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This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a market where the drift is driven by an unobserved Markov chain. Information on the state of this chain is obtained from stock prices and expert opinions in the form of signals at…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-03 Rüdiger Frey , Abdelali Gabih , Ralf Wunderlich

Various gradient compression schemes have been proposed to mitigate the communication cost in distributed training of large scale machine learning models. Sign-based methods, such as signSGD, have recently been gaining popularity because of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Mher Safaryan , Peter Richtárik

This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a financial market where the drift of the stock returns is driven by an unobserved Gaussian mean reverting process. Information on this process is obtained from observing stock returns…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Abdelali Gabih , Hakam Kondakji , Jörn Sass , Ralf Wunderlich

Recognizing that asset markets generally exhibit shared informational characteristics, we develop a portfolio strategy based on transfer learning that leverages cross-market information to enhance the investment performance in the market of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-27 Kexin Wang , Xiaomeng Zhang , Xinyu Zhang

Recent works have proposed optimal subsampling algorithms to improve computational efficiency in large datasets and to design validation studies in the presence of measurement error. Existing approaches generally fall into two categories:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Jasper B. Yang , Thomas Lumley , Bryan E. Shepherd , Pamela A. Shaw

The aim of this article is to provide a simple sampling procedure to reconstruct any monotone path from its signature. For every N, we sample a lattice path of N steps with weights given by the coefficient of the corresponding word in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Jiawei Chang , Nick Duffield , Hao Ni , Weijun Xu

Generating synthetic financial time series data that accurately reflects real-world market dynamics holds tremendous potential for various applications, including portfolio optimization, risk management, and large scale machine learning. We…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-05 Chung I Lu , Julian Sester

This paper presents novel methods for estimating certified radii in randomized smoothing, a technique crucial for certifying the robustness of neural networks against adversarial perturbations. Our proposed techniques significantly improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Zixuan Liang

Nonlinear and delayed effects of covariates often render time series forecasting challenging. To this end, we propose a novel forecasting framework based on ridge regression with signature features calculated on sliding windows. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Nina Drobac , Margaux Brégère , Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintenberger

Optimal portfolio selection problems are determined by the (unknown) parameters of the data generating process. If an investor wants to realise the position suggested by the optimal portfolios, he/she needs to estimate the unknown…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Holger Dette , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsén

Distribution Regression (DR) on stochastic processes describes the learning task of regression on collections of time series. Path signatures, a technique prevalent in stochastic analysis, have been used to solve the DR problem. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Andrew Alden , Carmine Ventre , Blanka Horvath

In this paper, we propose a stratified sampling algorithm in which the random drawings made in the strata to compute the expectation of interest are also used to adaptively modify the proportion of further drawings in each stratum. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-04 Pierre Etore , Benjamin Jourdain

Randomized smoothing (RS) has successfully been used to improve the robustness of predictions for deep neural networks (DNNs) by adding random noise to create multiple variations of an input, followed by deciding the consensus. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Emmanouil Seferis , Stefanos Kollias , Chih-Hong Cheng

Decision trees and their ensembles are endowed with a rich set of diagnostic tools for ranking and screening variables in a predictive model. Despite the widespread use of tree based variable importance measures, pinning down their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-14 Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

We propose a new way of building portfolios of cryptocurrencies that provide good diversification properties to investors. First, we seek to filter these digital assets by creating some clusters based on their path signature. The goal is to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-01 Hugo Inzirillo

We propose to harness the potential of simulation for the semantic segmentation of real-world self-driving scenes in a domain generalization fashion. The segmentation network is trained without any data of target domains and tested on the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Xiangyu Yue , Yang Zhang , Sicheng Zhao , Alberto Sangiovanni-Vincentelli , Kurt Keutzer , Boqing Gong

This paper deals with the scenario approach to robust optimization. This relies on a random sampling of the possibly infinite number of constraints induced by uncertainties in the parameters of an optimization problem. Solving the resulting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Fabien Lauer

Market events such as order placement and order cancellation are examples of the complex and substantial flow of data that surrounds a modern financial engineer. New mathematical techniques, developed to describe the interactions of complex…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-16 Lajos Gergely Gyurkó , Terry Lyons , Mark Kontkowski , Jonathan Field

Signed networks, characterized by edges labeled as either positive or negative, offer nuanced insights into interaction dynamics beyond the capabilities of unsigned graphs. Central to this is the task of identifying the maximum balanced…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Jingbang Chen , Qiuyang Mang , Hangrui Zhou , Richard Peng , Yu Gao , Chenhao Ma

Motion planning can be cast as a trajectory optimisation problem where a cost is minimised as a function of the trajectory being generated. In complex environments with several obstacles and complicated geometry, this optimisation problem…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Lucas Barcelos , Tin Lai , Rafael Oliveira , Paulo Borges , Fabio Ramos