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The number of active shooter incidents in the US has been increasing alarmingly. It is imperative for the government as well as the public to understand these events. Though both analytic and agent-based models have been proposed for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Liang Hong

We consider a kinetic theory approach to model the evacuation of a crowd from bounded domains. The interactions of a person with other pedestrians and the environment, which includes walls, exits, and obstacles, are modeled by using tools…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Daewa Kim , Annalisa Quaini

Protest is ubiquitous in the 21st Century and the people who participate in such movements do so because they seek to bring about social change. However, social change takes time and involves repeated interactions between individual…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Emma F. Thomas , Mengbin Ye , Simon D. Angus , Tony J. Mathew , Winnifred Louis , Liam Walsh , Silas Ellery , Morgana Lizzio-Wilson , Craig McGarty

Recent advances in modeling and control of crowds of pedestrians are briefly surveyed in this paper. Possibilities of applying fractional calculus in the modeling of crowd of pedestrians have been shortly reviewed and discussed from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Ke-cai Cao , YangQuan Chen , Dan Stuart , Dong Yue

The combination of large open data sources with machine learning approaches presents a potentially powerful way to predict events such as protest or social unrest. However, accounting for uncertainty in such models, particularly when using…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Jonathan Tuke , Andrew Nguyen , Mehwish Nasim , Drew Mellor , Asanga Wickramasinghe , Nigel Bean , Lewis Mitchell

We introduce and analyze several variants of a system of differential equations which model the dynamics of social outbursts, such as riots. The systems involve the coupling of an explicit variable representing the intensity of rioting…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-07-08 Henri Berestycki , Jean-Pierre Nadal , Nancy Rodriguez

We discuss some causal estimands used to study racial discrimination in policing. A central challenge is that not all police-civilian encounters are recorded in administrative datasets and available to researchers. One possible solution is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-16 Qingyuan Zhao , Luke J Keele , Dylan S Small , Marshall M Joffe

Climate activism is crucial in stimulating collective societal and behavioral change towards sustainable practices through political pressure. Although multiple factors contribute to the participation in activism, their complex…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Jacopo Lenti , Luca Maria Aiello , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

In spite of precautions to avoid the harmful effects of extreme events, we experience recurrently phenomena that overcome the preventive barriers. These barriers usually increase drastically right after the occurrence of such extreme…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Eduardo G. Altmann , Sarah Hallerberg , Holger Kantz

Social media empowers citizens to raise the voice and expressed civil outrage leads to collective action to change the society. Since social media welcomes anyone regardless of the political ideology or perspectives, social media is where…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Jaihyun Park

This study extends classical models of spreading epidemics to describe the phenomenon of contagious public outrage, which eventually leads to the spread of violence following a disclosure of some unpopular political decisions and/or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-17 Sarwat Nizamani , Nasrullah Memon , Serge Galam

In this survey we consider mathematical models and methods recently developed to control crowd dynamics, with particular emphasis on egressing pedestrians. We focus on two control strategies: The first one consists in using special agents,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-25 Giacomo Albi , Emiliano Cristiani , Lorenzo Pareschi , Daniele Peri

Concerts, protests, and sporting events are occurring with increasing frequency and magnitude. The extreme physical conditions common to these events are known to cause injuries and loss-of-life due to the emergence of collective motion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-25 Arianna Bottinelli , Jesse L. Silverberg

Focusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real life experiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) we present a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and the uncertainty (in the form of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Alessandro Corbetta , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi , Kiamars Vafayi

In this paper we investigate the resiliency planning of interdependent electric power systems and emergency services. We investigate the effect of the level of empathy, cooperation, coordination, flexibility, and experience of individuals…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-04-14 Jaber Valinejad , Lamine Mili , Konstantinos Triantis , Michael von Spakovsky , C. Natalie van der Wal

In this survey we report some recent results in the mathematical modeling of epidemic phenomena through the use of kinetic equations. We initially consider models of interaction between agents in which social characteristics play a key role…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-11 Giacomo Albi , Giulia Bertaglia , Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

In the last decade, online social media has become the primary platform for protesters to organize and express their agenda in various parts of the world. Nevertheless, scholars still debate whether online tools induce offline protests or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Ivan Slobozhan , Tymofii Brik , Rajesh Sharma

Civil unrest is a powerful form of collective human dynamics, which has led to major transitions of societies in modern history. The study of collective human dynamics, including collective aggression, has been the focus of much discussion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-06 Dan Braha

The CLEF 2019 ProtestNews Lab tasks participants to identify text relating to political protests within larger corpora of news data. Three tasks include article classification, sentence detection, and event extraction. I apply multitask…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Benjamin J. Radford

The motion of pedestrian crowds (e.g. for simulation of an evacuation situation) can be modeled as a multi-body system of self driven particles with repulsive interaction. We use a few simple situations to determine the simplest allowed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-12-04 B. Steffen