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This paper studies the case of possibly high-dimensional covariates in the regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. In particular, we propose estimation and inference methods for the RDD models with covariate selection which perform…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Yoichi Arai , Taisuke Otsu , Myung Hwan Seo

We propose an autoregressive framework for modelling dynamic networks with dependent edges. It encompasses models that accommodate, for example, transitivity, degree heterogenenity, and other stylized features often observed in real network…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Jinyuan Chang , Qin Fang , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Peter W. MacDonald , Qiwei Yao

Many economic environments involve units linked by a network. I develop an econometric framework that derives the dynamics of cross-sectional variables from the lagged innovation transmission along bilateral links and that can accommodate…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-23 Marko Mlikota

Recurrent Neural networks (RNN) have shown promising potential for learning dynamics of sequential data. However, artificial neural networks are known to exhibit poor robustness in presence of input noise, where the sequential architecture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Arash Amini , Guangyi Liu , Nader Motee

Non-stationary extremal dependence, whereby the relationship between the extremes of multiple variables evolves over time, is commonly observed in many environmental and financial data sets. However, most multivariate extreme value models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-29 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth , M. de Carvalho , B. D. Youngman

This paper considers inference on fixed effects in a linear regression model estimated from network data. An important special case of our setup is the two-way regression model. This is a workhorse technique in the analysis of matched data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Koen Jochmans , Martin Weidner

An important problem in network analysis is predicting a node attribute using both network covariates, such as graph embedding coordinates or local subgraph counts, and conventional node covariates, such as demographic characteristics.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Robert Lunde , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

In this paper, we study parametric nonlinear regression under the Harris recurrent Markov chain framework. We first consider the nonlinear least squares estimators of the parameters in the homoskedastic case, and establish asymptotic theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-15 Degui Li , Dag Tjøstheim , Jiti Gao

We propose a weak-identification-robust test for linear instrumental variable (IV) regressions with high-dimensional instruments, whose number is allowed to exceed the sample size. In addition, our test is robust to general error…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-01 Qu Feng , Sombut Jaidee , Wenjie Wang

We study regression discontinuity designs in which many predetermined covariates, possibly much more than the number of observations, can be used to increase the precision of treatment effect estimates. We consider a two-step estimator…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-06 Alexander Kreiß , Christoph Rothe

High order momentum-based parameter update algorithms have seen widespread applications in training machine learning models. Recently, connections with variational approaches have led to the derivation of new learning algorithms with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , José M. Moreu , Michael A. Bolender , Travis E. Gibson

The Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) model is fundamental to the study of multivariate time series. Although VAR models are intensively investigated by many researchers, practitioners often show more interest in analyzing VARX models that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-13 Ines Wilms , Sumanta Basu , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

Robustness under perturbation and contamination is a prominent issue in statistical learning. We address the robust nonlinear regression based on the so-called interval conditional value-at-risk (In-CVaR), which is introduced to enhance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Yulei You , Junyi Liu

This paper deals with the tracking control problem for a very simple class of unknown nonlinear systems. In this paper, we presents a design strategy for tracking control of time-varying state constrained nonlinear systems in an adaptive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-12 Pankaj Kumar Mishra , Nishchal K Verma

The era of information explosion had prompted the accumulation of a tremendous amount of time-series data, including stationary and non-stationary time-series data. State-of-the-art algorithms have achieved a decent performance in dealing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Xipei Wang , Haoyu Zhang , Yuanbo Zhang , Meng Wang , Jiarui Song , Tin Lai , Matloob Khushi

We study theoretical properties of regularized robust M-estimators, applicable when data are drawn from a sparse high-dimensional linear model and contaminated by heavy-tailed distributions and/or outliers in the additive errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-05 Po-Ling Loh

Autoregressive (AR) models remain widely used in time series analysis due to their interpretability, but convencional parameter estimation methods can be computationally expensive and prone to convergence issues. This paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-20 Anaísa Lucena , Ana Martins , Armando J. Pinho , Sónia Gouveia

This work develops a new method for estimating and optimizing the directed information rate between two jointly stationary and ergodic stochastic processes. Building upon recent advances in machine learning, we propose a recurrent neural…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Dor Tsur , Ziv Aharoni , Ziv Goldfeld , Haim Permuter

Additive regression models are actively researched in the statistical field because of their usefulness in the analysis of responses determined by non-linear relationships with multivariate predictors. In this kind of statistical models,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-14 German A. Schnaidt Grez , Brani Vidakovic

The modeling and prediction of multivariate spatio-temporal data involve numerous challenges. Dimension reduction methods can significantly simplify this process, provided that they account for the complex dependencies between variables and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-18 Mika Sipilä , Klaus Nordhausen , Sara Taskinen