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Real-world time series data are often generated from several sources of variation. Learning representations that capture the factors contributing to this variability enables a better understanding of the data via its underlying generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Sana Tonekaboni , Chun-Liang Li , Sercan Arik , Anna Goldenberg , Tomas Pfister

This paper generalises dynamic factor models for multidimensional dependent data. In doing so, it develops an interpretable technique to study complex information sources ranging from repeated surveys with a varying number of respondents to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Filippo Pellegrino

The performance of autonomous systems heavily relies on their ability to generate a robust representation of the environment. Deep neural networks have greatly improved vision-based perception systems but still fail in challenging…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Jörg Wagner , Volker Fischer , Michael Herman , Sven Behnke

Detecting malicious activity within an enterprise computer network can be framed as a temporal link prediction task: given a sequence of graphs representing communications between hosts over time, the goal is to predict which edges…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Corentin Larroche

Discovering causal relationships in complex multivariate time series is a fundamental scientific challenge. Traditional methods often falter, either by relying on restrictive linear assumptions or on conditional independence tests that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Gian Marco Paldino , Gianluca Bontempi

We propose NonStGM, a general nonparametric graphical modeling framework for studying dynamic associations among the components of a nonstationary multivariate time series. It builds on the framework of Gaussian Graphical Models (GGM) and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Sumanta Basu , Suhasini Subba Rao

Multivariate time series analysis is a vital but challenging task, with multidisciplinary applicability, tackling the characterization of multiple interconnected variables over time and their dependencies. Traditional methodologies often…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Pedro Ribeiro , Fernando Silva

Classical graphical modeling of multivariate random vectors uses graphs to encode conditional independence. In graphical modeling of multivariate stochastic processes, graphs may encode so-called local independence analogously. If some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Søren Wengel Mogensen

The research paper addresses linear decomposition of time series of non-additive metrics that allows for the identification and interpretation of contributing factors (input features) of variance. Non-additive metrics, such as ratios, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Alex Glushkovsky

As high-dimensional and high-frequency data are being collected on a large scale, the development of new statistical models is being pushed forward. Functional data analysis provides the required statistical methods to deal with large-scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Israel Martínez-Hernández , Marc G. Genton

This paper deals with the robust stability analysis of linear systems, subject to time-varying parameters. The Parameter Dependent Lyapunov Function are considered, assuming that the temporal derivative of the parameters are bounded. Some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-16 L. A. Mozelli , R. L. S. Adriano

Graphical models are a key class of probabilistic models for studying the conditional independence structure of a set of random variables. Circular variables are special variables, characterized by periodicity, arising in several contexts…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Anna Gottard , Agnese Panzera

The literature on high-dimensional functional data focuses on either the dependence over time or the correlation among functional variables. In this paper, we propose a factor-guided functional principal component analysis (FaFPCA) method…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-23 Shoudao Wen , Huazhen Lin

Inference of causality in time series has been principally based on the prediction paradigm. Nonetheless, the predictive causality approach may overlook the simultaneous and reciprocal nature of causal interactions observed in real world…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-24 Albert C. Yang , Norden E. Huang , Chung-Kang Peng

In the last few decades, building regression models for non-scalar variables, including time series, text, image, and video, has attracted increasing interests of researchers from the data analytic community. In this paper, we focus on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Qiyao Wang , Haiyan Wang , Chetan Gupta , Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Hamed Khorasgani

We propose a nonstationary functional time series forecasting method with an application to age-specific mortality rates observed over the years. The method begins by taking the first-order differencing and estimates its long-run covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-20 Han Lin Shang , Yang Yang

Visibility algorithms transform time series into graphs and encode dynamical information in their topology, paving the way for graph-theoretical time series analysis as well as building a bridge between nonlinear dynamics and network…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-11 Jacopo Iacovacci , Lucas Lacasa

Thank you very much for the attention and concern of colleagues and scholars in this work. With the comments and guidance of experts, editors, and reviewers, this work has been accepted for publishing in the journal "Process Safety and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Hao Ren , Xiaojun Liang , Chunhua Yang , Zhiwen Chen , Weihua Gui

We propose a flexible regression framework to model the conditional distribution of multilevel generalized multivariate functional data of potentially mixed type, e.g. binary and continuous data. We make pointwise parametric distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Alexander Volkmann , Nikolaus Umlauf , Sonja Greven

Multivariate time series data that capture the temporal evolution of interconnected systems are ubiquitous in diverse areas. Understanding the complex relationships and potential dependencies among co-observed variables is crucial for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Zhaolu Liu , Robert L. Peach , Felix Laumann , Sara Vallejo Mengod , Mauricio Barahona
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