English
Related papers

Related papers: Ruin Theory Problems in Simple SDE Models with Lar…

200 papers

We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Hanna M. Sykulska-Lawrence

Diesel engine particulate matter (PM) is one of the most challenging emission constituents to predict. As engines become cleaner and emissions levels drop, manufacturers need reliable methods to quantify the PM generated by production…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-16 Maxwell Bolt , Alex Alberts , Akash S. Desai , Peter Meckl , Ilias Bilionis

For a stochastic differential equation(SDE) driven by a fractional Brownian motion(fBm) with Hurst parameter $H>\frac{1}{2}$, it is known that the existing (naive) Euler scheme has the rate of convergence $n^{1-2H}$. Since the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Yaozhong Hu , Yanghui Liu , David Nualart

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

In this paper we derive weak limits for the discretization errors of sampling barrier-hitting and extreme events of Brownian motion by using the Euler discretization simulation method. Specifically, we consider the Euler discretization…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 A. B. Dieker , Guido Lagos

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

In order to approximate the exit time of a one-dimensional diffusion process, we propose an algorithm based on a random walk. Such an algorithm so-called Walk on Moving Spheres was already introduced in the Brownian context. The aim is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

\noindent \textbf{Abstract}: We consider the parameter estimation problem for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X$ driven by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $V$, i.e. the pair of processes defined by the non-Markovian continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-14 Brahim El Onsy , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

This paper investigates the Parisian ruin probability for processes with power-asymmetric behavior of the variance near the unique optimal point. We derive the exact asymptotics as the ruin boundary tends to infinity and extend the previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-12 Pavel Ievlev

We obtain well-posedness results for a class of ODE with a singular drift and additive fractional noise, whose right-hand-side involves some bounded variation terms depending on the solution. Examples of such equations are reflected…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Paul Gassiat , Łukasz Mądry

In this paper, we will evaluate integrals that define the conditional expectation, variance and characteristic function of stochastic processes with respect to fractional Brownian motion (fBm) for all relevant Hurst indices, i.e. $H \in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-14 Fei Gao , Shuaiqiang Liu , Cornelis W. Oosterlee , Nico M. Temme

In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Yacine Koucha , Alfredo D. Egidio dos Reis

In this paper, we propose a method for bounding the probability that a stochastic differential equation (SDE) system violates a safety specification over the infinite time horizon. SDEs are mathematical models of stochastic processes that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Shenghua Feng , Mingshuai Chen , Bai Xue , Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Naijun Zhan

This paper is concerned with transition paths within the framework of the overdamped Langevin dynamics model of chemical reactions. We aim to give an efficient description of typical transition paths in the small temperature regime. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Yulong Lu , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We consider Langevin equation involving fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac12)$. Its solution is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and with unknown drift parameter $\theta$. We construct the estimator that is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Kestutis Kubilius , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Oleg Seleznjev

This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

Although statistical inference in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by Wiener process has received significant attention in the literature, inference in those driven by fractional Brownian motion seem to have seen much less…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

First the relation between shift selfsimilar additive sequences and stationary sequences of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type (OU type) on $\mathbb{R}^d$ is shown and then the rates of escape for shift selfsimilar additive sequences are discussed. As…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Toshiro Watanabe

Let $\left\{\sum_{i=1}^n \lambda_i X_i(t), t\in [0,T]\right\}$ be an aggregate Gaussian risk process with $X_i, i\leq n$ independent Gaussian processes satisfying Piterbarg conditions and $\lambda_i$'s given positive weights. In this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Zhongquan Tan

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. Define a risk process \label{Rudef} R_u^{\delta}(t)=e^{\delta t}\left(u+c\int^{t}_{0}e^{-\delta s}d s-\sigma\int_{0}^{t}e^{-\delta s}d B(s)\right), t\geq0, where $u\geq 0$ is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Long Bai , Li Luo