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Metropolis nested sampling evolves a Markov chain from a current livepoint and accepts new points along the chain according to a version of the Metropolis acceptance ratio modified to satisfy the likelihood constraint, characteristic of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-11 Kamran Javid

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

The Shannon entropy, and related quantities such as mutual information, can be used to quantify uncertainty and relevance. However, in practice, it can be difficult to compute these quantities for arbitrary probability distributions,…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-11 Brendon J. Brewer

Advances in sampling schemes for Markov jump processes have recently enabled multiple inferential tasks. However, in statistical and machine learning applications, we often require that these continuous-time models find support on…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-08 Iker Perez , Lax Chan , Mercedes Torres Torres , James Goulding , Theodore Kypraios

In this paper we present an algorithm for rapid Bayesian analysis that combines the benefits of nested sampling and artificial neural networks. The blind accelerated multimodal Bayesian inference (BAMBI) algorithm implements the MultiNest…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-03-12 Philip Graff , Farhan Feroz , Michael P. Hobson , Anthony Lasenby

The recently introduced nested sampling algorithm allows the direct and efficient calculation of the partition function of atomistic systems. We demonstrate its applicability to condensed phase systems with periodic boundary conditions by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-09 Lívia B. Pártay , Albert P. Bartók , Gábor Csányi

Cosmological experiments often employ Bayesian workflows to derive constraints on cosmological and astrophysical parameters from their data. It has been shown that these constraints can be combined across different probes such as Planck and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-28 Harry Bevins , Will Handley , Pablo Lemos , Peter Sims , Eloy de Lera Acedo , Anastasia Fialkov

Computer experiments can emulate the physical systems, help computational investigations, and yield analytic solutions. They have been widely employed with many engineering applications (e.g., aerospace, automotive, energy systems.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Yan Wang , Meng Wang , Areej AlBahar , Xiaowei Yue

Models of physics beyond the Standard Model often contain a large number of parameters. These form a high-dimensional space that is computationally intractable to fully explore. Experimental constraints project onto a subspace of viable…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-01-05 Jacob Hollingsworth , Michael Ratz , Philip Tanedo , Daniel Whiteson

The theoretical analysis of many problems in physics, astronomy and applied mathematics requires an efficient numerical exploration of multimodal parameter spaces that exhibit broken ergodicity. Monte Carlo methods are widely used to deal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-02 Stefano Martiniani , Jacob D. Stevenson , David J. Wales , Daan Frenkel

We propose a new computationally efficient sampling scheme for Bayesian inference involving high dimensional probability distributions. Our method maps the original parameter space into a low-dimensional latent space, explores the latent…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-15 Babak Shahbaba , Luis Martinez Lomeli , Tian Chen , Shiwei Lan

Bayesian inference is a powerful paradigm for quantum state tomography, treating uncertainty in meaningful and informative ways. Yet the numerical challenges associated with sampling from complex probability distributions hampers Bayesian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-05-04 Joseph M. Lukens , Kody J. H. Law , Ajay Jasra , Pavel Lougovski

We present a detailed study of Bayesian inference workflows for pulsar timing array data with a focus on enhancing efficiency, robustness and speed through the use of normalizing flow-based nested sampling. Building on the Enterprise…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-05 Eleonora Villa , Golam Mohiuddin Shaifullah , Andrea Possenti , Carmelita Carbone

In the era of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), the dramatic improvement in the spectra of exoplanetary atmospheres demands a corresponding leap forward in our ability to analyze them: atmospheric retrievals need to be performed on…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-06 Anna Lueber , Konstantin Karchev , Chloe Fisher , Matthias Heim , Roberto Trotta , Kevin Heng

Nested nonparametric processes are vectors of random probability measures widely used in the Bayesian literature to model the dependence across distinct, though related, groups of observations. These processes allow a two-level clustering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Federico Camerlenghi , Riccardo Corradin , Andrea Ongaro

Nested simulation is a natural approach to tackle nested estimation problems in operations research and financial engineering. The outer-level simulation generates outer scenarios and the inner-level simulations are run in each outer…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-31 Kun Zhang , Ben Mingbin Feng , Guangwu Liu , Shiyu Wang

Here we present an investigation into using nested sampling algorithms in cosmological likelihood analysis. We present a new nested sampling algorithm, ESNested, that uses Evolution Strategies for sample proposals. This quickly finds the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-01-28 M. Axiak , T. D. Kitching , J. I. van Hemert

We propose a novel technique for sampling particle physics model parameter space. The main sampling method applied is Nested Sampling (NS), which is boosted by the application of multiple Machine Learning (ML) networks, e.g.,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-02-07 Rajneil Baruah , Subhadeep Mondal , Sunando Kumar Patra , Satyajit Roy

Proximal nested sampling was introduced recently to open up Bayesian model selection for high-dimensional problems such as computational imaging. The framework is suitable for models with a log-convex likelihood, which are ubiquitous in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-31 Jason D. McEwen , Tobías I. Liaudat , Matthew A. Price , Xiaohao Cai , Marcelo Pereyra

Atomistic simulations provide valuable insights into the physical processes governing material behavior. However, their applicability is fundamentally constrained by the limited time scales accessible to brute-force simulations. This…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-16 Michael Kim , Wei Cai