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Accidental damage is a typical component of motor insurance claim. Modeling of this nature generally involves analysis of past claim history and different characteristics of the insured objects and the policyholders. Generalized linear…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-11 Sen Hu , Adrian O'Hagan , Thomas Brendan Murphy

We study the competition for partners in two-sided matching markets with heterogeneous agent preferences, with a focus on how the equilibrium outcomes depend on the connectivity in the market. We model random partially connected markets,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Yash Kanoria , Seungki Min , Pengyu Qian

This paper provides a holistic study of how stock prices vary in their response to financial disclosures across different topics. Thereby, we specifically shed light into the extensive amount of filings for which no a priori categorization…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-05-10 Stefan Feuerriegel , Nicolas Pröllochs

A monopolist sells multiple goods to an uninformed buyer. The buyer chooses to learn any one-dimensional linear signal of their values for the goods, anticipating the seller's mechanism. The seller designs an optimal mechanism, anticipating…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-23 Agathe Pernoud , Frank Yang

Large variations in stock prices happen with sufficient frequency to raise doubts about existing models, which all fail to account for non-Gaussian statistics. We construct simple models of a stock market, and argue that the large…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 P. Bak , M. Paczuski , M. Shubik

The positive correlation test for asymmetric information developed by Chiappori and Salanie (2000) has been applied in many insurance markets. Most of the literature focuses on the special case of constant correlation; it also relies on…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-30 Serguei Maliar , Bernard Salanie

We study an Arrow-Debreu economy with externalities generated by multiplex networks. Market equilibrium prices reflect both the preferences and scarcity of goods, consumers' network centralities arising from goods' externalities, as well as…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-21 Chengqing Li , Yves Zenou , Junjie Zhou

This paper studies Markov perfect equilibria in a repeated duopoly model where sellers choose algorithms. An algorithm is a mapping from the competitor's price to own price. Once set, algorithms respond quickly. Customers arrive randomly…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-07-04 Rohit Lamba , Sergey Zhuk

Whenever customers' choices (e.g. to buy or not a given good) depend on others choices (cases coined 'positive externalities' or 'bandwagon effect' in the economic literature), the demand may be multiply valued: for a same posted price,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-20 Mirta B. Gordon , Jean-Pierre Nadal , Denis Phan , Viktoriya Semeshenko

In the restructured electricity industry, electricity pooling markets are an oligopoly with strategic producers possessing private information (private production cost function). We focus on pooling markets where aggregate demand is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-07 Mohammad Rasouli , Demosthenis Teneketzis

The decision process requires information about the present state of the system, but in economy acquiring data and processing them is an expensive and time consuming process. Therefore the state of the system is measured and announced at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-09-21 Janusz Miskiewicz

Question answering models can use rich knowledge sources -- up to one hundred retrieved passages and parametric knowledge in the large-scale language model (LM). Prior work assumes information in such knowledge sources is consistent with…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Hung-Ting Chen , Michael J. Q. Zhang , Eunsol Choi

Understanding the effect of uncertainty and noise in data on machine learning models (MLM) is crucial in developing trust and measuring performance. In this paper, a new model is proposed to quantify uncertainties and noise in data on MLMs.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Usman Anjum , Chris Trentman , Elrod Caden , Justin Zhan

Automated Machine Learning has grown very successful in automating the time-consuming, iterative tasks of machine learning model development. However, current methods struggle when the data is imbalanced. Since many real-world datasets are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Prabhant Singh , Joaquin Vanschoren

Evaluating the quality of free-text explanations is a multifaceted, subjective, and labor-intensive task. Large language models (LLMs) present an appealing alternative due to their potential for consistency, scalability, and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Ana Brassard , Benjamin Heinzerling , Keito Kudo , Keisuke Sakaguchi , Kentaro Inui

This work is motivated by the problem of testing for differences in the mean electricity prices before and after Germany's abrupt nuclear phaseout after the nuclear disaster in Fukushima Daiichi, Japan, in mid-March 2011. Taking into…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-30 Dominik Liebl

Economy is demanding new models, able to understand and predict the evolution of markets. To this respect, Econophysics offers models of markets as complex systems, that try to comprehend macro-, system-wide states of the economy from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-20 Carmen Pellicer-Lostao , Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz

We develop a sparse autologistic model for investigating the impact of diversification and disintermediation strategies in the evolution of financial trading networks. In order to induce sparsity in the model estimates and address…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-05 Brenda Betancourt , Abel Rodríguez , Naomi Boyd

The $\textit{data market design}$ problem is a problem in economic theory to find a set of signaling schemes (statistical experiments) to maximize expected revenue to the information seller, where each experiment reveals some of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Sai Srivatsa Ravindranath , Yanchen Jiang , David C. Parkes

In this paper, we derive and analyze a continuous of a binary option market with exogenous information. The resulting non-linear system has a discontinuous right hand side, which can be analyzed using zero-dimensional Filippov surfaces.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Hannah Gampe , Christopher Griffin
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