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In a variety of different settings cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedures have been applied for the sequential detection of structural breaks in the parameters of stochastic models. Yet their performance depends strongly on the time of change…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-07 Stefan Fremdt

Most of the literature on change-point analysis by means of hypothesis testing considers hypotheses of the form H0 : \theta_1 = \theta_2 vs. H1 : \theta_1 != \theta_2, where \theta_1 and \theta_2 denote parameters of the process before and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-26 Holger Dette , Dominik Wied

We consider the offline change point detection and localization problem in the context of piecewise stationary networks, where the observable is a finite sequence of networks. We develop algorithms involving some suitably modified CUSUM…

We develop a mixture procedure to monitor parallel streams of data for a change-point that affects only a subset of them, without assuming a spatial structure relating the data streams to one another. Observations are assumed initially to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Yao Xie , David Siegmund

We propose new tests to detect a change in the mean of a time series. Like many existing tests, the new ones are based on the CUSUM process. Existing CUSUM tests require an estimator of a scale parameter to make them asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Zsuzsanna Horváth , Marie Hušková

We introduce ART, a distribution-free and model-agnostic framework for changepoint detection that provides finite-sample guarantees. ART transforms independent observations into real-valued scores via a symmetric function, ensuring…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-09 Xiaolong Cui , Haoyu Geng , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

Change-point detection (CPD), which detects abrupt changes in the data distribution, is recognized as one of the most significant tasks in time series analysis. Despite the extensive literature on offline CPD, unsupervised online CPD still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Zahra Atashgahi , Decebal Constantin Mocanu , Raymond Veldhuis , Mykola Pechenizkiy

We consider the change-point problem for the marginal distribution of subordinated Gaussian processes that exhibit long-range dependence. The asymptotic distributions of Kolmogorov-Smirnov- and Cram\'{e}r-von Mises type statistics are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Johannes Tewes

We suggest a novel procedure for online change point detection. Our approach expands an idea of maximizing a discrepancy measure between points from pre-change and post-change distributions. This leads to flexible algorithms suitable for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Nikita Puchkin , Artur Goldman , Konstantin Yakovlev , Valeriia Dzis , Uliana Vinogradova

Classical moment based change point tests like the cusum test are very powerful in case of Gaussian time series with one change point but behave poorly under heavy tailed distributions and corrupted data. A new class of robust change point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Alexander Dürre , Roland Fried

The aim of this paper is to develop a change-point test for functional time series that uses the full functional information and is less sensitive to outliers compared to the classical CUSUM test. For this aim, the Wilcoxon two-sample test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Lea Wegner , Martin Wendler

This paper investigates a novel offline change-point detection problem from an information-theoretic perspective. In contrast to most related works, we assume that the knowledge of the underlying pre- and post-change distributions are not…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Haiyun He , Qiaosheng Zhang , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Masked diffusion models (MDMs) offer a compelling alternative to autoregressive models (ARMs) for discrete text generation because they enable parallel token sampling, rather than sequential, left-to-right generation. This means potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Iskander Azangulov , Teodora Pandeva , Niranjani Prasad , Javier Zazo , Sushrut Karmalkar

We develop a mixture procedure for multi-sensor systems to monitor data streams for a change-point that causes a gradual degradation to a subset of the streams. Observations are assumed to be initially normal random variables with known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-19 Yang Cao , Yao Xie , Nagi Gebraeel

High-dimensional time series are characterized by a large number of measurements and complex dependence, and often involve abrupt change points. We propose a new procedure to detect change points in the mean of high-dimensional time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Jun Li , Minya Xu , Ping-Shou Zhong , Lingjun Li

There exist some testing procedures based on the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) to address the challenge of model specification. However, they ignore the presence of estimated parameters in the case of composite null hypotheses. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Florian Brück , Jean-David Fermanian , Aleksey Min

We consider the problem of breakpoint detection in a regression modeling framework. To that end, we introduce a novel method, the max-EM algorithm which combines a constrained Hidden Markov Model with the Classification-EM (CEM) algorithm.…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-14 Modibo Diabaté , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

The statistical analysis of neuronal spike trains by models of point processes often relies on the assumption of constant process parameters. However, it is a well-known problem that the parameters of empirical spike trains can be highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Michael Messer , Kauê M. Costa , Jochen Roeper , Gaby Schneider

This paper considers the problems of detecting a change point and estimating the location in the correlation matrices of a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is large enough to be comparable to the sample size or even…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Zhaoyuan Li , Jie Gao

We consider the problem of screening features in an ultrahigh-dimensional setting. Using maximum correlation, we develop a novel procedure called MC-SIS for feature screening, and show that MC-SIS possesses the sure screen property without…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-09 Qiming Huang , Yu Zhu