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In safety-critical applications like medical diagnosis, certainty associated with a model's prediction is just as important as its accuracy. Consequently, uncertainty estimation and reduction play a crucial role. Uncertainty in predictions…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Abhishek Singh Sambyal , Narayanan C. Krishnan , Deepti R. Bathula

A particularly challenging problem in AI safety is providing guarantees on the behavior of high-dimensional autonomous systems. Verification approaches centered around reachability analysis fail to scale, and purely statistical approaches…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Souradeep Dutta , Michele Caprio , Vivian Lin , Matthew Cleaveland , Kuk Jin Jang , Ivan Ruchkin , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

As machine learning algorithms are increasingly applied to high impact yet high risk tasks, such as medical diagnosis or autonomous driving, it is critical that researchers can explain how such algorithms arrived at their predictions. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Ruth Fong , Andrea Vedaldi

While the Graybox characterization method allows for implicit noise models and is platform-agnostic, the method lacks uncertainty quantification. Characterization of quantum devices is a crucial process that enables researchers to gain…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-30 Poramet Pathumsoot , Michal Hajdušek , Rodney Van Meter

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

We consider learning to optimize a classification metric defined by a black-box function of the confusion matrix. Such black-box learning settings are ubiquitous, for example, when the learner only has query access to the metric of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Gaurush Hiranandani , Jatin Mathur , Harikrishna Narasimhan , Mahdi Milani Fard , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Qualitative opacity of a secret is a security property, which means that a system trajectory satisfying the secret is observation-equivalent to a trajectory violating the secret. In this paper, we study how to synthesize a control policy…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Sumukha Udupa , Jie Fu

Traditional imitation learning provides a set of methods and algorithms to learn a reward function or policy from expert demonstrations. Learning from demonstration has been shown to be advantageous for navigation tasks as it allows for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Christian Ellis , Maggie Wigness , John G. Rogers , Craig Lennon , Lance Fiondella

Evaluating the reliability of intelligent physical systems against rare safety-critical events poses a huge testing burden for real-world applications. Simulation provides a useful platform to evaluate the extremal risks of these systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Mansur Arief , Zhiyuan Huang , Guru Koushik Senthil Kumar , Yuanlu Bai , Shengyi He , Wenhao Ding , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

Robots can rapidly acquire new skills from demonstrations. However, during generalisation of skills or transitioning across fundamentally different skills, it is unclear whether the robot has the necessary knowledge to perform the task.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-08 Nutan Chen , Alexej Klushyn , Alexandros Paraschos , Djalel Benbouzid , Patrick van der Smagt

Correctly quantifying the robustness of machine learning models is a central aspect in judging their suitability for specific tasks, and ultimately, for generating trust in them. We address the problem of finding the robustness of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Sebastian Scher , Andreas Trügler

AI-controlled robotic systems pose a risk to human workers and the environment. Classical risk assessment methods cannot adequately describe such black box systems. Therefore, new methods for a dynamic risk assessment of such AI-controlled…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-01-26 Philipp Grimmeisen , Friedrich Sautter , Andrey Morozov

How can intelligent machines assess their competency to complete a task? This question has come into focus for autonomous systems that algorithmically make decisions under uncertainty. We argue that machine self-confidence -- a form of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Brett W. Israelsen , Nisar R. Ahmed , Matthew Aitken , Eric W. Frew , Dale A. Lawrence , Brian M. Argrow

The selection of the most appropriate algorithm to solve a given problem instance, known as algorithm selection, is driven by the potential to capitalize on the complementary performance of different algorithms across sets of problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Gjorgjina Cenikj , Ana Nikolikj , Gašper Petelin , Niki van Stein , Carola Doerr , Tome Eftimov

Exploration in complex domains is a key challenge in reinforcement learning, especially for tasks with very sparse rewards. Recent successes in deep reinforcement learning have been achieved mostly using simple heuristic exploration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Joshua Achiam , Shankar Sastry

Though black-box predictors are state-of-the-art for many complex tasks, they often fail to properly quantify predictive uncertainty and may provide inappropriate predictions for unfamiliar data. Instead, we can learn more reliable models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-14 Jean Feng , Arjun Sondhi , Jessica Perry , Noah Simon

Computer experiments are often performed to allow modeling of a response surface of a physical experiment that can be too costly or difficult to run except using a simulator. Running the experiment over a dense grid can be prohibitively…

Applications · Statistics 2009-05-25 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee

This paper deals with the problem of parameter estimation based on certain eigenspaces of the empirical covariance matrix of an observed multidimensional time series, in the case where the time series dimension and the observation window…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-22 Walid Hachem , Philippe Loubaton , X. Mestre , Jamal Najim , Pascal Vallet

While the advances in artificial intelligence and machine learning empower a new generation of autonomous systems for assisting human performance, one major concern arises from the human factors perspective: Humans have difficulty…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Ruikun Luo , Na Du , X. Jessie Yang

In this paper, we propose a preliminary definition and analysis of the novel concept of sensor observability index. The goal is to analyse and evaluate the performance of distributed directional or axial-based sensors to observe specific…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Christopher Yee Wong , Wael Suleiman