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In traditional quantitative trading practice, navigating the complicated and dynamic financial market presents a persistent challenge. Fully capturing various market variables, including long-term information, as well as essential signals…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Zhaofeng Zhang , Banghao Chen , Shengxin Zhu , Nicolas Langrené

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

This paper proposes an innovative Multi-Modal Transformer framework (MMF-Trans) designed to significantly improve the prediction accuracy of the Chinese stock market by integrating multi-source heterogeneous information including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Lumen AI , Tengzhou No. 1 Middle School , Shihao Ji , Zihui Song , Fucheng Zhong , Jisen Jia , Zhaobo Wu , Zheyi Cao , Xu Tianhao

In this paper, we tackle the challenge of predicting stock movements in financial markets by introducing Higher Order Transformers, a novel architecture designed for processing multivariate time-series data. We extend the self-attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Soroush Omranpour , Guillaume Rabusseau , Reihaneh Rabbany

Financial prediction is a complex and challenging task of time series analysis and signal processing, expected to model both short-term fluctuations and long-term temporal dependencies. Transformers have remarkable success mostly in natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Nguyen Kim Hai Bui , Nguyen Duy Chien , Péter Kovács , Gergő Bognár

Stock price forecasting has remained an extremely challenging problem for many decades due to the high volatility of the stock market. Recent efforts have been devoted to modeling complex stock correlations toward joint stock price…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Tong Li , Zhaoyang Liu , Yanyan Shen , Xue Wang , Haokun Chen , Sen Huang

Learning profitable intraday trading policies from financial time series is challenging due to heavy noise, non-stationarity, and strong cross-sectional dependence among related assets. We propose \emph{WaveLSFormer}, a learnable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Shuozhe Li , Du Cheng , Leqi Liu

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Kamil Ł. Szydłowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Stock price prediction is of significant importance in quantitative investment. Existing approaches encounter two primary issues: First, they often overlook the crucial role of capturing short-term stock fluctuations for predicting…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Chengqi Dong , Zhiyuan Cao , S Kevin Zhou , Jia Liu

Portfolio allocation via stock price prediction is inherently difficult due to the notoriously low signal-to-noise ratio of stock time series. This paper proposes a method by integrating wavelet transform convolution and channel attention…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Junjie Guo

In financial trading, factor models are widely used to price assets and capture excess returns from mispricing. Recently, we have witnessed the rise of variational autoencoder-based latent factor models, which learn latent factors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Yilei Zhao , Wentao Zhang , Tingran Yang , Yong Jiang , Fei Huang , Wei Yang Bryan Lim

Accurately predicting stock returns is crucial for effective portfolio management. However, existing methods often overlook a fundamental issue in the market, namely, distribution shifts, making them less practical for predicting future…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Haiyao Cao , Jinan Zou , Yuhang Liu , Zhen Zhang , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Anton van den Hengel , Javen Qinfeng Shi

Predicting stock returns remains a central challenge in quantitative finance, transitioning from traditional statistical methods to contemporary deep learning techniques. However, many current models struggle with effectively capturing…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Chenlanhui Dai , Wenyan Wang , Yusi Fan , Yueying Wang , Lan Huang , Kewei Li , Fengfeng Zhou

Machine learning models have demonstrated remarkable efficacy and efficiency in a wide range of stock forecasting tasks. However, the inherent challenges of data scarcity, including low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and data homogeneity, pose…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Yuan Gao , Haokun Chen , Xiang Wang , Zhicai Wang , Xue Wang , Jinyang Gao , Bolin Ding

With the increasing volume of high-frequency data in the information age, both challenges and opportunities arise in the prediction of stock volatility. On one hand, the outcome of prediction using tradition method combining stock technical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Wenting Liu , Zhaozhong Gui , Guilin Jiang , Lihua Tang , Lichun Zhou , Wan Leng , Xulong Zhang , Yujiang Liu

As a branch of time series forecasting, stock movement forecasting is one of the challenging problems for investors and researchers. Since Transformer was introduced to analyze financial data, many researchers have dedicated themselves to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-12 Chufeng Li , Jianyong Chen

Accurately forecasting daily exchange rate returns represents a longstanding challenge in international finance, as the exchange rate returns are driven by a multitude of correlated market factors and exhibit high-frequency fluctuations.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Dinggao Liu , Robert Ślepaczuk , Zhenpeng Tang

Time series forecasting requires capturing patterns across multiple temporal scales while maintaining computational efficiency. This paper introduces AWGformer, a novel architecture that integrates adaptive wavelet decomposition with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Wei Li

Time series forecasting has various applications, such as meteorological rainfall prediction, traffic flow analysis, financial forecasting, and operational load monitoring for various systems. Due to the sparsity of time series data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Xiaojian Wang , Chaoli Zhang , Zhonglong Zheng , Yunliang Jiang

High-frequency quantitative investment is a crucial aspect of stock investment. Notably, order flow data plays a critical role as it provides the most detailed level of information among high-frequency trading data, including comprehensive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-17 Xianfeng Jiao , Zizhong Li , Chang Xu , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian
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