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Consider the problem of modeling memory effects in discrete-state random walks using higher-order Markov chains. This paper explores cross validation and information criteria as proxies for a model's predictive accuracy. Our objective is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-22 Joshua C. Chang

Acting as a goalkeeper in a video-game, a participant is asked to predict the successive choices of the penalty taker. The sequence of choices of the penalty taker is generated by a stochastic chain with memory of variable length. It has…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-19 Paulo Roberto Cabral-Passos , Antonio Galves , Jesus Enrique Garcia , Claudia Domingues Vargas

The expected goal provides a more representative measure of the team and player performance which also suit the low-scoring nature of football instead of score in modern football. The score of a match involves randomness and often may not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

In soccer game analysis, the widespread availability of play-by-play and tracking data has made it possible to test mathematical models that have been discussed mainly theoretically. One of the essential models in soccer game analysis is a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-18 Takuma Narizuka , Kenta Takizawa , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

In this article we address two related issues on the learning of probabilistic sequences of events. First, which features make the sequence of events generated by a stochastic chain more difficult to predict. Second, how to model the…

In football, attacking teams attempt to break through the opponent's defensive line to create scoring opportunities. This action, known as a Line Break, is a critical indicator of offensive effectiveness and tactical performance, yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Shoma Yagi , Jun Ichikawa , Genki Ichinose

Action scene understanding in soccer is a challenging task due to the complex and dynamic nature of the game, as well as the interactions between players. This article provides a comprehensive overview of this task divided into action…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Karolina Seweryn , Anna Wróblewska , Szymon Łukasik

The paper presents a multi-camera tracking method intended for tracking soccer players in long shot video recordings from multiple calibrated cameras installed around the playing field. The large distance to the camera makes it difficult to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Jacek Komorowski , Grzegorz Kurzejamski

Following a penalty in rugby union, teams typically choose between attempting a shot at goal or kicking to touch to pursue a try. We develop an Expected Points (EP) framework that quantifies the value of each option as a function of both…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-27 Kenny Watts , Jonathan Pipping-Gamón

Injury occurrence in football poses significant challenges for athletes and teams, carrying personal, competitive, and financial consequences. While machine learning has been applied to injury prediction before, existing approaches often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Victoria Catterall , Cise Midoglu , Stephen Lynch

The non-scientific event of a soccer match is analysed on a strictly scientific level. The analysis is based on the recently introduced concept of a team fitness (Eur. Phys. J. B 67, 445, 2009) and requires the use of finite-size scaling. A…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-03-03 Andreas Heuer , Christian Mueller , Oliver Rubner

We present a model for temporally precise action spotting in videos, which uses a dense set of detection anchors, predicting a detection confidence and corresponding fine-grained temporal displacement for each anchor. We experiment with two…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-13 João V. B. Soares , Avijit Shah , Topojoy Biswas

Group activity detection in soccer can be done by using either video data or player and ball trajectory data. In current soccer activity datasets, activities are labelled as atomic events without a duration. Given that the state-of-the-art…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Ryan Sanford , Siavash Gorji , Luiz G. Hafemann , Bahareh Pourbabaee , Mehrsan Javan

Evaluating off-ball defensive performance in football is challenging, as traditional metrics do not capture the nuanced coordinated movements that limit opponent action selection and success probabilities. Although widely used possession…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Sean Groom , Shuo Wang , Francisco Belo , Axl Rice , Liam Anderson

In video understanding, action spotting consists in temporally localizing human-induced events annotated with single timestamps. In this paper, we propose a novel loss function that specifically considers the temporal context naturally…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Anthony Cioppa , Adrien Deliège , Silvio Giancola , Bernard Ghanem , Marc Van Droogenbroeck , Rikke Gade , Thomas B. Moeslund

The goal of this thesis is to investigate the potential of predictive modelling for football injuries. This work was conducted in close collaboration with Tottenham Hotspurs FC (THFC), the PGA European tour and the participation of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Stylianos Kampakis

In this paper, we propose a study on multi-modal (audio and video) action spotting and classification in soccer videos. Action spotting and classification are the tasks that consist in finding the temporal anchors of events in a video and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Bastien Vanderplaetse , Stéphane Dupont

Artificial intelligence has revolutionized the way we analyze sports videos, whether to understand the actions of games in long untrimmed videos or to anticipate the player's motion in future frames. Despite these efforts, little attention…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Mohamad Dalal , Artur Xarles , Anthony Cioppa , Silvio Giancola , Marc Van Droogenbroeck , Bernard Ghanem , Albert Clapés , Sergio Escalera , Thomas B. Moeslund

In soccer, passing is the most frequent interaction between players and plays a significant role in creating scoring chances. Experts are interested in analyzing players' passing behavior to learn passing tactics, i.e., how players build up…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Xiao Xie , Jiachen Wang , Hongye Liang , Dazhen Deng , Shoubin Cheng , Hui Zhang , Wei Chen , Yingcai Wu

In this paper we apply survival techniques to soccer data, treating a goal scoring as the event of interest. It specifically concerns the relationship between the time of the first goal in the game and the time of the second goal. In order…

Applications · Statistics 2012-07-31 Daniel Nevo , Ya'acov Ritov
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