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Most statistical models for pairwise comparisons, including the Bradley-Terry (BT) and Thurstone models and many extensions, make a relatively strong assumption of stochastic transitivity. This assumption imposes the existence of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-12 Sze Ming Lee , Yunxiao Chen

In this paper paired comparison models with stochastic background are investigated. We focus on the models which allow three options for choice and the parameters are estimated by maximum likelihood method. The existence and uniqueness of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-06 László Gyarmati , Éva Orbán-Mihálykó , Csaba Mihálykó

This article introduces the bpcs R package (Bayesian Paired Comparison in Stan) and the statistical models implemented in the package. This package aims to facilitate the use of Bayesian models for paired comparison data in behavioral…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 David Issa Mattos , Érika Martins Silva Ramos

In this paper, we study a popular method for inference of the Bradley-Terry model parameters, namely the MM algorithm, for maximum likelihood estimation and maximum a posteriori probability estimation. This class of models includes the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Milan Vojnovic , Seyoung Yun , Kaifang Zhou

We propose a novel extension of the Bradley-Terry model to multiplayer games and adapt a recent algorithm by Newman [1] to our model. We demonstrate the use of our proposed method on synthetic datasets and on a real dataset of games of…

This paper considers the problem of ranking objects based on their latent merits using data from pairwise interactions. We allow for incomplete observation of these interactions and study what can be inferred about rankings in such…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-23 Federico Crippa , Danil Fedchenko

Over the last few years, there has been a growing interest in the prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes, with particular emphasis placed on this area by the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-17 Roberto Macrì Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli

We propose a novel combinatorial inference framework to conduct general uncertainty quantification in ranking problems. We consider the widely adopted Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model, where each item is assigned a positive preference score…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-04 Yue Liu , Ethan X. Fang , Junwei Lu

We provide an algorithm with constant running time that given a weighted tournament $T$, distinguishes with high probability of success between the cases that $T$ can be represented by a Bradley--Terry model, or cannot even be approximated…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Agelos Georgakopoulos , Konstantinos Tyros

A principled approach to cyclicality and intransitivity in paired comparison data is developed. The proposed methodology enables more precise estimation of the underlying preference profile and facilitates the identification of all cyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Rahul Singh , Ori Davidov

We study the Stigler model of citation flows among journals adapting the pairwise comparison model of Bradley and Terry to do ranking and selection of journal influence based on nonparametric empirical Bayes procedures. Comparisons with…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-22 Jiaying Gu , Roger Koenker

Paired comparison models, such as Bradley-Terry and Thurstone-Mosteller, are commonly used to estimate relative strengths of pairwise compared items in tournament-style data. We discuss estimation of paired comparison models with a ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Cristiano Varin , David Firth

Many applications such as recommendation systems or sports tournaments involve pairwise comparisons within a collection of $n$ items, the goal being to aggregate the binary outcomes of the comparisons in order to recover the latent strength…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-13 Eglantine Karlé , Hemant Tyagi

We revisit the problem of inferring the overall ranking among entities in the framework of Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model, based on available empirical data on pairwise preferences. By a simple transformation, we can cast the problem as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-10 Vivek S. Borkar , Nikhil Karamchandani , Sharad Mirani

Frequently in sporting competitions it is desirable to compare teams based on records of varying schedule strength. Methods have been developed for sports where the result outcomes are win, draw, or loss. In this paper those ideas are…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-22 Ian Hamilton , David Firth

Pairwise preference learning is central to machine learning, with recent applications in aligning language models with human preferences. A typical dataset consists of triplets $(x, y^+, y^-)$, where response $y^+$ is preferred over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Rattana Pukdee , Maria-Florina Balcan , Pradeep Ravikumar

The standard way to evaluate language models on subjective tasks is through pairwise comparisons: an annotator chooses the "better" of two responses to a prompt. Leaderboards aggregate these comparisons into a single Bradley-Terry (BT)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Hadi Khalaf , Serena L. Wang , Daniel Halpern , Itai Shapira , Flavio du Pin Calmon , Ariel D. Procaccia

The dynamic ranking, due to its increasing importance in many applications, is becoming crucial, especially with the collection of voluminous time-dependent data. One such application is sports statistics, where dynamic ranking aids in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Xin-Yu Tian , Jian Shi , Xiaotong Shen , Kai Song

We address the problem of learning a ranking by using adaptively chosen pairwise comparisons. Our goal is to recover the ranking accurately but to sample the comparisons sparingly. If all comparison outcomes are consistent with the ranking,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-16 Lucas Maystre , Matthias Grossglauser

We consider the estimation accuracy of individual strength parameters of a Thurstone choice model when each input observation consists of a choice of one item from a set of two or more items (so called top-1 lists). This model accommodates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Milan Vojnovic , Se-Young Yun