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The relative performance of competing point forecasts is usually measured in terms of loss or scoring functions. It is widely accepted that these scoring function should be strictly consistent in the sense that the expected score is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Tobias Fissler , Johanna F. Ziegel

We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

Convolutions of long-tailed and subexponential distributions play a major role in the analysis of many stochastic systems. We study these convolutions, proving some important new results through a simple and coherent approach, and showing…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Stan Zachary

Stochastic ordering of distributions of random variables may be defined by the relative convexity of the tail functions. This has been extended to higher order stochastic orderings, by iteratively reassigning tail-weights. The actual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

In this paper we study a broad class of distribution functions which is defined by means of reflected generalized beta distribution. This class includes that of Beta-generated distribution as a special case. In particular, we use this class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Ibrahim Elbatal , Francesca Condino , Filippo Domma

In a nutshell, submodular functions encode an intuitive notion of diminishing returns. As a result, submodularity appears in many important machine learning tasks such as feature selection and data summarization. Although there has been a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-03-19 Marko Mitrovic , Moran Feldman , Andreas Krause , Amin Karbasi

This paper introduces a novel periodogram-like function, called the expectile periodogram, for modeling spectral features of time series and detecting hidden periodicities. The expectile periodogram is constructed from trigonometric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tianbo Chen , Ta-Hsin Li , Hanbing Zhu , Wenwu Gao

Shape estimation and object reconstruction are common problems in image analysis. Mathematically, viewing objects in the image plane as random sets reduces the problem of shape estimation to inference about sets. Currently existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-12 Larissa I. Stanberry , Hanna K. Jankowski

By selecting different filter functions, spectral algorithms can generate various regularization methods to solve statistical inverse problems within the learning-from-samples framework. This paper combines distributed spectral algorithms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Jiading Liu , Lei Shi

A new class of distributional transformations is introduced, characterized by equations relating function weighted expectations of test functions on a given distribution to expectations of the transformed distribution on the test function's…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Larry Goldstein , Gesine Reinert

We establish new tail estimates for order statistics and for the Euclidean norms of projections of an isotropic log-concave random vector. More generally, we prove tail estimates for the norms of projections of sums of independent…

The mid-p-value is a proposed improvement on the ordinary p-value for the case where the test statistic is partially or completely discrete. In this case, the ordinary p-value is conservative, meaning that its null distribution is larger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Patrick Rubin-Delanchy , Nicholas A. Heard , Daniel John Lawson

Low-rank matrix factorization is a powerful tool for understanding the structure of 2-way data, and is usually accomplished by minimizing a sum of squares criterion. Expectile analysis generalizes squared-error loss by introducing…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-06 Shuge Ouyang , Yunxuan Tang , Benjamin Osafo Agyare

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

In the setting of real vector spaces, we establish a general set-valued Ekeland variational principle (briefly, denoted by EVP), where the objective function is a set-valued map taking values in a real vector space quasi-ordered by a convex…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-18 Jing-Hui Qiu

In the literature, quite a few measures have been proposed for quantifying the deviation of a probability distribution from symmetry. The most popular of these skewness measures are based on the third centralized moment and on quantiles.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Andreas Eberl , Bernhard Klar

We extend the concept of eigenvector centrality to multiplex networks, and introduce several alternative parameters that quantify the importance of nodes in a multi-layered networked system, including the definition of vectorial-type…

Much of statistics relies upon four key elements: a law of large numbers, a calculus to operationalize stochastic convergence, a central limit theorem, and a framework for constructing local approximations. These elements are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Anil Aswani

Observed clusters should be modelled by considering the distribution function to be a random variable that quantifies the degree of excitation of the system's normal modes. A system of canonical coordinates for the space of DFs is…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2021-08-11 Jun Yan Lau , James Binney

Heavy-tailed phenomena appear across diverse domains --from wealth and firm sizes in economics to network traffic, biological systems, and physical processes-- characterized by the disproportionate influence of extreme values. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani
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