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Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasts are issued by human forecasters who evaluate spatio-temporal observations (e.g., satellite imagery) and model output (e.g., numerical weather prediction, statistical models) to produce forecasts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-01 Trey McNeely , Galen Vincent , Rafael Izbicki , Kimberly M. Wood , Ann B. Lee

Deep learning can accurately represent sub-grid-scale convective processes in climate models, learning from high resolution simulations. However, deep learning methods usually lack interpretability due to large internal dimensionality,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Gunnar Behrens , Tom Beucler , Pierre Gentine , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Michael Pritchard , Veronika Eyring

Traditional methods for enhancing tropical cyclone (TC) intensity from climate model outputs or projections have primarily relied on either dynamical or statistical downscaling. With recent advances in deep learning (DL) techniques, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Minh-Khanh Luong , Chanh Kieu

Analyzing big geophysical observational data collected by multiple advanced sensors on various satellite platforms promotes our understanding of the geophysical system. For instance, convolutional neural networks (CNN) have achieved great…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Boyo Chen , Buo-Fu Chen , Yun-Nung Chen

Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclones (TCs) remains challenging due to limited satellite observations probing TC structure and difficulties in resolving cloud properties involved in TC intensification. Recent research has demonstrated…

Anthropogenic influences have been linked to tropical cyclone (TC) poleward migration, TC extreme precipitation, and an increased proportion of major hurricanes [1, 2, 3, 4]. Understanding past TC trends and variability is critical for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Buo-Fu Chen , Boyo Chen , Chun-Min Hsiao , Hsu-Feng Teng , Cheng-Shang Lee , Hung-Chi Kuo

The study of the rapid intensification process of Tropical Cyclones (TCs) is a current, yet lacking research topic in Mexico, where thermal and dynamic factors at the microscale and mesoscale fundamentally intervene. Due to the little…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-24 Mauricio López-Reyes , Ángel Meulenert

Numerous observational evidence has suggested the presence of active meteorology in the atmospheres of brown dwarfs. A near-infrared brightness variability has been observed. Clouds have a major role in shaping the thermal structure and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-04 Maxence Lefèvre , Xianyu Tan , Elspeth K. H. Lee , R. T. Pierrehumbert

Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) short-term intensity forecasting with a 24-hour lead time is essential for disaster mitigation in the Atlantic TC basin. Since most TCs evolve far from land-based observing networks, satellite imagery is…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-24 Elizabeth Cucuzzella , Tria McNeely , Kimberly Wood , Ann B. Lee

Because geostationary satellite (Geo) imagery provides a high temporal resolution window into tropical cyclone (TC) behavior, we investigate the viability of its application to short-term probabilistic forecasts of TC convective structure…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-11 Trey McNeely , Pavel Khokhlov , Niccolo Dalmasso , Kimberly M. Wood , Ann B. Lee

Cyclone rapid intensification is the rapid increase in cyclone wind intensity, exceeding a threshold of 30 knots, within 24 hours. Rapid intensification is considered an extreme event during a cyclone, and its occurrence is relatively rare,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Vamshika Sutar , Amandeep Singh , Rohitash Chandra

Venus clouds host a convective layer between roughly 50 and 60 km that mixes heat, momentum, and chemical species. Observations and numerical modelling have helped to understand the complexity of this region. However, the impact on…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-18 Maxence Lefèvre , Emmanuel Marcq , Franck Lefèvre

Our goal is to quantify whether, and if so how, spatio-temporal patterns in tropical cyclone (TC) satellite imagery signal an upcoming rapid intensity change event. To address this question, we propose a new nonparametric test of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-29 Trey McNeely , Galen Vincent , Kimberly M. Wood , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

Tropical cyclones are among the most consequential weather hazards, yet estimates of their risk are limited by the relatively short historical record. To extend these records, researchers often generate large ensembles of synthetic storms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Kenneth Gee , Sai Ravela

The outer envelopes of massive ($M\gtrsim10\,M_{\odot}$) stars exhibit large increases in opacities from forests of lines and ionization transitions (particularly from iron and helium) that trigger near-surface convection zones.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-19 William Schultz , Lars Bildsten , Yan-Fei Jiang

We use our variable Eddington tensor (VET) radiation hydrodynamics code to perform two-dimensional simulations to study the impact of radiation forces on atmospheres composed of dust and gas. Our setup closely follows that of Krumholz &…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-06-19 Shane W. Davis , Yan-Fei Jiang , James M. Stone , Norman Murray

Understanding the details of small-scale convection and storm formation is crucial to accurately represent the larger-scale planetary dynamics. Presently, atmospheric scientists run high-resolution, storm-resolving simulations to capture…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-03 Harshini Mangipudi , Griffin Mooers , Mike Pritchard , Tom Beucler , Stephan Mandt

In contrast to prevailing knowledge, Ram\'irez Reyes and Yang (2021) showed that tropical cyclones (TCs) can form spontaneously without moisture-radiation and surface-flux feedbacks in a cloud-resolving model (CRM) simulation. Here we ask,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-01 Argel Ramírez Reyes , Da Yang

Tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting is crucial for disaster preparedness and mitigation. While recent deep learning approaches have shown promise, existing methods often treat TC evolution as a series of independent frame-to-frame…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Zhibo Ren , Pritthijit Nath , Pancham Shukla

Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones often causes major destruction to human civilization due to short response time. It is an important yet challenging task to accurately predict this kind of extreme weather event in advance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Ching-Yuan Bai , Buo-Fu Chen , Hsuan-Tien Lin
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