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Stock trend prediction plays a critical role in seeking maximized profit from stock investment. However, precise trend prediction is very difficult since the highly volatile and non-stationary nature of stock market. Exploding information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Ziniu Hu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian , Xuanzhe Liu , Tie-Yan Liu

In this paper, we develop a novel large volatility matrix estimation procedure for analyzing global financial markets. Practitioners often use lower-frequency data, such as weekly or monthly returns, to address the issue of different…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Sung Hoon Choi , Donggyu Kim

Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Andrzej Tokajuk , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Providing reliable predictive maintenance is a critical industrial AI service essential for ensuring the high availability of manufacturing devices. Existing deep-learning methods present competitive results on such tasks but lack a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Jiahui Zhou , Dan Li , Ruibing Jin , Jian Lou , Yanran Zhao , Zhenghua Chen , Zigui Jiang , See-Kiong Ng

Stock price prediction can be made more efficient by considering the price fluctuations and understanding the sentiments of people. A limited number of models understand financial jargon or have labelled datasets concerning stock price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-31 Mukul Jaggi , Priyanka Mandal , Shreya Narang , Usman Naseem , Matloob Khushi

This paper presents a novel approach to electricity price forecasting (EPF) using a pure Transformer model. As opposed to other alternatives, no other recurrent network is used in combination to the attention mechanism. Hence, showing that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Oscar Llorente , Jose Portela

Fundamental variables in financial market are not only price and return but a very important role is also played by trading volumes. Here we propose a new multivariate model that takes into account price returns, logarithmic variation of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-14 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Multifractal analysis is a forecasting technique used to study the scaling regularity properties of financial returns, to analyze the long-term memory and predictability of financial markets. In this paper, we propose a novel structural…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-18 Foued Saâdaoui

Learning representations on large-sized graphs is a long-standing challenge due to the inter-dependence nature involved in massive data points. Transformers, as an emerging class of foundation encoders for graph-structured data, have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Qitian Wu , Wentao Zhao , Chenxiao Yang , Hengrui Zhang , Fan Nie , Haitian Jiang , Yatao Bian , Junchi Yan

This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 James Aspnes , David F. Fischer , Michael J. Fischer , Ming-Yang Kao , Alok Kumar

Quantitative Investment, built on the solid foundation of robust financial theories, is at the center stage in investment industry today. The essence of quantitative investment is the multi-factor model, which explains the relationship…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Xuanwu Yue , Jiaxin Bai , Qinhan Liu , Yiyang Tang , Abishek Puri , Ke Li , Huamin Qu

Spatiotemporal forecasting of traffic flow data represents a typical problem in the field of machine learning, impacting urban traffic management systems. In general, spatiotemporal forecasting problems involve complex interactions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yash Jakhmola , Madhurima Panja , Nitish Kumar Mishra , Kripabandhu Ghosh , Uttam Kumar , Tanujit Chakraborty

This study presents an agent-based computational cross-market model for Chinese equity market structure, which includes both stocks and CSI 300 index futures. In this model, we design several stocks and one index futures to simulate this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-17 Hai-Chuan Xu , Wei Zhang , Xiong Xiong , Wei-Xing Zhou

An artificial stock market is established based on multi-agent . Each agent has a limit memory of the history of stock price, and will choose an action according to his memory and trading strategy. The trading strategy of each agent evolves…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Chun-Xia Yang , Tao Zhou , Pei-Ling Zhou , Jun Liu , Zi-Nan Tang

This article presents Appformer, a novel mobile application prediction framework inspired by the efficiency of Transformer-like architectures in processing sequential data through self-attention mechanisms. Combining a Multi-Modal Data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Chuike Sun , Junzhou Chen , Yue Zhao , Hao Han , Ruihai Jing , Guang Tan , Di Wu

Training a practical and effective model for stock selection has been a greatly concerned problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Even though some of the models from previous works have achieved good performance in the U.S. market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Junming Yang , Yaoqi Li , Xuanyu Chen , Jiahang Cao , Kangkang Jiang

Traditional stochastic control methods in finance struggle in real world markets due to their reliance on simplifying assumptions and stylized frameworks. Such methods typically perform well in specific, well defined environments but yield…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Yang Li , Zhi Chen

This work addresses a key challenge in inventory management by developing a stochastic model that describes the dynamic distribution of inventory stock over time without assuming a specific demand distribution. Our model provides a flexible…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-18 Pedro A. Pury

While numerous forecasters have been proposed using different network architectures, the Transformer-based models have state-of-the-art performance in time series forecasting. However, forecasters based on Transformers are still suffering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Kun Yi , Jingru Fei , Qi Zhang , Hui He , Shufeng Hao , Defu Lian , Wei Fan

In online portfolio optimization the investor makes decisions based on new, continuously incoming information on financial assets (typically their prices). In our study we consider a learning algorithm, namely the Kiefer--Wolfowitz version…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-05 Zsolt Nika , Miklós Rásonyi
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