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With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

Bayesian model-based spatial clustering methods are widely used for their flexibility in estimating latent clusters with an unknown number of clusters while accounting for spatial proximity. Many existing methods are designed for clustering…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Kun Huang , Huiyan Sang

Pavement defect detection faces critical challenges including limited annotated data, domain shift between training and deployment environments, and high variability in defect appearances across different road conditions. We propose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Muhammad Aqeel , Kidus Dagnaw Bellete , Francesco Setti

To capture spatial relationships and temporal dynamics in traffic data, spatio-temporal models for traffic forecasting have drawn significant attention in recent years. Most of the recent works employed graph neural networks(GNN) with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Amit Roy , Kashob Kumar Roy , Amin Ahsan Ali , M Ashraful Amin , A K M Mahbubur Rahman

Spatial dependence, referring to the correlation between variable values observed at different geographic locations, is one of the most fundamental characteristics of spatial data. The presence of spatial dependence violates the classical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-23 Chuan Chen , Peng Luo

In public health applications, spatial data collected are often recorded at different spatial scales and over different correlated variables. Spatial change of support is a key inferential problem in these applications and have become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

High resolution geospatial data are challenging because standard geostatistical models based on Gaussian processes are known to not scale to large data sizes. While progress has been made towards methods that can be computed more…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-03 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

This paper focuses on the analysis of spatially correlated functional data. The between-curve correlation is modeled by correlating functional principal component scores of the functional data. We propose a Spatial Principal Analysis by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Chong Liu , Surajit Ray , Giles Hooker

Reliably predicting future occupancy of highly dynamic urban environments is an important precursor for safe autonomous navigation. Common challenges in the prediction include forecasting the relative position of other vehicles, modelling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Khushdeep Singh Mann , Abhishek Tomy , Anshul Paigwar , Alessandro Renzaglia , Christian Laugier

Multivariate spatio-temporal data arise more and more frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few general statistical methods that can readily use that incorporate spatial, temporal and variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Elynn Yi Chen , Qiwei Yao , Rong Chen

Accurately forecasting urban development and its environmental and climate impacts critically depends on realistic models of the spatial structure of the built environment, and of its dependence on key factors such as population and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Adrian Albert , Jasleen Kaur , Emanuele Strano , Marta Gonzalez

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

This work presents a non-parametric spatio-temporal model for mapping human activity by mobile autonomous robots in a long-term context. Based on Variational Gaussian Process Regression, the model incorporates prior information of spatial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Marvin Stuede , Moritz Schappler

To study the impact of climate variables on morbidity of some diseases in Mexico, we propose a spatio-temporal varying coefficients regression model. For that we introduce a new spatio-temporal dependent process prior, in a Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-02 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

Extreme events over large spatial domains may exhibit highly heterogeneous tail dependence characteristics, yet most existing spatial extremes models yield only one dependence class over the entire spatial domain. To accurately characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Muyang Shi , Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Benjamin A. Shaby

Statistical models for landslide hazard enable mapping of risk factors and landslide occurrence intensity by using geomorphological covariates available at high spatial resolution. However, the spatial distribution of the triggering event…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Thomas Opitz , Haakon Bakka , Raphaël Huser , Luigi Lombardo

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

An accurate road surface friction prediction algorithm can enable intelligent transportation systems to share timely road surface condition to the public for increasing the safety of the road users. Previously, scholars developed multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Ziyuan Pu , Zhiyong Cui , Shuo Wang , Qianmu Li , Yinhai Wang

Although spatial prediction is widely used for urban and environmental monitoring, its accuracy is often unsatisfactory if only a small number of samples are available in the study area. The objective of this study was to improve the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-22 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita
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