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Deep learning algorithms have recently shown to be a successful tool in estimating parameters of statistical models for which simulation is easy, but likelihood computation is challenging. But the success of these approaches depends on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Amanda Lenzi , Haavard Rue

Self-reflecting about our performance (e.g., how confident we are) before doing a task is essential for decision making, such as selecting the most suitable tool or choosing the best route to drive. While this form of awareness -- thinking…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Ajith Anil Meera , Pablo Lanillos

Recent advancements in machine learning have spurred growing interests in automated interpreting quality assessment. Nevertheless, existing research suffers from insufficient examination of language use quality, unsatisfactory modeling…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Zhaokun Jiang , Ziyin Zhang

Black box systems for automated decision making, often based on machine learning over (big) data, map a user's features into a class or a score without exposing the reasons why. This is problematic not only for lack of transparency, but…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Dino Pedreschi , Fosca Giannotti , Riccardo Guidotti , Anna Monreale , Luca Pappalardo , Salvatore Ruggieri , Franco Turini

In Artificial Intelligence, interpreting the results of a Machine Learning technique often termed as a black box is a difficult task. A counterfactual explanation of a particular "black box" attempts to find the smallest change to the input…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-23 Dan Wang , Zhi Chen , Ionut Florescu

We introduce a sequential learning algorithm to address a robust controller tuning problem, which in effect, finds (with high probability) a candidate solution satisfying the internal performance constraint to a chance-constrained program…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Robert Chin , Chris Manzie , Iman Shames , Dragan Nešić , Jonathan E. Rowe

We address the problem of sequentially selecting and observing processes from a given set to find the anomalies among them. The decision-maker observes one process at a time and obtains a noisy binary indicator of whether or not the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Geethu Joseph , M. Cenk Gursoy , Pramod K. Varshney

Perception algorithms that provide estimates of their uncertainty are crucial to the development of autonomous robots that can operate in challenging and uncontrolled environments. Such perception algorithms provide the means for having…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Sadegh Rabiee , Joydeep Biswas

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Robots operating alongside humans often encounter unfamiliar environments that make autonomous task completion challenging. Though improving models and increasing dataset size can enhance a robot's performance in unseen environments, data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Ifueko Igbinedion , Sertac Karaman

As autonomous robots are deployed in increasingly complex environments, platform degradation, environmental uncertainties, and deviations from validated operation conditions can make it difficult for human partners to understand robot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Nicholas Conlon , Nisar R. Ahmed , Daniel Szafir

Robotic systems often use predictive uncertainty to decide whether to act autonomously or defer to a fallback policy. In threshold-gated autonomy, uncertainty matters mainly through its ability to rank likely errors. Standard metrics such…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Johannes A. Gaus , Jhon P. F. Charaja , Daniel Haeufle

In this study, we address the challenge of measuring the ability of a recommender system to make surprising recommendations. Although current evaluation methods make it possible to determine if two algorithms can make recommendations with a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-07-12 Andre Paulino de Lima , Sarajane Marques Peres

In this paper, we introduce a probabilistic approach to risk assessment of robot systems by focusing on the impact of uncertainties. While various approaches to identifying systematic hazards (e.g., bugs, design flaws, etc.) can be found in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Woo-Jeong Baek , Tom P. Huck , Joschka Haas , Jonas Lewandrowski , Tamim Asfour , Torsten Kröger

When dealing with control systems, it is useful and even necessary to assess the performance of underlying transfer functions. The functions may or may not be linear, may or may not be even monotonic. In addition, they may have structural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-28 Nadezhda Gribkova , Ričardas Zitikis

The comparison of benchmark error sets is an essential tool for the evaluation of theories in computational chemistry. The standard ranking of methods by their Mean Unsigned Error is unsatisfactory for several reasons linked to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-29 Pascal Pernot , Andreas Savin

We introduce and explore an empirical index of increase that works in both deterministic and random environments, thus allowing to assess monotonicity of functions that are prone to random measurement-errors. We prove consistency of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-07 Lingzhi Chen , Youri Davydov , Nadezhda Gribkova , Ričardas Zitikis

Autonomous exploration is a crucial aspect of robotics, enabling robots to explore unknown environments and generate maps without prior knowledge. This paper proposes a method to enhance exploration efficiency by integrating neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Seunghwan Kim , Heejung Shin , Gaeun Yim , Changseung Kim , Hyondong Oh

This paper proposes a novel methodology for probabilistic dynamic security assessment and enhancement of power systems that considers load and generation variability, N-2 contingencies, and uncertain cascade propagation caused by uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-05 Frédéric Sabot , Pierre-Etienne Labeau , Pierre Henneaux

Sensing and Perception (S&P) is a crucial component of an autonomous system (such as a robot), especially when deployed in highly dynamic environments where it is required to react to unexpected situations. This is particularly true in case…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Andrea Piazzoni , Jim Cherian , Martin Slavik , Justin Dauwels