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Related papers: Set-valued expectiles for ordered data analysis

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We introduce a new category of multivariate conditional generative models and demonstrate its performance and versatility in probabilistic time series forecasting and simulation. Specifically, the output of quantile regression networks is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-26 Ruofeng Wen , Kari Torkkola

The paper investigates the problem of performing correlation analysis when the number of observations is very large. In such a case, it is often necessary to combine the random observations to achieve dimensionality reduction of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Pavel Loskot

In causal inference, a fundamental task is to estimate the effect resulting from a specific treatment, which is often handled with inverse probability weighting. Despite an abundance of attention to the advancement of this task, most…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Kuan-Hsun Wu

This paper offers a mathematical invention that shows how to convert integrated quantiles, which often appear in risk measures, into integrated cumulative distribution functions, which are technically more tractable from various…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-26 Yunran Wei , Ricardas Zitikis

Extremiles provide a generalization of quantiles which are not only robust, but also have an intrinsic link with extreme value theory. This paper introduces an extremile regression model tailored for functional covariate spaces. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Maria Laura Battagliola , Martin Bladt

We present a new family of estimators of the Weibull tail-coefficient. The Weibull tail-coefficient is defined as the regular variation coefficient of the inverse failure rate function. Our estimators are based on a linear combination of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-31 Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

The multivariate version of the Mixed Tempered Stable is proposed. It is a generalization of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures. Characteristics of this new distribution and its capacity in fitting tails and capturing dependence structure…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Asmerilda Hitaj , Friedrich Hubalek , Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

The control function approach allows the researcher to identify various causal effects of interest. While powerful, it requires a strong invertibility assumption in the selection process, which limits its applicability. This paper expands…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Sukjin Han , Hiroaki Kaido

This paper proposes a scoring-rule-based method for ranking predictive distributions in the Fr\'echet domain that is able to distinguish between different tail indices. The approach is built on normalized order statistics and exploits…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Martin Bladt , Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

We characterise the learning of a mixture of two clouds of data points with generic centroids via empirical risk minimisation in the high dimensional regime, under the assumptions of generic convex loss and convex regularisation. Each cloud…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Urte Adomaityte , Gabriele Sicuro , Pierpaolo Vivo

Geometric quantiles are popular location functionals to build rank-based statistical procedures in multivariate settings. They are obtained through the minimization of a non-smooth convex objective function. As a result, the singularity of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Dimitri Konen , Gilles Stupfler

Decomposing a deep neural network's learned representations into interpretable features could greatly enhance its safety and reliability. To better understand features, we adopt a geometric perspective, viewing them as a learned coordinate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Aryeh Brill

Many empirical networks display an inherent tendency to cluster, i.e. to form circles of connected nodes. This feature is typically measured by the clustering coefficient (CC). The CC, originally introduced for binary, undirected graphs,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Giorgio Fagiolo

The notion of data depth has long been in use to obtain robust location and scale estimates in a multivariate setting. The depth of an observation is a measure of its centrality, with respect to a data set or a distribution. The data depths…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-29 Sara López-Pintado , Rebecka Jornsten

A complex-valued convolutional network (convnet) implements the repeated application of the following composition of three operations, recursively applying the composition to an input vector of nonnegative real numbers: (1) convolution with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Joan Bruna , Soumith Chintala , Yann LeCun , Serkan Piantino , Arthur Szlam , Mark Tygert

Conformal predictive systems are sets of predictive distributions with theoretical out-of-sample calibration guarantees. The calibration guarantees are typically that the set of predictions contains a forecast distribution whose prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Sam Allen , Enrico Pescara , Johanna Ziegel

Due to the unsupervised nature of anomaly detection, the key to fueling deep models is finding supervisory signals. Different from current reconstruction-guided generative models and transformation-based contrastive models, we devise novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Hongzuo Xu , Yijie Wang , Juhui Wei , Songlei Jian , Yizhou Li , Ning Liu

Prediction of a vector of ordered parameters or part of it arises naturally in the context of Small Area Estimation (SAE). For example, one may want to estimate the parameters associated with the top ten areas, the best or worst area, or a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-30 Yaakov Malinovsky , Yosef Rinott