. Robustness and high precision have always been the pursuit of diverse calibration methods. State-of-the-art calibration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Yesheng Zhang , Xu Zhao , Dahong Qian

Recent studies have revealed that, beyond conventional accuracy, calibration should also be considered for training modern deep neural networks. To address miscalibration during learning, some methods have explored different penalty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Bingyuan Liu , Jérôme Rony , Adrian Galdran , Jose Dolz , Ismail Ben Ayed

In sponsored search it is critical to match ads that are relevant to a query and to accurately predict their likelihood of being clicked. Commercial search engines typically use machine learning models for both query-ad relevance matching…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-03-29 Jelena Gligorijevic , Djordje Gligorijevic , Ivan Stojkovic , Xiao Bai , Amit Goyal , Zoran Obradovic

In the field of deep learning based computer vision, the development of deep object detection has led to unique paradigms (e.g., two-stage or set-based) and architectures (e.g., Faster-RCNN or DETR) which enable outstanding performance on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Denis Huseljic , Marek Herde , Mehmet Muejde , Bernhard Sick

Deep clustering as an important branch of unsupervised representation learning focuses on embedding semantically similar samples into the identical feature space. This core demand inspires the exploration of contrastive learning and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Haifeng Xia , Hai Huang , Zhengming Ding

Calibrating the confidence of supervised learning models is important for a variety of contexts where the certainty over predictions should be reliable. However, it has been reported that deep neural network models are often too poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Changjian Shui , Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Jonathan Marek , Ihsen Hedhli , Christian Gagné

Classifying products into categories precisely and efficiently is a major challenge in modern e-commerce. The high traffic of new products uploaded daily and the dynamic nature of the categories raise the need for machine learning models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-11-30 Tom Zahavy , Alessandro Magnani , Abhinandan Krishnan , Shie Mannor

The M\"ONCH hybrid pixel detector, with a 25 \textmu m pixel pitch and fast charge-integrating readout, has demonstrated subpixel resolution capabilities for X-ray imaging and deep learning-based electron localization in electron…

Most 2D human pose estimation frameworks estimate keypoint confidence in an ad-hoc manner, using heuristics such as the maximum value of heatmaps. The confidence is part of the evaluation scheme, e.g., AP for the MSCOCO dataset, yet has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Kerui Gu , Rongyu Chen , Angela Yao

Machine-generated probability predictions are essential in modern classification tasks such as image classification. A model is well calibrated when its predicted probabilities correspond to observed event frequencies. Despite the need for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Amy Vennos , Xin Xing , Christopher T. Franck

Confidence calibration assumes a unique ground-truth label per input, yet this assumption fails wherever annotators genuinely disagree. Post-hoc calibrators fitted on majority-voted labels, the standard single-label targets used in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Linwei Tao , Haoyang Luo , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

Force and torque sensing is crucial in robotic manipulation across both collaborative and industrial settings. Traditional methods for dynamics identification enable the detection and control of external forces and torques without the need…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Shilin Shan , Quang-Cuong Pham