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Drought is a significant natural phenomenon with profound environmental, economic, and societal impacts. Effective monitoring of drought characteristics -- such as intensity, magnitude, and duration -- is crucial for resilience and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-30 Michele Scagliarini

Global warming is projected to intensify the hydrological cycle, amplifying risks to ecosystems and society. While extreme rainfall appears to exhibit stronger sensitivity to global warming compared to mean rainfall rates, a unifying…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Jun Yin , Bei Gao , Amilcare Porporato

We analyse extreme daily minimum temperatures in winter months over the island of Ireland from 1950-2022. We model the marginal distributions of extreme winter minima using a generalised Pareto distribution (GPD), capturing temporal and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-07 Dáire Healy , Jonathan A. Tawn , Peter Thorne , Andrew Parnell

The probability of occurrence of extreme solar particle events (SPEs) with the fluence of (>30 MeV) protons F30>10^{10} cm^{-2} is evaluated based on data of cosmogenic isotopes 14C and 10Be in terrestrial archives centennial-millennial…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-23 I. G. Usoskin , G. A. Kovaltsov

Accurate medium-range precipitation forecasting is crucial for hydrometeorological risk management and disaster mitigation, yet remains challenging for current numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems. Traditional ensemble systems such as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Tianyi Xiong , Haonan Chen

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah

Soil moisture-precipitation (SM-PPT) feedbacks at the mesoscale represent a major challenge for numerical weather prediction, especially for subtropical regions that exhibit large variability in surface SM. How does surface heterogeneity,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-11 Divyansh Chug , Francina Dominguez , Christopher M Taylor , Cornelia Klein , Stephen W Nesbitt

Hurricane Leslie (2018) was a non-tropical system that lasted for a long time undergoing several transitions between tropical and extratropical states. Its trajectory was highly uncertain and difficult to predict. Here the extratropical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-20 Mauricio López-Reyes , J. J. González-Alemán , M. Sastre , D. Insua-Costa , P. Bolgiani , M. L. Martín

Sites for next-generation telescopes are chosen decades before the first light of a telescope. Site selection is usually based on recent measurements over a period that is too short to account for long-term changes in observing conditions…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-28 C. Haslebacher , M. -E. Demory , B. -O. Demory , M. Sarazin , P. L. Vidale

By coupling the EUropean Heliospheric FORcasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA) and the improved Particle Acceleration and Transport in the Heliosphere (iPATH) model, two energetic storm particle (ESP) events, originating from the same active…

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential tools for understanding the impact of human actions on Earth's climate. One key application of these models is studying extreme weather events, such as heat waves or dry spells, which have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-25 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

Extreme precipitation events occurring over large spatial domains pose substantial threats to societies because they can trigger compound flooding, landslides, and infrastructure failures across wide areas. A hybrid framework for spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-15 Zimu Wang , Yifan Wu , Daning Bi

An accurate and precise understanding of global irrigation usage is crucial for a variety of climate science efforts. Irrigation is highly energy-intensive, and as population growth continues at its current pace, increases in crop need and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Weixin , Wu , Sonal Thakkar , Will Hawkins , Hossein Vahabi , Alberto Todeschini

We analyze distributions of rain-event sizes, rain-event durations, and dry-spell durations for data obtained from a network of 20 rain gauges scattered in a region of the NW Mediterranean coast. While power-law distributions model the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-12-24 Anna Deluca , Alvaro Corral

Satellite images have become increasingly valuable for modelling regional climate change effects. Earth surface forecasting represents one such task that integrates satellite images with meteorological data to capture the joint evolution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Tushar Verma , Sudipan Saha

This study presents the continuation of the analysis of variations of atmospheric and space weather parameters above Iberian Peninsula along two years near the 24th solar cycle maximum presented in Morozova et al. [2016]. Previously, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-14 Anna L. Morozova , Paulo Ribeiro , Juan Jose Blanco , Tatiana V. Barlyaeva

The mean world climate has warmed since the 19th Century as the anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases has increased the atmospheric opacity to thermal infrared radiation. Has this warming increased the frequency or severity of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-19 S. Wang , J. I Katz

We may anticipate that climate change will bring changes to the intensity and variability of near surface winds, either through local effects or by altering the large-scale flow. The impact of climate change on European wind resources has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-19 Richard Davy , Natalia Gnatiuk , Lasse Pettersson , Leonid Bobylev

Water demand is a highly important variable for operational control and decision making. Hence, the development of accurate forecasts is a valuable field of research to further improve the efficiency of water utilities. Focusing on…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jens Kley-Holsteg , Florian Ziel
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