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Containment measures implemented by some countries to suppress the spread of COVID-19 have resulted in a slowdown of the epidemic characterized by time series of daily infections plateauing over extended periods of time. We prove that such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-17 Filippo Radicchi , Ginestra Bianconi

The non-equilibrium phase transition in models for epidemic spreading with long-range infections in combination with incubation times is investigated by field-theoretical and numerical methods. Here the spreading process is modelled by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Julian Adamek , Michael Keller , Arne Senftleben , Haye Hinrichsen

A complex contagion is an infectious process in which individuals may require multiple transmissions before changing state. These are used to model behaviors if an individual only adopts a particular behavior after perceiving a consensus…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-29 Joel C. Miller

This study is concerned with the dynamical behaviors of epidemic spreading over a two-layered interconnected network. Three models in different levels are proposed to describe cooperative spreading processes over the interconnected network,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-15 Xiang Wei , Xiaoqun Wu , Shihua Chen , Jun-an Lu , Guanrong Chen

The spread of certain diseases can be promoted, in some cases substantially, by prior infection with another disease. One example is that of HIV, whose immunosuppressant effects significantly increase the chances of infection with other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-04 M. E. J. Newman , C. R. Ferrario

In contrast to the common assumption in epidemic models that the rate of infection between individuals is constant, in reality, an individual's viral load determines their infectiousness. We compare the average and individual reproductive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Nicholas Landry

We propose a model of the immunity to a cyclical epidemic disease taking account not only of seasonal boosts during the infectious season, but also of residual immunity remaining from one season to the next. The focus is on the exponential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-22 Siyu Chen , David Sankoff

The spread of infectious epidemics is often accelerated by super-spreader events. Understanding their effect is important, particularly in the context of standard epidemiological models, which require estimates for parameters such as $R_0$.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-29 Harisankar Ramaswamy , Assad A Oberai , Mitul Luhar , Yannis C Yortsos

Human interactions and mobility shape epidemic dynamics by facilitating disease outbreaks and their spatial spread across regions. Traditional models often isolate commuting and random mobility as separate behaviors, focusing either on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-11 Pablo Valgañón , Antonio Brotons , David Soriano-Paños , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Compartmental models are the most widely used framework for modeling infectious diseases. These models have been continuously refined to incorporate all the realistic mechanisms that can shape the course of an epidemic outbreak. Building on…

Network epidemiology often assumes that the relationships defining the social network of a population are static. The dynamics of relationships is only taken indirectly into account, by assuming that the relevant information to study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-09 Sebastian Risau-Gusman

A simple, but ``classical``, stochastic model for epidemic spread in a finite, but large, population is studied. The progress of the epidemic can be divided into three different phases that requires different tools to analyse. Initially the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-29 Åke Svensson

The importance of a strict quarantine has been widely debated during the COVID-19 epidemic even from the purely epidemiological point of view. One argument against strict lockdown measures is that once the strict quarantine is lifted, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Varun Nimmagadda , Oleg Kogan , Evgeniy Khain

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has led to an increasing interest in the modeling and analysis of infectious diseases. The pandemic has made a significant impact on the way we behave and interact in our daily life. The past year has witnessed…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Shutian Liu , Yuhan Zhao , Quanyan Zhu

In the context of epidemic spreading, many intricate dynamical patterns can emerge due to the cooperation of different types of pathogens or the interaction between the disease spread and other failure propagation mechanism. To unravel such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

Despite centuries of work on containment and mitigation strategies, infectious diseases are still a major problem facing humanity. This work is concerned with simulating heterogeneous contact structures and understanding how the structure…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Jan Kreischer , Adrian Iten , Astrid Jehoul

We consider a threshold epidemic model on a clustered random graph with overlapping communities. In other words, our epidemic model is such that an individual becomes infected as soon as the proportion of her infected neighbors exceeds the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-03 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

Infectious diseases often spread faster near their peak than would be predicted given early data on transmission. Despite the commonality of this phenomena, there are no known general mechanisms able to cause an exponentially spreading dis-…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-06 Samuel V. Scarpino , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hebert-Dufresne

In this brief, we study epidemic spreading dynamics taking place in complex networks. We specifically investigate the effect of synergy, where multiple interactions between nodes result in a combined effect larger than the simple sum of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Masaki Ogura , Wenjie Mei , Kenji Sugimoto

In this work, we inspect the reliability of controlling and quelling an epidemic disease mimicked by a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model defined on a complex network by means of current and implementable quarantine and isolation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-12 Nuno Crokidakis , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros
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