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We propose a novel method to improve estimation of asset returns for portfolio optimization. This approach first performs a monthly directional market forecast using an online decision tree. The decision tree is trained on a novel set of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Nolan Alexander , William Scherer

We investigate the application of two heuristic methods, genetic algorithms and tabu/scatter search, to the optimisation of realistic portfolios. The model is based on the classical mean-variance approach, but enhanced with floor and…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Franco Busetti

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

Real-world data is complex and often consists of objects that can be decomposed into multiple entities (e.g. images into pixels, graphs into interconnected nodes). Randomized smoothing is a powerful framework for making models provably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Yan Scholten , Jan Schuchardt , Aleksandar Bojchevski , Stephan Günnemann

This paper is concerned with portfolio optimization models for creating high-quality lists of recommended items to balance the accuracy and diversity of recommendations. However, the statistics (i.e., expectation and covariance of ratings)…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Tomoya Yanagi , Shunnosuke Ikeda , Yuichi Takano

In this paper we apply a heuristic method based on artificial neural networks in order to trace out the efficient frontier associated to the portfolio selection problem. We consider a generalization of the standard Markowitz mean-variance…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-07-30 Alberto Fernandez , Sergio Gomez

Randomized smoothing is sound when using infinite precision. However, we show that randomized smoothing is no longer sound for limited floating-point precision. We present a simple example where randomized smoothing certifies a radius of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Václav Voráček , Matthias Hein

The field of portfolio selection is an active research topic, which combines elements and methodologies from various fields, such as optimization, decision analysis, risk management, data science, forecasting, etc. The modeling and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-28 A. Georgantas

Algorithms and dynamics over networks often involve randomization, and randomization may result in oscillating dynamics which fail to converge in a deterministic sense. In this paper, we observe this undesired feature in three applications,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-12-17 Chiara Ravazzi , Paolo Frasca , Roberto Tempo , Hideaki Ishii

Manifold alignment is a type of data fusion technique that creates a shared low-dimensional representation of data collected from multiple domains, enabling cross-domain learning and improved performance in downstream tasks. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Jake S. Rhodes , Adam G. Rustad

We study the allocation of synthetic portfolios under hierarchical nested, one-factor, and diagonal structures of the population covariance matrix in a high-dimensional scenario. The noise reduction approaches for the sample realizations…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Andrés García-Medina

We consider the application of a popular penalised regression method, Ridge Regression, to data with very high dimensions and many more covariates than observations. Our motivation is the problem of out-of-sample prediction and the setting…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-04 Erika Cule , Maria De Iorio

Regularization is essential for avoiding over-fitting to training data in network optimization, leading to better generalization of the trained networks. The label noise provides a strong implicit regularization by replacing the target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Kensuke Nakamura , Bong-Soo Sohn , Kyoung-Jae Won , Byung-Woo Hong

Using Random Matrix Theory one can derive exact relations between the eigenvalue spectrum of the covariance matrix and the eigenvalue spectrum of its estimator (experimentally measured correlation matrix). These relations will be used to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Zdzislaw Burda , Jerzy Jurkiewicz

The `Signal plus Noise' model for nonparametric regression can be extended to the case of observations taken at the vertices of a graph. This model includes many familiar regression problems. This article discusses the use of the edges of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-11 Arne Kovac , Andrew D. A. C. Smith

We analyze the performance of CDMA signature optimization with finite rate feedback. For a particular user, the receiver selects a signature vector from a signature codebook to avoid the interference from other users, and feeds the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Wei Dai , Youjian Liu , Brian Rider

While many real-world data streams imply that they change frequently in a nonstationary way, most of deep learning methods optimize neural networks on training data, and this leads to severe performance degradation when dataset shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Wonju Lee , Seok-Yong Byun , Jooeun Kim , Minje Park , Kirill Chechil

We consider the problem of selecting a portfolio of assets that provides the investor a suitable balance of expected return and risk. With respect to the seminal mean-variance model of Markowitz, we consider additional constraints on the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Andrea Schaerf

We study a utility maximization problem in a financial market with a stochastic drift process, combining a worst-case approach with filtering techniques. Drift processes are difficult to estimate from asset prices, and at the same time…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-04 Jörn Sass , Dorothee Westphal

Investigation of the market graph attracts a growing attention in market network analysis. One of the important problem connected with market graph is to identify it from observations. Traditional way for the market graph identification is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-22 V. A. Kalyagin , P. A. Koldanov , P. M. Pardalos
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