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Functional Gaussian graphical models (GGM) used for analyzing multivariate functional data customarily estimate an unknown graphical model representing the conditional relationships between the functional variables. However, in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Debangan Dey , Sudipto Banerjee , Martin Lindquist , Abhirup Datta

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

We discuss Bayesian forecasting of increasingly high-dimensional time series, a key area of application of stochastic dynamic models in the financial industry and allied areas of business. Novel state-space models characterizing sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Zoey Yi Zhao , Meng Xie , Mike West

Many real-world objects can be modeled as a stream of events on the nodes of a graph. In this paper, we propose a class of graphical event models named temporal point process graphical models for representing the temporal dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yalong Lyu , Huiyuan Wang , Wei Lin

Graph-based techniques emerged as a choice to deal with the dimensionality issues in modeling multivariate time series. However, there is yet no complete understanding of how the underlying structure could be exploited to ease this task.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-02 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin , Geert Leus

This paper presents static and dynamic versions of univariate, multivariate, and multilevel functional time-series methods to forecast implied volatility surfaces in foreign exchange markets. We find that dynamic functional principal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Han Lin Shang , Fearghal Kearney

For multivariate spatial Gaussian process (GP) models, customary specifications of cross-covariance functions do not exploit relational inter-variable graphs to ensure process-level conditional independence among the variables. This is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-19 Debangan Dey , Abhirup Datta , Sudipto Banerjee

We establish a theory for multivariate extreme value analysis of dynamical systems. Namely, we provide conditions adapted to the dynamical setting which enable the study of dependence between extreme values of the components of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Romain Aimino , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

We report on the results of two new approaches to considering how many principal components to retain from an analysis of a multivariate time series. The first is by using a "heat map" based approach. A heat map in this context refers to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-21 Alethea Rea , William Rea

Data dependencies have been extended to graphs to characterize topological and value constraints. Existing data dependencies are defined to capture inconsistencies in static graphs. Nevertheless, inconsistencies may occur over evolving…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Morteza Alipourlangouri , Adam Mansfield , Fei Chiang , Yinghui Wu

Characterization of real-world complex systems increasingly involves the study of their topological structure using graph theory. Among global network properties, small-world property, consisting in existence of relatively short paths…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Jaroslav Hlinka , David Hartman , Milan Paluš

Multivariate functional data arise in a wide range of applications. One fundamental task is to understand the causal relationships among these functional objects of interest, which has not yet been fully explored. In this article, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Fangting Zhou , Kejun He , Kunbo Wang , Yanxun Xu , Yang Ni

One common approach to statistical analysis of spatially correlated data relies on defining a correlation structure based solely on unknown parameters and the physical distance between the locations of observed values. However, some data…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-09 Jared M. Clark , Jie Min , Yueyao Wang , Yili Hong , George Ostrouchov

We introduce an operator-theoretic framework for analyzing directional dependence in multivariate time series based on order-constrained spectral non-invariance. Directional influence is defined as the sensitivity of second-order dependence…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-10 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

This paper considers a structural-factor approach to modeling high-dimensional time series and space-time data by decomposing individual series into trend, seasonal, and irregular components. For ease in analyzing many time series, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S Tsay

Multivariate time series classification is a task with increasing importance due to the proliferation of new problems in various fields (economy, health, energy, transport, crops, etc.) where a large number of information sources are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Francisco J. Baldán , José M. Benítez

We propose a flexible dual functional factor model for modelling high-dimensional functional time series. In this model, a high-dimensional fully functional factor parametrisation is imposed on the observed functional processes, whereas a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-15 Chenlei Leng , Degui Li , Hanlin Shang , Yingcun Xia

Principal component analysis has been a main tool in multivariate analysis for estimating a low dimensional linear subspace that explains most of the variability in the data. However, in high-dimensional regimes, naive estimates of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Jamshid Namdari , Amita Manatunga , Fabio Ferrarelli , Robert Krafty

It is possible to investigate emergence in many real systems using time-ordered data. However, classical time series analysis is usually conditioned by data accuracy and quantity. A modern method is to map time series onto graphs and study…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-11-22 Juliane T. Moraes , Silvio C. Ferreira

Time-varying graph signals are alternative representation of multivariate (or multichannel) signals in which a single time-series is associated with each of the nodes or vertex of a graph. Aided by the graph-theoretic tools, time-varying…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-10 Naveed ur Rehman
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