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CaliCausalRank: Calibrated Multi-Objective Ad Ranking with Robust Counterfactual Utility Optimization

Machine Learning 2026-02-24 v1 Information Retrieval

Abstract

Ad ranking systems must simultaneously optimize multiple objectives including click-through rate (CTR), conversion rate (CVR), revenue, and user experience metrics. However, production systems face critical challenges: score scale inconsistency across traffic segments undermines threshold transferability, and position bias in click logs causes offline-online metric discrepancies. We propose CaliCausalRank, a unified framework that integrates training-time scale calibration, constraint-based multi-objective optimization, and robust counterfactual utility estimation. Our approach treats score calibration as a first-class training objective rather than post-hoc processing, employs Lagrangian relaxation for constraint satisfaction, and utilizes variance-reduced counterfactual estimators for reliable offline evaluation. Experiments on the Criteo and Avazu datasets demonstrate that CaliCausalRank achieves 1.1% relative AUC improvement, 31.6% calibration error reduction, and 3.2% utility gain compared to the best baseline (PairRank) while maintaining consistent performance across different traffic segments.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2602.18786,
  title  = {CaliCausalRank: Calibrated Multi-Objective Ad Ranking with Robust Counterfactual Utility Optimization},
  author = {Xikai Yang and Sebastian Sun and Yilin Li and Yue Xing and Ming Wang and Yang Wang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.18786},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T10:45:34.714Z