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We present a systematic study of the statistics of the occupation time and related random variables for stochastic processes with independent intervals of time. According to the nature of the distribution of time intervals, the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Godreche , J. M. Luck

The first-passage time is a key concept in stochastic modeling, representing the time at which a process first reaches a specified threshold. In this work, we consider a jump-diffusion (JD) model with a time-dependent threshold, providing a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-04 Sascha Desmettre , Devika Khurana , Amira Meddah

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic approximation scheme on two timescales with set-valued drift functions and in the presence of non-additive iterate-dependent Markov noise. It is shown that the recursion on each…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-21 Vinayaka Yaji , Shalabh Bhatnagar

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

In a previous paper, we established strong existence and uniqueness for a reflected diffusion $(X,S)$ with values in $\bar D\times \mathbbm{R}^p$, solving the following pair of stochastic differential equations: $$ dX_t = \sigma(X_t)dB_t +…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-24 Mauricio Duarte E

The {\alpha}-stable L\'evy process, commonly used to describe L\'evy flight, is characterized by discontinuous jumps and is widely used to model anomalous transport phenomena. In this study, we investigate the associated exit problem and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Minglei Yang , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Guannan Zhang

Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) are standarizable candles whose observed light curves can be used to infer their distances, which can in turn be used in cosmological analyses. As the quantity of observed SNe Ia grows with current and upcoming…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-29 Ana Sofía M. Uzsoy , Stephen Thorp , Matthew Grayling , Kaisey S. Mandel

Recent statistical methods fitted on large-scale GPS data can provide accurate estimations of the expected travel time between two points. However, little is known about the distribution of travel time, which is key to decision-making…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Mohamad Elmasri , Aurelie Labbe , Denis Larocque , Laurent Charlin

Numerous applications all the way from biology and physics to economics depend on the density of first crossings over a boundary. Motivated by the lack of analytical tools for computing first-passage time densities (FPTDs) for complex…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-18 Markus Nyberg , Tobias Ambjörnsson , Ludvig Lizana

This paper deals with the problems of stochastic stability and sliding mode control for a class of continuous-time Markovian jump systems with mode-dependent time-varying delays and partly unknown transition probabilities. The design method…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Nasibeh Zohrabi , Hasan Zakeri , Amir Hossein Abolmasoumi , Hamid Reza Momeni

Motivated by studies of indirect measurements in quantum mechanics, we investigate stochastic differential equations with a fixed point subject to an additional infinitesimal repulsive perturbation. We conjecture, and prove for an important…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-07-18 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

For non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems, mean exit time and escape probability are important deterministic quantities, which can be obtained from integro-differential (nonlocal) equations. We develop an efficient and convergent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

We study discrete-time stochastic processes $(X_t)$ on $[0,\infty)$ with asymptotically zero mean drifts. Specifically, we consider the critical (Lamperti-type) situation in which the mean drift at $x$ is about $c/x$. Our focus is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-27 Ostap Hryniv , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

Previous analytical studies of on-line Independent Component Analysis (ICA) learning rules have focussed on asymptotic stability and efficiency. In practice the transient stages of learning will often be more significant in determining the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Magnus Rattray

In this paper we consider two semimartingales driven by diffusions and jumps. We allow both for finite activity and for infinite activity jump components. Given discrete observations we disentangle the {\it integrated covariation} (the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Fabio Gobbi , Cecilia Mancini

The fraction r(t) of spins which have never flipped up to time t is studied within a linear diffusion approximation to phase ordering. Numerical simulations show that, even in this simple context, r(t) decays with time like a power-law with…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Bernard Derrida , Vincent Hakim , Reuven Zeitak

Approximate Bayesian inference for the class of latent Gaussian models can be achieved efficiently with integrated nested Laplace approximations (INLA). Based on recent reformulations in the INLA methodology, we propose a further extension…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Shourya Dutta , Janet van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

Bayesian model averaging, model selection and its approximations such as BIC are generally statistically consistent, but sometimes achieve slower rates og convergence than other methods such as AIC and leave-one-out cross-validation. On the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-17 Tim van Erven , Peter Grunwald , Steven de Rooij

It has been noticed that when the waiting time distribution exhibits a transition from an intermediate time power law decay to a long-time exponential decay in the continuous time random walk model, a transition from anomalous diffusion to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Zhe Xue , Yuan Zhang , Zhennan Zhou , Min Tang