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Time series with long-term structure arise in a variety of contexts and capturing this temporal structure is a critical challenge in time series analysis for both inference and forecasting settings. Traditionally, state space models have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Anna K. Yanchenko , Sayan Mukherjee

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) plays a crucial role across diverse fields, ranging from economic, energy, to traffic. In recent years, deep learning has demonstrated outstanding performance in MTSF tasks. In MTSF, modeling the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Xiangfei Qiu , Hanyin Cheng , Xingjian Wu , Junkai Lu , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen , Bin Yang

The information contained in a time series is more than what the values themselves are. In this paper, the Time-variant Local Autocorrelated Polynomial model with Kalman filter is proposed to model the underlying dynamics of a time series…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-16 Shixiong Wang , Chongshou Li , Andrew Lim

In the prediction of oscillating time series, the interest is in the turning points of successive oscillations rather than the samples themselves. For this purpose a scheme has been proposed; the state space reconstruction is limited to the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-09-15 D. Kugiumtzis , I. Vlachos

The machine learning approaches are applied in the dynamical simulation of open quantum systems. The long short-term memory recurrent neural network (LSTM-RNN) models are used to simulate the long-time quantum dynamics, which are built…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-05-10 Kunni Lin , Jiawei Peng , Chao Xu , Feng Long Gu , Zhenggang Lan

Time series refer to a series of data points indexed in time order, which can be found in various fields, e.g., transportation, healthcare, and finance. Accurate time series forecasting can enhance optimization planning and decision-making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Ling Chen , Jiahua Cui

This paper tackles one of the most fundamental goals in functional time series analysis which is to provide reliable predictions for future functions. Existing methods for predicting a complete future functional observation use only…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Alexander Aue , Hernando Ombao

Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

A major bottleneck of the current Machine Learning (ML) workflow is the time consuming, error prone engineering required to get data from a datastore or a database (DB) to the point an ML algorithm can be applied to it. Hence, we explore…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Anish Agarwal , Abdullah Alomar , Devavrat Shah

Forecasts of various processes have always been a sophisticated problem for statistics and data science. Over the past decades the solution procedures were updated by deep learning and kernel methods. According to many specialists, these…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Igor Mackarov

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

Energy time-series analysis describes the process of analyzing past energy observations and possibly external factors so as to predict the future. Different tasks are involved in the general field of energy time-series analysis and…

This article presents a novel method for prediction of stationary functional time series, in particular for trajectories that share a similar pattern but display variable phases. The limitation of most of the existing prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Hernando Ombao

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

The past decade has witnessed significant advances in time series modeling with deep learning. While achieving state-of-the-art results, the best-performing architectures vary highly across applications and domains. Meanwhile, for natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Defu Cao , Furong Jia , Sercan O Arik , Tomas Pfister , Yixiang Zheng , Wen Ye , Yan Liu

Perhaps surprisingly, it is possible to predict how long an algorithm will take to run on a previously unseen input, using machine learning techniques to build a model of the algorithm's runtime as a function of problem-specific instance…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-10-29 Frank Hutter , Lin Xu , Holger H. Hoos , Kevin Leyton-Brown

Video action anticipation aims to predict future action categories from observed frames. Current state-of-the-art approaches mainly resort to recurrent neural networks to encode history information into hidden states, and predict future…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Wen Wang , Xiaojiang Peng , Yanzhou Su , Yu Qiao , Jian Cheng

Time series analysis is a field of data science which is interested in analyzing sequences of numerical values ordered in time. Time series are particularly interesting because they allow us to visualize and understand the evolution of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Hassan Ismail Fawaz

An approach is presented for making predictions about functional time series. The method is applied to data coming from periodically correlated processes and electricity demand, obtaining accurate point forecasts and narrow prediction bands…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez

Can meta-learning discover generic ways of processing time series (TS) from a diverse dataset so as to greatly improve generalization on new TS coming from different datasets? This work provides positive evidence to this using a broad…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Boris N. Oreshkin , Dmitri Carpov , Nicolas Chapados , Yoshua Bengio
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