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Gun violence is a major source of injury and death in the United States. However, relatively little is known about the effects of firearm injuries on survivors and their family members and how these effects vary across subpopulations. To…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-04 Eric R. Cohn , Zirui Song , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Many events and policies (treatments) occur at specific spatial locations, with researchers interested in their effects on nearby units. I approach the spatial treatment setting from an experimental perspective: What ideal experiment would…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-27 Michael Pollmann

We study treatment-effect estimation using panel data. The treatment may be non-binary, non-absorbing, and the outcome may be affected by treatment lags. We make a parallel-trends assumption, and propose event-study estimators of the effect…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-13 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

This paper provides a new approach for identifying and estimating the Average Treatment Effect on the Treated under a linear factor model that allows for multiple time-varying unobservables. Unlike the majority of the literature on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-28 Koki Fusejima , Takuya Ishihara

Point process models have been used to analyze interaction event times on a social network, in the hope to provides valuable insights for social science research. However, the diagnostics and visualization of the modeling results from such…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-28 Jing Wu , Anna L. Smith , Tian Zheng

Educational assessments are valuable tools for measuring student knowledge and skills, but their validity can be compromised when test takers exhibit changes in response behavior due to factors such as time pressure. To address this issue,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Gabriel Wallin , Yunxiao Chen , Yi-Hsuan Lee , Xiaoou Li

The estimand framework provides guidance on handling intercurrent events, such as treatment discontinuation, in the analysis of clinical trial responses. Under ICH E9(R1), the treatment policy (TP) strategy incorporates post-discontinuation…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Myeongjong Kang , Sangyoon Yi

The analysis of data arising from environmental health studies which collect a large number of measures of exposure can benefit from using latent variable models to summarize exposure information. However, difficulties with estimation of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-21 Brisa N. Sánchez , Esben Budtz-Jørgensen , Louise M. Ryan

The piecewise exponential model is a flexible non-parametric approach for time-to-event data, but extrapolation beyond final observation times typically relies on random walk priors and deterministic knot locations, resulting in unrealistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Luke Hardcastle , Samuel Livingstone , Gianluca Baio

Dynamical phenomena such as infectious diseases are often investigated by following up subjects longitudinally, thus generating time to event data. The spatial aspect of such data is also of primordial importance, as many infectious…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Ajmal Oodally , Estelle Kuhn , Klara Goethals , Luc Duchateau

We consider a parametric modelling approach for survival data where covariates are allowed to enter the model through multiple distributional parameters, i.e., scale and shape. This is in contrast with the standard convention of having a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-17 Fatima-Zahra Jaouimaa , Il Do Ha , Kevin Burke

Crossing survival curves complicate how we interpret results from a clinical trial's primary endpoint. We find the function to determine a crossing point's location depends exponentially on individual survival curves. This exponential…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-09 Thomas McAndrew , Bjorn Redfors , Yiran Zhang , Aaron Crowley , Shmuel Chen , Gregg Stone , Paul Jenkins

Estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data is particularly challenging due to censoring, limited sample sizes, and non-random treatment assignment. The need for answering such "when-if" questions--how the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jessy Xinyi Han , Devavrat Shah

Existing weighting methods for treatment effect estimation are often built upon the idea of propensity scores or covariate balance. They usually impose strong assumptions on treatment assignment or outcome model to obtain unbiased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Dongcheng Zhang , Kunpeng Zhang

In empirical studies with time-to-event outcomes, investigators often leverage observational data to conduct causal inference on the effect of exposure when randomized controlled trial data is unavailable. Model misspecification and lack of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-05 Shenbo Xu , Bang Zheng , Bowen Su , Stan Finkelstein , Roy Welsch , Kenney Ng , Ioanna Tzoulaki , Zach Shahn

For the outcomes and phenotypes of complex diseases, multiple types of molecular (genetic, genomic, epigenetic, etc.) changes, environmental risk factors, and their interactions have been found to have important contributions. In each of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-19 Yaqing Xu , Mengyun Wu , Shuangge Ma

Learning from Demonstration depends on a robot learner generalising its learned model to unseen conditions, as it is not feasible for a person to provide a demonstration set that accounts for all possible variations in non-trivial tasks.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Aran Sena , Brendan Michael , Matthew Howard

Practitioners in medicine, business, political science, and other fields are increasingly aware that decisions should be personalized to each patient, customer, or voter. A given treatment (e.g. a drug or advertisement) should be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-15 Alejandro Schuler , Michael Baiocchi , Robert Tibshirani , Nigam Shah

This paper proposes a unified version of survival models that accounts for both zero-adjustment and cure proportions in various latent competing causes, useful in data where survival times may be zero or cure proportions are present. These…

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