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We adopt the statistical framework on robustness proposed by Watson and Holmes in 2016 and then tackle the practical challenges that hinder its applicability to network models. The goal is to evaluate how the quality of an inference for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Marios Papamichalis , Simon Lunagomez , Patrick J. Wolfe

We address a distributed adaptive control methodology for nonlinear interconnected systems possibly affected by network anomalies. In the framework of adaptive approximation, the distributed controller and parameter estimator are designed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-08 Youqing Wang , Ying Li , Thomas Parisini , Dong Zhao

While artificial neural networks excel in unsupervised learning of non-sparse structure, classical statistical regression techniques offer better interpretability, in particular when sparseness is enforced by $\ell_1$ regularization,…

This note introduces a doubly robust (DR) estimator for regression discontinuity (RD) designs. RD designs provide a quasi-experimental framework for estimating treatment effects, where treatment assignment depends on whether a running…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-28 Masahiro Kato

Detecting anomalies in a temporal sequence of graphs can be applied is areas such as the detection of accidents in transport networks and cyber attacks in computer networks. Existing methods for detecting abnormal graphs can suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Conrad Sanderson , Rob J. Hyndman

We consider network autoregressive models for count data with a non-random neighborhood structure. The main methodological contribution is the development of conditions that guarantee stability and valid statistical inference for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-20 Mirko Armillotta , Konstantinos Fokianos

Recent advances in the estimation of deep directed graphical models and recurrent networks let us contribute to the removal of a blind spot in the area of probabilistc modelling of time series. The proposed methods i) can infer distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Justin Bayer , Christian Osendorfer

This paper proposes a parsimoniously time varying parameter vector autoregressive model (with exogenous variables, VARX) and studies the properties of the Lasso and adaptive Lasso as estimators of this model. The parameters of the model are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-21 Laurent Callot , Johannes Tang Kristensen

We study mean estimation of a random vector $X$ in a distributed parameter-server-worker setup. Worker $i$ observes samples of $a_i^\top X$, where $a_i^\top$ is the $i$th row of a known sensing matrix $A$. The key challenges are adversarial…

In the context of undirected Gaussian graphical models, we introduce three estimators based on elastic net penalty for the underlying dependence graph. Our goal is to estimate the sparse precision matrix, from which to retrieve both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Davide Bernardini , Sandra Paterlini , Emanuele Taufer

This paper proposes a nonlinear estimator for the robust reconstruction of process and sensor faults for a class of uncertain nonlinear systems. The proposed fault estimation method augments the system dynamics with an ultra-local (in time)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

This paper presents a novel online identification algorithm for nonlinear regression models. The online identification problem is challenging due to the presence of nonlinear structure in the models. Previous works usually ignore the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Guang-Yong Chen , Min Gan , Jing Chen , Long Chen

This paper provides a new methodology to analyze unobserved heterogeneity when observed characteristics are modeled nonlinearly. The proposed model builds on varying random coefficients (VRC) that are determined by nonlinear functions of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-05 Christoph Breunig

The paper introduces a flexible model for the analysis of multivariate nonlinear time series data. The proposed Functional Coefficients Network Autoregressive (FCNAR) model considers the response of each node in the network to depend in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hang Yin , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

We develop a variational Bayesian (VB) approach for estimating large-scale dynamic network models in the network autoregression framework. The VB approach allows for the automatic identification of the dynamic structure of such a model and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-19 Wei-Ting Lai , Ray-Bing Chen , Ying Chen , Thorsten Koch

Nonparametric regression models with locally stationary covariates have received increasing interest in recent years. As a nice relief of "curse of dimensionality" induced by large dimension of covariates, additive regression model is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-02 Lixia Hu , Tao Huang , Jinhong You

Recursive max-linear vectors model causal dependence between its components by expressing each node variable as a max-linear function of its parental nodes in a directed acyclic graph and some exogenous innovation. Motivated by extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Claudia Klüppelberg , Mario Krali

In this paper it is showed that if a time-varying uncertain system is robustly completely detectable then there exists an estimator for this system, i.e. we can estimate asymptotically the state vector of the system. Moreover, if a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Iasson Karafyllis , Costas Kravaris

This paper introduces a methodology to conduct robust inference in bipartite networks under local misspecification. We focus on a class of dyadic network models with misspecified conditional moment restrictions. The framework of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-21 Luis E. Candelaria , Yichong Zhang